This paper examines the financial cointegration and spillover effect of the global financial crisis to emerging Asian financial markets (India, China, Pakistan, Malaysia, Russia and Korea). The analysis used daily stock returns, divided into three time periods: pre-, during and post-crisis from 1 July 2005 to 30 June 2015. We applied the Johansen and Juselius cointegration test, the vector error correction model (V.E.C.M.) and the G.A.R.C.H.-B.E.K.K. model for an examination of integration and conditional volatility. We find long-term cointegration between the U.S. market and emerging stock markets, and the level of cointegration increased after the crisis period. The V.E.C.M. and impulse response function reveal that a shock in the U.S. financial market has a short-term impact on the returns of emerging financial markets. Past shocks and volatility have more effect on the selected stock markets during all time periods. The Korea Composite Stock Price Index and the Bombay stock exchange (B.S.E.) are the only stock markets that have cross-market news and volatility spillover effects during the crisis period. After the crisis period, news effects are positive on the B.S.E. and the Russian Trading System and have a negative effecton the Kuala Lumpur Stock Exchange and the Shanghai Stock Exchange.
1 September 2018 in Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money
The study examines the nexus between Basel capital requirements, banking sector risk-taking, and profitability in Asian emerging markets by using dynamic panel GMM methodology. The findings of the study suggest that regulatory capital positively affects risk-taking which validates the “regulatory hypothesis.” The findings also reveal that regulatory capital positively while risk negatively affects the profitability in the banking sector. The current study finds the bidirectional causality between the regulatory capital and risk-taking, implying that banks with higher capital ratios are expected to increase in risk-taking and vice versa. The findings also suggest that managerial ownership positively affects while foreign ownership negatively impacts risk-taking consistent with the agency theory of corporate governance. The study proposes that ownership structure has a significant influence on bank risk and profitability, however, the combined impact of regulatory capital through its interaction with the ownership structure is not proved to be significant.