Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is a vital step in using mathematical models and simulations to take decisions. The field of cardiac simulation has begun to explore and adopt UQ methods to characterize uncertainty in model inputs and how that propagates through to outputs or predictions; examples of this can be seen in the papers of this issue. In this review and perspective piece, we draw attention to an important and under-addressed source of uncertainty in our predictions—that of uncertainty in the model structure or the equations themselves. The difference between imperfect models and reality is termed model discrepancy , and we are often uncertain as to the size and consequences of this discrepancy. Here, we provide two examples of the consequences of discrepancy when calibrating models at the ion channel and action potential scales. Furthermore, we attempt to account for this discrepancy when calibrating and validating an ion channel model using different methods, based on modelling the discrepancy using Gaussian processes and autoregressive-moving-average models, then highlight the advantages and shortcomings of each approach. Finally, suggestions and lines of enquiry for future work are provided. This article is part of the theme issue ‘Uncertainty quantification in cardiac and cardiovascular modelling and simulation’.

Cardiac imaging allows physicians to view the structure and function of the heart to detect various heart abnormalities, ranging from inefficiencies in contraction, regulation of volumetric input and output of blood, deficits in valve function and structure, accumulation of plaque in arteries, and more. Commonly used cardiovascular imaging techniques include x-ray, computed tomography (CT), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), echocardiogram, and positron emission tomography (PET)/single-photon emission computed tomography (SPECT). More recently, even more tools are at our disposal for investigating the heart’s physiology, performance, structure, and function due to technological advancements. This review study summarizes cardiac imaging techniques with a particular interest in MRI and CT, noting each tool’s origin, benefits, downfalls, clinical application, and advancement of cardiac imaging in the near future.

A microfluidic pumping flow model driven by electro-osmosis mechanisms is developed to analyze the flow characteristics of aqueous electrolytes. The pumping model is designed based on a single propagative rhythmic membrane contraction applied on the upper wall of a microchannel. The flow lubrication theory coupled with a nonlinear Poisson–Boltzmann equation is used to model the microchannel unsteady creeping flow and to describe the distribution of the electric potential across the electric double layer. A generic solution is obtained for the Poisson–Boltzmann equation without the Debye–Hückel linearization. The effects of zeta potential, Debye length, and electric field on the potential distribution, pressure distribution, velocity profiles, shear stress, and net flow rate are computed and interpreted in detail. The results have shown that this electrokinetic membrane pumping model can be used to understand microlevel transport phenomena in various physiological systems. The proposed model can also be integrated with other microfluidic devices for moving microvolume of liquids in artificial capillaries used in modern biomedical applications.

The blood flow dynamics in human arteries with hypertension disease is modeled using fractional calculus. The mathematical model is constructed using five-element lumped parameter arterial Windkessel representation. Fractional-order capacitors are used to represent the elastic properties of both proximal large arteries and distal small arteries measured from the heart aortic root. The proposed fractional model offers high flexibility in characterizing the arterial complex tree network. The results illustrate the validity of the new model and the physiological interpretability of the fractional differentiation order through a set of validation using human hypertensive patients. In addition, the results show that the fractional-order modeling approach yield a great potential to improve the understanding of the structural and functional changes in the large and small arteries due to hypertension disease.