Population-based studies suggest a mostly stable trend in overall breast cancer incidence rates,
1,2 although there are documented differences in trends by age at diagnosis and racial/ethnic groups.
1,3-5 Moreover, studies have reported racial/ethnic differences in the incidence rates of breast cancer subtypes, defined according to hormone receptor status or ERBB2 (formerly HER2) receptor status, but these studies have mostly considered few broad molecular subtype, race/ethnicity, or age categories.
6-8 A 2019 report
2 of temporal changes in breast cancer incidence rates from 2004 through 2016, which used only breast cancer subtypes by hormone receptor status, found that incidence rates increased for hormone receptor–positive breast cancers (corresponding to both luminal A and B molecular breast cancer subtypes) for all races/ethnicities, although rates began to stabilized after 2011 for non-Hispanic Black and American Indian and Alaska Native women. In contrast, hormone receptor–negative tumors (corresponding to both ERBB2-enriched and triple-negative molecular breast cancer subtypes) decreased for women of all racial/ethnic groups by 1.5% to 2.6% per year. Furthermore, differences in trends for women by 2 broad age groups (<50 years vs ≥50 years), were similar, although not statistically significant for the hormone receptor–negative decline in young American Indian and Alaska Native or older Hispanic women.
2 A previous cross-sectional study also examined breast cancer incidence rates by racial/ethnic and age group differences in 4 breast cancer molecular subtypes based on joint assessment of both hormone receptor status and ERBB2 status using 2010 cancer registry data.
6 However, studies assessing trends in the incidence rates of breast cancer subtypes are limited, as ERBB2 status was only required to be collected by cancer registries starting in 2010.