This article empirically investigates some of the key features of cryptocurrency returns and volatilities, such as their relationship with traditional asset classes, as well as the main driving factors behind market activity. The main empirical results suggest that while there is a mild relationship between returns on cryptocurrencies and commodities, and precious metals in particular, the relationship does not translate into volatility spillover effects. Consistent with existing theoretical models in which trading activity is primarily driven by investor sentiment, we show that trading volume is driven by past returns. On the other hand, macroeconomic factors do not seem to affect market activity in either the short term or the long term. TOPICS:Currency, exchanges/markets/clearinghouses Key Findings • There is only a mild, and not significant, correlation between returns on cryptocurrencies and returns on traditional asset classes on a daily basis. • Past returns significantly drive trading volume, consistent with the idea that short-term market activity is primarily driven by sentiment. • Macroeconomic factors such as the term structure of interest rates and inflation expectations do not seem to affect market activity in either the short or the long term.
Numerical analysis of hybrid rocket internal ballistics is carried out with a Reynolds-averaged Navier–Stokes solver integrated with a customized gas–surface interaction wall boundary condition and coupled with a radiation code based on the discrete transfer method. The fuel grain wall boundary condition is based on species, mass, and energy conservation equations coupled with thermal radiation exchange and finite-rate kinetics for fuel pyrolysis modeling. Fuel pyrolysis is governed by the convective and radiative heat flux reaching the surface and by the energy required for the propellant grain to heat up and pyrolyze. Attention is focused here on a set of static firings performed with a lab-scale GOX/HDPE motor working at relatively low oxidizer mass fluxes. A sensitivity analysis was carried out on the literature pyrolysis models for HDPE, to evaluate the possible role of the uncertainty of such models on the actual prediction of the regression rate. A reasonable agreement between the measured and computed averaged regression rate and chamber pressure was obtained, with a noticeable improvement with respect to solutions without including radiative energy exchange.
In this paper, we take a forecasting perspective and compare the information content of a set of market risk factors, cryptocurrency-specific predictors, and sentiment variables for the returns of cryptocurrencies vs traditional asset classes. To this aim, we rely on a flexible dynamic econometric model that not only features time-varying coefficients, but also allows for the entire forecasting model to change over time to capture the time variation in the exposures of major digital currencies to the predictive variables. Besides, we investigate whether the inclusion of cryptocurrencies in an already diversified portfolio leads to additional economic gains. The main empirical results suggest that cryptocurrencies are not systematically predicted by stock market factors, precious metal commodities or supply factors. On the contrary, they display a time-varying but significant exposure to investors' attention. In addition, also because of a lack of predictability compared to traditional asset classes, cryptocurrencies lead to realized expected utility gains for a power utility investor.