Real-time strawberry volume estimation is a pivotal technology for automated harvesting and precision grading. However, conventional contact methods are prone to damaging fruits, while existing vision-based approaches struggle to balance high accuracy with low computational overhead. To address these challenges, this study proposes a two-stage real-time volume estimation framework coupling a red-green-blue-depth (RGB-D) sensor with an “Instance segmentation–Principal-axis slicing” framework. First, to precisely extract target contours in complex backgrounds, we designed Deformable Feature Aware-YOLO (DFA-YOLO) based on the YOLO11-seg architecture. This model enhances the geometric perception of irregular fruit edges and effectively overcomes the challenges of background noise and multi-scale variations, providing high-precision masks for subsequent spatial mapping. Subsequently, a principal-axis-slicing algorithm extracts the mask’s centroid and principal axis, perpendicularly slicing the mask into infinitesimal micro-slices. By computing and accumulating the pixel-space volume of these slices, the system converts them into precise 3D physical volumes based on RGB-D depth mapping. The entire system was deployed on an NVIDIA Jetson Orin edge computing platform and validated in a greenhouse. Experimental results demonstrate that the estimated volume highly agrees with the true volume, achieving a coefficient of determination (R²) of 0.945 and a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 9.0%. Under typical operating conditions (1–5 targets per field of view), the system maintains an overall frame rate of 8–15 FPS, requiring only 55 ms for single-fruit estimation. This method exhibits favorable stability and lightweight efficiency under the tested greenhouse conditions, offering a reliable solution for real-time non-destructive crop phenotypic monitoring in computationally constrained agricultural environments.

Highly perishable strawberries demand strict post-harvest time management, making accurate short-term yield prediction central to optimizing modern greenhouse production and supply chain scheduling. However, existing models that rely excessively on isolated environmental factors exhibit delayed responsiveness to actual crop physiological dynamics and struggle with integrating multimodal data. To overcome these limitations, we propose a short-term method for predicting greenhouse strawberry yield that integrates visual phenology with meteorological sequences. The proposed method was validated using a multimodal dataset acquired from 150 tracked greenhouse strawberry plants over a 72-day monitoring period (11 December 2025, to 20 February 2026), incorporating continuous microclimate records and an image repository of 784 original images annotated into five distinct phenological classes (flower, green, white, pink, and red). First, using our improved YOLO11-SC model, we effectively resolve challenges of complex illumination and dense foliage occlusion, achieving high-precision automated extraction of five consecutive strawberry phenological stages. Second, by fusing these visual markers with meteorological time series (e.g., temperature, humidity, and light intensity), we construct a multimodal spatiotemporal feature matrix. To accommodate diverse smart agriculture application scenarios, we designed two distinct prediction architectures: on servers with ample computing power, a Bidirectional Temporal Convolutional Network with self-attention (BiTCN-SA) to achieve highly accurate predictions; and for resource-constrained IoT edge nodes, a lightweight machine learning ensemble (Stack-LGR). Experimental results demonstrate that, in predicting the cumulative mature fruit yield within the next harvesting cycle, BiTCN-SA achieves strong performance with a coefficient of determination ($R^2$) of 0.958 and a root mean square error (RMSE) of 3.154. Simultaneously, the edge-deployed Stack-LGR ensemble maintains stable prediction accuracy ($R^2$ = 0.892) while ensuring acceptable inference latency. This study mitigates the latency limitations of single-environment-driven models. It provides a solution for precise crop yield prediction and tiered computational deployment, with good predictive performance, deployment adaptability, and methodological reference value.