Limited knowledge about how nitrogen (N) dynamics are affected by climate change, weather variability, and crop management is a major barrier to improving the productivity and environmental performance of soybean-based cropping systems. To fill this knowledge gap, we created a systems understanding of agroecosystem N dynamics and quantified the impact of controllable (management) and uncontrollable (weather, climate) factors on N fluxes and soybean yields. We performed a simulation experiment across 10 soybean production environments in the United States using the Agricultural Production Systems sIMulator (APSIM) model and future climate projections from five global circulation models. Climate change (2020–2080) increased N mineralization (24%) and N₂O emissions (19%) but decreased N fixation (32%), seed N (20%), and yields (19%). Soil and crop management practices altered N fluxes at a similar magnitude as climate change but in many different directions, revealing opportunities to improve soybean systems’ performance. Among many practices explored, we identified two solutions with great potential: improved residue management (short-term) and water management (long-term). Inter-annual weather variability and management practices affected soybean yield less than N fluxes, which creates opportunities to manage N fluxes without compromising yields, especially in regions with adequate to excess soil moisture. This work provides actionable results (tradeoffs, synergies, directions) to inform decision-making for adapting crop management in a changing climate to improve soybean production systems.

Quantifying historical changes in maize leaf angle and factors affecting it can enhance our understanding of canopy architecture and light capture, and hence crop productivity. Our objectives were to (1) quantify leaf angle genetic gain per canopy position in Bayer's legacy maize (Zea mays L.) hybrids; (2) dissect the contribution of breeding from plant density on historical changes in leaf angle; and (3) synthesize our findings with literature to determine leaf angle changes over a century of breeding. We measured leaf angle in 78 maize hybrids released between 1980 and 2020 across eight environments in the US Corn Belt. We found that new hybrids had on average 6° more erect leaves than old hybrids. The leaf angle genetic gain (toward more erect leaves) was on average 0.08% year⁻¹ for the middle canopy leaves and eightfold larger for the flag leaf. Our results revealed a synergistic effect with similar contributions of maize breeding and plant density on historical leaf angle changes in the middle canopy. However, changes in the bottom and top canopy leaves were due to breeding. Our results, combined with literature, revealed consistent trends toward more vertical leaves over a century of maize breeding, but the leaf angle genetic gain is slowing down in the last decades. This suggests that leaf angle may have reached near‐optimum levels and that multiple ways to maintain the grain yield genetic gain have been functioning in maize breeding. Our study provides prospects to inform breeders and crop modelers to better understand maize leaf architecture and crop yields.