Hamdi KARAKAYALI

Prof. Dr. Hamdi KARAKAYALI

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

2Years (2025-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

View All Publications
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
IBIbrahim Bingöl
Ibrahim Bingöl
TYTonguc Utku Yilmaz
Tonguc Utku Yilmaz
ÖUÖzge Umur
Özge Umur
GSGuntulu Sık
Guntulu Sık
HKHamdi KARAKAYALI
Hamdi KARAKAYALI
AÇAgop Çıtak
Agop Çıtak
Background/Objectives: Early mortality after pediatric liver transplantation remains a clinical challenge, yet few studies have specifically addressed 30-day outcomes. Conventional pretransplant scores such as the age-appropriate MELD/PELD score were not designed for post-transplant risk prediction. We aimed to evaluate whether dynamic postoperative biomarker trajectories and novel composite ratios can identify high-risk patients. Methods: This single-center retrospective cohort study included 140 consecutive pediatric patients (30 days, n = 129). PRISM-III, PELOD-2, and age-appropriate MELD/PELD scores were evaluated. Serial laboratory parameters were collected at pretransplant and at 0, 24, and 72 h. Delta (Δ) values and composite ratios—including lactate clearance, lactate-to-albumin ratio (LAR), INR×lactate product, platelet ratio, and fibrinogen/INR—were calculated. Penalized logistic regression (Firth method) was used for multivariate analysis. Internal validation was performed using bootstrap resampling (1000 iterations) and leave-one-out cross-validation (LOO-CV). Because two of the three components of the multivariable model (ΔINR, ΔALT) were derived from 72-h values, the model is best understood as a 72-h landmark risk model rather than as an immediate post-transplant early-warning tool. Results: The 30-day mortality rate was 7.9% (11/140), with central nervous system complications as the leading cause (36.4%). PRISM-III demonstrated excellent discrimination (AUROC 0.957; cut-off ≥ 14); the age-appropriate MELD/PELD score, a pretransplant tool not designed for post-transplant prediction, showed near-chance performance (AUROC 0.513; p = 0.576). A distinctive biomarker crossover pattern was observed: non-survivors had paradoxically lower pretransplant INR, ALT, and LAR values, but trajectories diverged sharply by 24 h. The INR×lactate product achieved an AUROC of 0.981 at 72 h. LAR at 24 h achieved 0.909, and lactate clearance at 0 → 72 h achieved 0.783. Postoperative hypernatremia emerged as a strong predictor (AUROC 0.884). In multivariate analysis, PRISM-III (OR 4.00), ΔINR (OR 3.28), and ΔALT (OR 3.46) were independent predictors (apparent AUROC 0.989). Internal validation confirmed model stability: bootstrap-corrected AUROC was 0.978; LOO-CV AUROC was 0.957 (sensitivity 90.9%, specificity 96.9%). Conclusions: Dynamic postoperative factors—rather than pretransplant disease severity—appeared more strongly associated with 30-day mortality after pediatric liver transplantation in this single-center exploratory analysis. The INR×lactate product, a novel two-variable composite, showed very high apparent discrimination (AUROC 0.981) and is proposed as a hypothesis-generating candidate marker requiring prospective external validation before any clinical use. The combined PRISM-III + ΔINR + ΔALT model (best understood as a 72-h landmark risk model, since two of its three components are defined at 72 h postoperatively) demonstrated robust internal validation performance (LOO-CV AUROC 0.957); however, given the small number of events (n = 11) and the absence of external validation, the model should be regarded as exploratory.

30 October 2026 in Anz Journal of Surgery
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
TYTonguc Utku Yilmaz
Tonguc Utku Yilmaz
MYMurat Yıldar
Murat Yıldar
BGBurak Emre Gündüz
Burak Emre Gündüz
SUSamet Engin UÇAR
Samet Engin UÇAR
EPEcem Polater
Ecem Polater
HKHamdi KARAKAYALI
Hamdi KARAKAYALI

17 December 2025 in Asian Journal of Surgery
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
MCMeltem Guner Can
Meltem Guner Can
AOALİ Ozer
ALİ Ozer
ETEmre Tunçcan
Emre Tunçcan
TYTonguç Utku Yılmaz
Tonguç Utku Yılmaz
MIMuzeyyen Iyigün
Muzeyyen Iyigün
HKHamdi KARAKAYALI
Hamdi KARAKAYALI