The application of machine learning to the study of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and their impacts on Earth has seen significant growth recently. Understanding and forecasting CME geoeffectiveness are crucial for protecting infrastructure in space and ensuring the resilience of technological systems on Earth. Here we present GeoCME, a deep-learning framework designed to predict, deterministically or probabilistically, whether a CME event that arrives at Earth will cause a geomagnetic storm. A geomagnetic storm is defined as a disturbance of the Earth’s magnetosphere during which the minimum Dst index value is less than −50 nT. GeoCME is trained on observations from the instruments including LASCO C2, EIT, and MDI on board the Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO), focusing on a dataset that includes 136 halo/partial halo CMEs in Solar Cycle 23. Using ensemble and transfer learning techniques, GeoCME is capable of extracting features hidden in the SOHO observations and making predictions based on the learned features. Our experimental results demonstrate the good performance of GeoCME, achieving a Matthew’s correlation coefficient of 0.807 and a true skill statistics score of 0.714 when the tool is used as a deterministic prediction model. When the tool is used as a probabilistic forecasting model, it achieves a Brier score of 0.094 and a Brier skill score of 0.493. These results are promising, showing that the proposed GeoCME can help enhance our understanding of CME-triggered solar-terrestrial interactions.

Background/Objectives: In the field of computer vision, prominent solutions often rely on transformers and convolutional neural networks (CNNs). Researchers frequently incorporate CNNs and transformers in developing image classification models. This study aims to introduce an innovative CNN model inspired by the Generative Pretrained Transformer (GPT) architecture and assess its image classification capabilities. Methods: This study utilized three distinct biomedical image datasets to evaluate the efficacy of the proposed GPTNeXt model. The datasets encompassed (i) Alzheimer’s disease (AD) magnetic resonance (MR) images, (ii) blood images, and (iii) lung cancer images. The choice of these datasets aimed to showcase the GPTNeXt model’s versatile classification performance. The GPTNeXt model and a deep feature engineering approach based on it were developed. In this deep feature engineering model, features were extracted from the global average pooling layer of GPTNeXt, and a novel deep feature extraction method was employed. This method extracted features from the entire image and generated nine fixed-size patches. To identify the most informative features, iterative neighborhood component analysis (INCA) was applied. The classification phase involved three shallow classifiers to produce classification results. Results: The GPTNeXt-based feature engineering model was applied to the three aforementioned biomedical image datasets, achieving classification accuracies exceeding 98% for all of them. Conclusions: This study demonstrates the high effectiveness of the proposed approach, as evidenced by the exceptional classification performance on the selected biomedical image datasets. Additionally, a lightweight CNN was introduced, showcasing outstanding classification performance.