Askar Bakytzhan

Dr. Askar Bakytzhan


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

1Year (2026-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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24 September 2026 in Information
Verified
Journal Article
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MSMagzhan Sarsenbay
Magzhan Sarsenbay
SZSerik Zhuzbayev
Serik Zhuzbayev
GBGulmira Baenova
Gulmira Baenova
GAGulnur Alkhanova
Gulnur Alkhanova
RNRozamgul S. Niyazova
Rozamgul S. Niyazova
ABAskar Bakytzhan
Askar Bakytzhan
Machine-learning surrogates predict composite properties but report no calibrated reliability and may violate physics. Bound-constrained conformal prediction confines intervals to physical bounds but assumes them exact. This paper keeps the corridor as a hard constraint and characterizes what a decision-support system guarantees when it is wrong. If a fraction η of responses lies outside the corridor, no admissible interval covers more than 1−η, so the nominal level 1−α is attainable only if η≤α. A projection-aware calibration scores out-of-corridor points as infinitely nonconforming. Its marginal coverage is at least 1−α−ηπ∞ at every calibration size (π∞ the fallback probability); its coverage across calibrations follows an exact Beta law. In the limit it reaches the nominal level whenever attainable; calibrate-then-clip loses up to η. For η<α the system thus delivers admissible intervals at the nominal level for a small, quantified width premium, with a feasibility verdict and a Shapley explanation. Across eight datasets it recovers the nominal level on a woven laminate with a misspecified rule-of-mixtures bound (90.3% against 85.6% for naive projection) and tracks the frontier under normative bounds the data contradict. Under exact Voigt–Reuss bounds it removes all violations and narrows intervals thirteen-fold. Width, paid inside the corridor, is the price.