Antarctic basal melt is crucial for the future evolution of the Antarctic ice sheet and ocean circulation. However, few Earth system models explicitly simulate ice-shelf cavities. Here, using an Earth system model with interactive Antarctic ice-shelf cavities, we show that regional hydrography and topography determine a cavity tipping point. The Filchner–Ronne ice-shelf cavity will encounter such a tipping point with abrupt warm-water intrusion, rapid basal melt increase and massive freshwater release in response to increasing CO2 levels within this century. Conversely, the Ross Ice Shelf shows a more gradual response. Our results also suggest that previous ice-sheet modelling overestimated future ice-shelf melt, highlighting the need for comprehensive Earth system models with interactive ice-sheet dynamics and cavities for better climate projections.
The Oceanic Regional Circulation and Tide Model (ORCTM), including a nonhydrostatic dynamics module which can numerically reproduce internal solitary wave (ISW) dynamics, is presented in this paper. The performance of a baroclinic tidal simulation is also examined in regional modeling with open boundary conditions. The model control equations are characterized by three-dimensional and fully nonlinear forms considering incompressible Boussinesq fluid in Z coordinates. The pressure field is decomposed into the surface, hydrostatic, and nonhydrostatic components on the orthogonal curvilinear Arakawa-C grid. The nonhydrostatic pressure determined by the intermediate velocity divergence field is obtained via solving a three-dimensional Poisson equation based on a pressure correction method. Model validation experiments for ISW simulations with the topographic change in the two-layer and continuously stratified ocean demonstrate that ORCTM has a considerable capacity for reproducing the life cycle of internal solitary wave evolution and tide–topography interactions.
13 January 2023 in Geoscientific Model Development
Tides are proved to have a significant effect on the ocean and climate. Previous modelling research either adds a tidal mixing parameterisation or an explicit tidal forcing to the ocean models. However, no research compares the two approaches in the same framework. Here we implement both schemes in a general ocean circulation model and assess both methods by comparing the results. The aspects for comparison involve hydrography, sea ice, meridional overturning circulation (MOC), vertical diffusivity, barotropic streamfunction and energy diagnostics. We conclude that although the mesh resolution is poor in resolving internal tides in most mid-latitude and shelf-break areas, explicit tidal forcing still shows stronger tidal mixing at the Kuril–Aleutian Ridge and the Indonesian Archipelago than the tidal mixing parameterisation. Beyond that, the explicit tidal forcing method leads to a stronger upper cell of the Atlantic MOC by enhancing the Pacific MOC and the Indonesian Throughflow. Meanwhile, the tidal mixing parameterisation leads to a stronger lower cell of the Atlantic MOC due to the tidal mixing in deep oceans. Both methods maintain the Antarctic Circumpolar Current at a higher level than the control run by increasing the meridional density gradient. We also show several phenomena that are not considered in the tidal mixing parameterisation, for example, the changing of energy budgets in the ocean system, the bottom drag induced mixing on the continental shelves and the sea ice transport by tidal motions. Due to the limit of computational capacity, an internal-tide-resolving simulation is not feasible for climate studies. However, a high-resolution short-term tidal simulation is still required to improve parameters and parameterisation schemes in climate studies.
During the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), tidal dissipation was about 3-fold higher than today, which could have led to a considerable increase in vertical mixing. This increase might have enhanced the glacial Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), contradicting the shoaled AMOC indicated by paleoproxies. Here, we conduct ocean model simulations to investigate the impact of background climate conditions and tidal mixing on the AMOC during the LGM. We successfully reproduce the stratified ocean characteristics of the LGM by accurately simulating the elevated salinity of the deep sea and the rapid temperature decrease in the ocean's upper layers. Our findings indicate that the shoaled glacial AMOC is mainly due to strong glacial-ocean stratification, regardless of enhanced tidal dissipation. However, glacial tidal dissipation plays a critical role in the intensification of Antarctic Bottom Water (AABW) during the LGM. Given the critical role of the AMOC in (de-)glacial climate evolution, our results highlight the complex interactions of ocean stratification and tidal dissipation that have been neglected so far.
The past occurrence of an extreme ~1-kilometer–thick Arctic Ocean–Nordic Seas ice shelf has been inferred from submarine landscape features and geochemical records, although fundamental aspects of its characteristics, impacts, and timing remain highly debated. Here, we challenge this pan-Arctic glaciation hypothesis by investigating two sites from the Arctic-Atlantic gateway (AAG) and the Nordic Seas. Suborbital to millennial-scale surface water bioproductivity changes provide no evidence for a continuous ice shelf in the AAG and the Nordic Seas over the past ~750,000 years. Instead, proxy data and model simulations reveal the persistent presence of seasonal sea ice cover and open water phytoplankton blooms during both glacial and interglacial times. If the AAG and Nordic Seas were ever covered by an ice shelf during these times, then it must have been a partial, or at best, a very short-lived glacial phenomenon.
Paleo‐proxy data indicate that during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM), the volume of Antarctic Bottom Water (AABW) in the Atlantic was nearly four times greater than it is today. We employed an ocean‐only model to simulate the galcial ocean and sea‐ice conditions. Our simulations reveal two key mechanisms driving its greater volume. First, while present‐day sea ice formation is driven largely by seasonal changes, the glacial mechanism is the substantial export of sea ice toward lower latitudes. The glacial sea ice formation was more than quadruple current levels, providing a steady source of Dense Shelf Water (DSW) crucial for AABW expansion. Second, weaker mixing between North Atlantic Deep Water (NADW) and AABW during the LGM allows the latter to maintain the colder, denser properties of its DSW origin. Together, these factors clarify how glacial conditions supported significantly greater AABW volumes, aligning well with paleo‐proxy evidence.