The integration of wind energy into power systems has intensified as a result of the urgency for global energy transition. This requires more accurate forecasting techniques that can capture the variability of the wind resource to achieve better operative performance of power systems. This paper presents an exhaustive review of the state-of-the-art of wind-speed and -power forecasting models for wind turbines located in different segments of power systems, i.e., in large wind farms, distributed generation, microgrids, and micro-wind turbines installed in residences and buildings. This review covers forecasting models based on statistical and physical, artificial intelligence, and hybrid methods, with deterministic or probabilistic approaches. The literature review is carried out through a bibliometric analysis using VOSviewer and Pajek software. A discussion of the results is carried out, taking as the main approach the forecast time horizon of the models to identify their applications. The trends indicate a predominance of hybrid forecast models for the analysis of power systems, especially for those with high penetration of wind power. Finally, it is determined that most of the papers analyzed belong to the very short-term horizon, which indicates that the interest of researchers is in this time horizon.
The power transformer is one of the most critical assets in power systems; therefore, planning and optimizing the economic investment for its replacement is crucial for the financial efficiency of the utility. A compilation of the main approaches reported in the literature for the replacement of oil-immersed power transformers is presented in this article. A chronological description of procedures presented in the literature for the determination of risk index, useful life evaluation, and transformer replacements is provided. Methodologies that use the theoretical basis of the degree of polymerization of the solid insulation of the units through the oxidation aging process to estimate their condition bring together the best tools currently available to achieve this objective. However, it is important and pertinent to complement these methodologies by considering the aging processes by pyrolysis and hydrolysis together and by incorporating economic analyses for appropriate replacement and management of these aged units.
1 April 2011 in IET Generation, Transmission & Distribution
Harmonics in power systems are responsible for several technical problems that justify the development of models to study them. Well-established models exist to analyse the harmonic load-flow (HLF) from a deterministic point of view. Moreover, models based on the probability theory have been developed to deal with the inherent variability and random nature of loads, network configuration etc. In the last few years, possibility theory has arisen as an alternative tool that in many cases could be better suited to describe and quantify the real nature of the uncertainty involved in harmonic studies. In this study a methodology for HLF calculation based on the possibility theory is presented. Possibility distributions instead of probabilities are the input used to describe the uncertainty in the magnitude and composition of the loads. Tests presented shows that the results of the proposed model are consistent with those obtained with a probabilistic method, and that both models lead to the same ranking of the risk that the bus harmonic voltages exceed a given level. Independent possibility distributions are assumed at the development stage reported here; research is being carried out in order to overcome this constraint.
Harmonic distortion in residential distribution networks is increasing due to the penetration of multiple nonlinear loads, including modern technologies such as plug-in electric vehicles and energy efficient lighting (e.g., compact fluorescent and LED lamps). The distributed nature of these loads introduces complexity in the analysis of harmonic propagation. Therefore, more sophisticated tools are needed to investigate this issue, on the basis of formerly established methodologies. This paper presents a literature review on the assessment of the harmonic distortion in residential distribution networks. To that end, bibliographic data of the most representative publications related to the topic were obtained. From these data, a novel citation analysis method was developed to construct a chronologically organized direct citation network. Based on the temporal evolution of the citation network, the aforementioned issue is presented, identifying lines of research and proposed methodologies. From the analysis of the literature review, the stages for modeling and simulating harmonic propagation are identified and described. The principal aspects to be addressed for obtaining an accurate harmonic analysis are also identified and detailed, namely, harmonic interaction, diversity, unbalance, and uncertainty. Finally, main conclusions are highlighted.
Large-scale penetration of power electronic-based loads is a concern in modern distribution networks due to the increase in harmonic distortion. Harmonic analysis in frequency-domain is suitable to deal with this problem due to the high computational efficiency. This type of analysis relies on the accuracy of nonlinear load models. This paper presents the development of a coupled admittance matrix model, able to characterize the interaction between harmonic voltages and currents, for a single-phase rectifier. The model was obtained by carrying out simulations in Matlab/Simulink. The dependence of the admittances on the phase angles of the harmonic voltages is considered by means of the tensor representation of the matrix. Besides, the effect of the variation of voltage distortion magnitude is analyzed. One thousand cases with different voltage distortions were carried out to test the model. The validation is achieved by comparing the aforementioned results with the respective simulations in time-domain.