ClimateHub, the National Collaboration Programme (NCP) in Greece aims at delivering innovative services to national authorities regulating the energy sector by developing climate-based tools and services building on the C3S experience. As a service provider, ClimateHub fills the knowledge and service gap on climate information at time scales exceeding the typical weather forecast. Through a co-design approach, ClimateHub has identified three applications where public authorities have virtually no access to climate-related impacts on the renewable energy sources (RES) sector at seasonal and decadal time scales, (a) energy demand, (b) solar power and (c) wind power. This study addresses the performance of ECWMF SEAS5 seasonal and the CMCC-CM2-SR5 decadal prediction systems over Greece, for near-surface temperature.

Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) is widely used for marine oil spill surveillance due to its all-weather capabilities and sensitivity to sea surface roughness. However, oil slicks often appear as dark formations that can be confounded with visually similar “look-alikes”, making automated detection and boundary delineation challenging. This study proposes a two-stage deep learning framework for oil spill mapping in Sentinel-1 SAR imagery. First, a ConvNeXt-T classifier screens image patches for likely slick presence, reducing the search space for dense prediction. Second, spill boundaries are extracted with a domain-adapted Segment Anything Model (SAM) configured for prompt-free, single-shot segmentation. The input representation is enhanced by combining preprocessed Sentinel-1 VV backscatter with Gray-Level Co-occurrence Matrix (GLCM) texture measures (homogeneity and variance) to better separate oil from heterogeneous background sea at the segmentation level. Quantitative evaluation against established segmentation baselines demonstrates that our adapted SAM achieves the highest overall accuracy, reaching an F1-score of 0.86. This outperforms traditional models such as UNet and CBDNet (0.83), as well as DeepLabV3, SegNeXt, and OFCNet (all at 0.82). Furthermore, an analysis of the wind speed on the test set shows that wind speed affects detectability but does not by itself determine segmentation quality. The results indicate that combining transformer-based screening with efficient foundation-model adaptation can provide accurate and scalable oil spill mapping for operational SAR monitoring.

Foundation models for Earth observation are commonly transferred to downstream tasks without explicit attention to the preprocessing mismatch between pretraining and target distributions. This study isolates preprocessing mismatch as a controlled experimental factor in transferring the Hydro multispectral foundation model, a Swin Transformer V2 Base encoder pretrained with SimMIM on Sentinel-2 Level-2A water-body imagery, to the Marine Debris and Oil Spill (MADOS) marine pollution benchmark dataset, processed through ACOLITE Rayleigh reflectance and providing 11 of the 12 spectral bands used during pretraining. The two datasets are therefore produced by different atmospheric correction algorithms under different reflectance conventions, and the resulting per-band statistical discrepancy is quantified as the starting point of the analysis. Three preprocessing dimensions are then systematically varied while all other settings are held constant: input normalisation, spectral band adaptation for the missing B09, and encoder transfer mode. From this, four findings emerge. Normalisation mismatch between training and inference is the single largest source of performance degradation, reducing the mean Intersection over Union (mIoU) by 0.458, more than seven times the largest radiometric perturbation tested. A zero-parameter Frobenius-matched column crop of the patch embedding adapts the 12-band pretrained encoder to the 11-band target, at least as effectively as any learnt linear or nonlinear adapter, at a lower cross-seed variance. Under limited target supervision (1433 training patches against an 87.9 million-parameter encoder), freezing the encoder outperforms both fine-tuning in full and random initialisation training from scratch. The gains of partial unfreezing are attributable to augmented training (very simple copy–paste (VSCP) augmentation, exponential moving average (EMA), and test-time augmentation (TTA)) rather than to encoder adaptation. With matched preprocessing, the frozen encoder reaches 0.600 mIoU and matches the published MariNeXt baseline within seed variability. Mechanistic analysis via band-occlusion attribution and feature-space separability shows that input normalisation determines which spectral bands the encoder relies upon, with the magnitude of the shift correlated to the per-band gap between the source and target distributions. Operationally, preprocessing alignment, rather than architectural modification, carries most of the practical effort in transferring a multispectral foundation model to marine surface segmentation. These results are established for a single encoder–benchmark pair under limited target supervision. The mechanism they identify is more portable than the magnitude reported. A frozen encoder’s representations remain bound to the normalisation statistics of its pretraining dataset, so any transfer that departs from these statistics at inference is predicted to degrade sharply in proportion to the per-band distance between the two distributions.