In the process of oilfield development, it is important to predict the oil and gas production. The predicted value of oil production is the amount of oil that may be obtained within a certain area over a certain period. Because of the current demand for oil and gas production prediction, a prediction model using a multi-input convolutional neural network based on AlexNet is proposed in this paper. The model predicts real oilfield data and achieves good results: increasing prediction accuracy by 17.5%, 20.8%, 11.6%, 8.9%, 6.9%, and 14.9% with respect to the backpropagation neural network, support vector machine, artificial neural network, radial basis function neural network, K-nearest neighbor, and decision tree methods, respectively. It addresses the uncertainty of oil and gas production caused by the change in parameter values during the process of petroleum exploitation and has far-reaching application significance.
Proppants are one of the key materials for hydraulic fracturing, whose main role is to support fractures and create a channel through which oil and gas can flow. The nature of proppants is the most talked about feature besides their cost, for example, their sphericity, turbidity, particle size, or strength. The porosity, permeability, and fracture conductivity of proppants in fractures are also the main indicators to measure the performance of them. These indicators are usually obtained through physical experiments. However, experimental results often differ depending on the experimental scheme. Different stacking methods of proppant particles lead to this phenomenon. The nature of proppant particles in fractures varies with the way they accumulate. This paper will start with the microscopic arrangement of proppant particles. Considering the randomness and certainty of three-dimensional particle stacking and arrangement, the Monte Carlo stochastic method and an optimization model were used to conduct three-dimensional computer simulation of proppant particles. This lays an important foundation for revealing the randomness and regularity of the micro arrangement of proppant particles.
Tight conglomerate reservoirs are characterized by strong heterogeneity, significant in-situ stress differences, and unbalanced fracturing stimulation, which make fracture pressure prediction challenging and severely restrict the effectiveness of reservoir stimulation and ultimate recovery. Although acid pretreatment is an effective means to reduce fracture pressure, its quantitative relationship with fracture pressure remains unclear. There is an urgent need to establish a systematic method that integrates reservoir heterogeneity characterization, data augmentation, and intelligent prediction. Aiming at the tight conglomerate reservoir in the MH Block, this study proposes an intelligent fracture pressure prediction and acid pretreatment optimization method that integrates Self-Organizing Maps (SOMs), Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs), and Transformer models. First, SOM is used to perform unsupervised clustering of logging parameters to identify different geological feature categories and achieve fine-scale characterization of reservoir heterogeneity. Second, to address the issue of limited samples within each cluster, GAN is employed for high-quality data augmentation to expand the training sample set. Finally, a fracture pressure prediction model is constructed based on the Transformer architecture, and the influence of acid treatment parameters on fracture pressure is quantitatively analyzed using the SHAP method and laboratory experiments. The results show that the proposed model achieves a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.93, a root mean square error (RMSE) of 2.38 MPa, and a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 2.02% on the test set, with prediction accuracy significantly outperforming benchmark models such as BPNN, XGBoost, and LSTM. Ablation experiments verify that both the SOM clustering and GAN augmentation modules effectively enhance model performance. Analysis of acid treatment parameters indicates that hydrofluoric acid (HF) concentration is the dominant factor influencing fracture pressure reduction, and the mud acid system exhibits a stronger synergistic effect compared to the single hydrochloric acid system. Reasonable optimization of acid concentration and dosage can significantly reduce fracture pressure (3.14–5.28 MPa). This method provides a theoretical basis and engineering guidance for accurate fracture pressure prediction and optimal design of acid pretreatment in tight conglomerate reservoirs.