This study aims to determine how randomly splitting a dataset into training and test sets affects the estimated performance of a machine learning model and its gap from the test performance under different conditions, using real-world brain tumor radiomics data. We conducted two classification tasks of different difficulty levels with magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) radiomics features: (1) “Simple” task, glioblastomas [n = 109] vs. brain metastasis [n = 58] and (2) “difficult” task, low- [n = 163] vs. high-grade [n = 95] meningiomas. Additionally, two undersampled datasets were created by randomly sampling 50% from these datasets. We performed random training-test set splitting for each dataset repeatedly to create 1,000 different training-test set pairs. For each dataset pair, the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator model was trained and evaluated using various validation methods in the training set, and tested in the test set, using the area under the curve (AUC) as an evaluation metric. The AUCs in training and testing varied among different training-test set pairs, especially with the undersampled datasets and the difficult task. The mean (±standard deviation) AUC difference between training and testing was 0.039 (±0.032) for the simple task without undersampling and 0.092 (±0.071) for the difficult task with undersampling. In a training-test set pair with the difficult task without undersampling, for example, the AUC was high in training but much lower in testing (0.882 and 0.667, respectively); in another dataset pair with the same task, however, the AUC was low in training but much higher in testing (0.709 and 0.911, respectively). When the AUC discrepancy between training and test, or generalization gap, was large, none of the validation methods helped sufficiently reduce the generalization gap. Our results suggest that machine learning after a single random training-test set split may lead to unreliable results in radiomics studies especially with small sample sizes.
We evaluated the diagnostic performance and generalizability of traditional machine learning and deep learning models for distinguishing glioblastoma from single brain metastasis using radiomics. The training and external validation cohorts comprised 166 (109 glioblastomas and 57 metastases) and 82 (50 glioblastomas and 32 metastases) patients, respectively. Two-hundred-and-sixty-five radiomic features were extracted from semiautomatically segmented regions on contrast-enhancing and peritumoral T2 hyperintense masks and used as input data. For each of a deep neural network (DNN) and seven traditional machine learning classifiers combined with one of five feature selection methods, hyperparameters were optimized through tenfold cross-validation in the training cohort. The diagnostic performance of the optimized models and two neuroradiologists was tested in the validation cohort for distinguishing glioblastoma from metastasis. In the external validation, DNN showed the highest diagnostic performance, with an area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of 0.956 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.918–0.990), 90.6% (95% CI, 80.5–100), 88.0% (95% CI, 79.0–97.0), and 89.0% (95% CI, 82.3–95.8), respectively, compared to the best-performing traditional machine learning model (adaptive boosting combined with tree-based feature selection; AUC, 0.890 (95% CI, 0.823–0.947)) and human readers (AUC, 0.774 [95% CI, 0.685–0.852] and 0.904 [95% CI, 0.852–0.951]). The results demonstrated deep learning using radiomic features can be useful for distinguishing glioblastoma from metastasis with good generalizability.
Off-target binding in the basal ganglia is commonly observed in the 18F-AV-1451 PET studies of the elderly. We sought to investigate the relationship between this phenomenon in the basal ganglia and iron accumulation using iron-sensitive R2* MRI. Methods: Fifty-nine healthy controls and 61 patients with Alzheimer disease and mild cognitive impairment underwent 18F-AV-1451 PET and R2* MRI studies. A correlation analysis was performed for age, 18F-AV-1451 binding, and R2* values. Results: There was an age-related increase in both 18F-AV-1451 binding in the basal ganglia and R2* values in the putamen in both the controls and the Alzheimer disease/mild cognitive impairment patients. 18F-AV-1451 binding in the basal ganglia increased with R2* values. Conclusion: Off-target 18F-AV-1451 binding in the basal ganglia is associated with the age-related increases in iron accumulation. Postmortem studies are required to further investigate the nature of this association.