Pengbo Guo

Dr. Pengbo Guo


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

4Years (2023-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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31 July 2023 in Indian Journal of Medical Microbiology
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PGPengbo Guo
Pengbo Guo
SMShiyue Mei
Shiyue Mei
YWYanhong Wang
Yanhong Wang
XZXuan Zheng
Xuan Zheng
LLLifeng Li
Lifeng Li
YCYibing Cheng
Yibing Cheng

13 January 2026 in Frontiers in Cellular and Infection Microbiology
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
ZXZhiyi Xia
Zhiyi Xia
XLXue Li
Xue Li
ASAdong Shen
Adong Shen
IMIgor Mokrousov
Igor Mokrousov
PGPengbo Guo
Pengbo Guo
ZYZhang Yaodong
Zhang Yaodong
Background: Human respiratory syncytial virus (HRSV) is a leading cause of acute respiratory infections in children. COVID-19 NPIs significantly suppressed HRSV transmission. This study analyzed six-year epidemiological dynamics of pediatric HRSV infections in Henan Province, China, focusing on NPI suppression effects, the 2023 resurgence, and “Immune debt” impact. Methods: We retrospectively collected respiratory specimens from 80,920 children with acute respiratory diseases at Henan Children’s Hospital (2019-2024). HRSV was detected using RT-qPCR. Positivity rates were analyzed by year, season, and age group. Results: During 2019–2024, HRSV positivity fluctuated markedly: 14.65% (2019), 16.34% (2021), 3.27% (2022 under strict NPIs), 21.47% (2023 post-NPIs), and 6.80% (2024). Interrupted time-series analysis indicated that NPI lifting in 2023 was associated with a significant surge in infection risk (OR = 668.77, 95% CI: 47.03–9509.28). Seasonal patterns shifted substantially, with the characteristic winter peak replaced by an off-season spring outbreak in April 2023 (57.41%). Multivariable logistic regression identified age as the strongest predictor, with infants <1 year having the highest risk (aOR = 9.02, 95% CI: 8.31–9.79) and a 4.91-fold higher positivity rate than school-aged children (22.98% vs. 4.68%; 95% CI: 4.59–5.25; P < 0.001). Conclusions: NPIs dramatically affected HRSV epidemiology. The intense post-suppression rebound strongly supports the “Immune debt” theory—accumulation of susceptible children driving resurgence. Establishing year-round, multi-pathogen surveillance systems is crucial for post-pandemic public health challenges.