The design of small water reservoirs in Slovakia and neighbouring countries has common origins in the middle of the last century. Most of them were an alternative source of water for irrigation of field crops. Nowadays, we have to face new problems, such as the problems with the design of...
Debris floods, as one of the most significant natural hazards, often threaten the lives and property of many people worldwide. Predicting models are essential for flood warning systems to minimize casualties of debris floods. Since HEC-HMS (Hydrologic Engineering Center’s Hydrological Modelling System) cannot simulate debris flow, this study proposes a new hybrid model that uses artificial intelligence models to overcome HEC-HMS’s insufficiency in reflecting the sediment concentration effect on the debris floods. A sediment concentration is an effective factor for evaluating debris flood peak flows. This led to the proposal of new hybrid models for predicting the debris flood peak flows on the basis of hybridization of the artificial intelligence models (Bayesian Network (BN) and Support Vector Regression–Particle Swarm Optimization (SVR-PSO)) and HEC-HMS. To estimate the sediment concentration of floods by using the proposed artificial intelligence models, we nominated an average basin elevation, an average basin slope, a basin area, the current day rainfall, the antecedent rainfall of the past 3 days, and the streamflow of the previous day the previous day as the effective variables. In the validation stage, the average of the Mean Absolute Relative Error (MARE) of the estimated values were 0.024, 0.038, and 0.024 for the typical floods that occurred in the Navrood, Kasilian, and the Amameh basins in the north of Iran, respectively. Similarly, we obtained values of 0.038, 0.073, and 0.040 for the debris flood events for the three respective locations. After predicting the debris flood peak flows by the proposed hybrid HMS-BN and HMS-SVR-PSO models, the average of the MAREs for all debris flood events was reduced to 0.013 and 0.014, respectively. The comparison of MAREs of the examined hybrid models shows that the HMS-BN model results in higher accuracy than the HMS-SVR-PSO model in the prediction of the debris flood peak flows. Generally, the absolute error of prediction by the proposed hybrid model is reduced to one-third of the HEC-HMS. The prediction of the debris flood peak flows using the proposed hybrid model can be examined in the debris flood warning systems to reduce the potential damages and casualties in similar basins.
Grouping both existing and newly planned reservoirs based on selected measurable characteristics allows to point out issues that are relevant to area management using experience obtained from the environment of other sites. Divisive hierarchical clustering has been deployed to find similarities between dam locations. The Nitra River Basin (located in Nitra District, Nitra Region in Slovakia) with its 54 reservoirs is the model area. Profiles for 11 potential new reservoirs have been developed. Partial river basins were identified for each of the existing and new reservoirs using a digital relief model. The area size, proportion of arable land, forestland and built-up area, degree of exposure to soil erosion and the volume of surface runoff have been used as parameters for comparisons. Six clusters have been identified containing similar existing as well as new locations, one of them being a special case.
Global climate change is likely to influence evapotranspiration (ET); as a result, many ET calculation methods may not give accurate results under different climatic conditions. The main objective of this study is to verify the suitability of machine learning (ML) models as calculation methods for pan evaporation modeling on the macro-regional scale. The most significant PE changes in the different agroclimatic zones of the Slovak Republic were compared, and their considerable impacts were analyzed. On the basis of the agroclimatic zones, 35 meteorological stations distributed across Slovakia were classified into six macro-regions. For each of the meteorological stations, 11 variables were applied during the vegetation period in the years from 2010 to 2020 with a daily time step. The performance of eight different ML models—the neural network (NN) model, the autoneural network (AN) model, the decision tree (DT) model, the Dmine regression (DR) model, the DM neural network (DM NN) model, the gradient boosting (GB) model, the least angle regression (LARS) model, and the ensemble model (EM)—was employed to predict PE. It was found that the different models had diverse prediction accuracies in various geographical locations. In this study, the results of the values predicted by the individual models are compared.
The dynamics of the cultural landscape is associated with the penetration of people into the natural landscape, the settling and adaptation to the needs of the society and its development. Climate creates the decisive influence, specifically the form of extreme high rainfall causing flooding....