Osteoporosis, a skeletal disorder, is expected to affect 60% of women aged over 50 years. Dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) scans, the current gold standard, are typically used post-fracture, highlighting the need for early detection tools. Panoramic radiographs (PRs), common in annual dental evaluations, have been explored for osteoporosis detection using deep learning, but methodological flaws have cast doubt on otherwise optimistic results. This study aims to develop a robust artificial intelligence (AI) application for accurate osteoporosis identification in PRs, contributing to early and reliable diagnostics. A total of 250 PRs from three groups (A: osteoporosis group, B: non-osteoporosis group matching A in age and gender, C: non-osteoporosis group differing from A in age and gender) were cropped to the mental foramen region. A pretrained convolutional neural network (CNN) classifier was used for training, testing, and validation with a random split of the dataset into subsets (A vs. B, A vs. C). Detection accuracy and area under the curve (AUC) were calculated. The method achieved an F1 score of 0.74 and an AUC of 0.8401 (A vs. B). For young patients (A vs. C), it performed with 98% accuracy and an AUC of 0.9812. This study presents a proof-of-concept algorithm, demonstrating the potential of deep learning to identify osteoporosis in dental radiographs. It also highlights the importance of methodological rigor, as not all optimistic results are credible.

Background: Osteoporosis, a systemic skeletal disorder, is expected to affect 60% of women over 50. While dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) scans are the current gold standard for diagnosis, they are typically used only after fractures occur, highlighting the need for early detection tools. Initial studies have shown panoramic radiographs (PRs) to be a potential medium, but these have methodological flaws. This study aims to address these shortcomings by developing a robust AI application for accurate osteoporosis identification in PRs. Methods: A total of 348 PRs were used for development, 58 PRs for validation, and 51 PRs for hold-out testing. Initially, the YOLOv8 object detection model was employed to predict the regions of interest. Subsequently, the predicted regions of interest were extracted from the PRs and processed by the EfficientNet classification model. Results: The model for osteoporosis detection on a PR achieved an overall sensitivity of 0.83 and an F1-score of 0.53. The area under the curve (AUC) was 0.76. The lowest detection sensitivity was for the cropped angulus region (0.66), while the highest sensitivity was for the cropped mental foramen region (0.80). Conclusion: This research presents a proof-of-concept algorithm showing the potential of deep learning to identify osteoporosis in dental radiographs. Furthermore, our thorough evaluation of existing algorithms revealed that many optimistic outcomes lack credibility when subjected to rigorous methodological scrutiny.