The aim of this article is to introduce the general form (so called RT class) of the robust and classical Jarque–Bera (JB) test based on the location functional. We introduce the two-step procedure which is optimal for testing against the individual or contaminated Pareto alternative. As a reference for such a contamination we consider different Pareto distributions. We also give practical guidelines for robust testing for normality against short- and heavy-tailed alternatives. We concentrate mainly on simulation results for moderate and small samples. However, we also prove consistency and asymptotic distribution for introduced tests. We show that as the suitable measure of nominal level of Pareto tail parameter we may take the t-Hill estimator introduced in the article. To guarantee the consistency of the whole procedure, we also prove the consistency of t-Hill estimator. The introduced general class of robust tests of the normality is illustrated at the selected datasets of financial time series.
We describe a novel method of heavy tails estimation based on transformed score (t-score). Based on a new score moment method we derive the t-Hill estimator, which estimates the extreme value index of a distribution function with regularly varying tail. t-Hill estimator is distribution sensitive, thus it differs in e.g. Pareto and log-gamma case. Here, we study both forms of the estimator, i.e. t-Hill and t-lgHill. For both estimators we prove weak consistency in moving average settings as well as the asymptotic normality of t-lgHill estimator in iid setting. In cases of contamination with heavier tails than the tail of original sample, t-Hill outperforms several robust tail estimators, especially in small samples. A simulation study emphasizes the fact that the level of contamination is playing a crucial role. The larger the contamination, the better are the t-score moment estimates. The reason for this is the bounded t-score of heavy-tailed distributions (and, consequently, bounded influence functions of the estimators). We illustrate the developed methodology on a small sample data set of stake measurements from Guanaco glacier in Chile.
30 September 2019 in Journal of Applied Statistics
We study ARCH/GARCH effects under possible deviation from normality. Since skewness is the principal cause for deviations from normality in many practical applications, e.g. finance, we study in particular skewness. We propose robust tests for normality both for NoVaS and modified NoVaS transformed and original data. Such an approach is not applicable for EGARCH, but applicable for GARCH-GJR models. A novel test procedure is proposed for the skewness in autoregressive conditional volatility models. The power of the tests is investigated with various underlying models. Applications with financial data show the applicability and the capabilities of the proposed testing procedure.
1 February 2019 in Chemometrics and Intelligent Laboratory Systems
Stochastic robustness of control systems under random excitation motivates challenging developments in geometric approach to robustness. The assumption of normality is rarely met when analyzing real data and thus the use of classic parametric methods with violated assumptions can result in the inaccurate computation of p-values, effect sizes, and confidence intervals. Therefore, quite naturally, research on robust testing for normality has become a new trend. Robust testing for normality can have counterintuitive behavior, some of the problems have been introduced in Stehlík et al. [Chemometrics and Intelligent Laboratory Systems 130 ( 2014 Stehlík, M. , Střelec, L. , and Thulin, M. 2014. On robust testing for normality in chemometrics. Chemometrics and Intelligent Laboratory Systems 130:98–108. [Crossref], [Web of Science ®] [Google Scholar] ): 98–108]. Here we concentrate on explanation of small-sample effects of normality testing and its robust properties, and embedding these questions into the more general question of testing for sphericity. We give geometric explanations for the critical tests. It turns out that the tests are robust against changes of the density generating function within the class of all continuous spherical sample distributions.