Umesh Kumar

Dr. Umesh Kumar

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Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

2Years (2025-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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15 December 2025 in Journal of Economics and Finance
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
UKUmesh Kumar
Umesh Kumar
BHBiqing Huang
Biqing Huang
JBJennifer Paige Burks
Jennifer Paige Burks

2 July 2026 in Results in Applied Mathematics
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
MMMohammad Meysami
Mohammad Meysami
ALAli Lotfi
Ali Lotfi
UKUmesh Kumar
Umesh Kumar
SSSehar Saleem
Sehar Saleem

16 July 2026 in Statistical Papers
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
MMMohammad Meysami
Mohammad Meysami
UKUmesh Kumar
Umesh Kumar
AMAlex Meisami
Alex Meisami

13 May 2026 in Mathematics
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
MMMohammad Meysami
Mohammad Meysami
ALAli Lotfi
Ali Lotfi
UKUmesh Kumar
Umesh Kumar
Estimating the joint probability density of seasonal geophysical variables like Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) and Day of Year (DOY) presents three unresolved challenges. The first of these challenges is the periodic nature of the temporal axis. The second is the physically distinct scales of the two variables. The third is the marginal inconsistency introduced by smoothing operations. Existing methods for estimating probability density do not address each of these challenges simultaneously. Here we introduce CADS (the Circular-Adaptive Density Smoother), a computationally efficient algorithm for estimating the joint probability density of two seasonal geophysical variables that simultaneously addresses each of these three challenges. CADS is evaluated on two synthetic datasets and one real observational dataset of AERONET measurements from NASA Ames (n=74,653) using five-fold cross-validation. CADS achieves the highest mean log-likelihood relative to other methods for estimating probability density, and it is approximately 3000 times faster than kernel density estimation. An ablation study confirms that each component of CADS contributes independently to its high performance. Finally, a novel metric for evaluating the geometric correctness of the treatment of the circular boundary of the DOY variable is introduced.