Despite significant improvements in survival of patients with multiple myeloma (MM), outcomes remain heterogeneous, and a significant proportion of patients experience suboptimal outcomes. Importantly, traditional prognostic factors based on data from patients treated with older therapies no longer capture prognosis accurately in the contemporary era of novel triplet or quadruplet therapies. Therefore, risk stratification requires refinement in the context of available and investigational treatment options in routine practice and clinical trials, respectively. The current identification of high-risk MM (HRMM) in routine practice is based on the Revised International Staging System, which stratifies patients using a combination of widely available serum biomarkers and chromosomal abnormalities assessed via fluorescence in situ hybridization. In recent years, a substantial body of evidence concerning additional clinical, biological, and molecular/genomic prognostic factors has accumulated, along with new MM risk stratification tools and consensus reports. The International Myeloma Society, along with the International Myeloma Working Group, convened an Expert Panel with the primary aim of revisiting the definition of HRMM and formulating a practical and data-driven consensus definition, based on new evidence from molecular/genomic assays, updated clinical data, and contemporary risk stratification concepts. The Panel proposes the following Consensus Genomic Staging (CGS) of HRMM which relies upon the presence of at least one of these abnormalities: (1) del(17p), with a cutoff of >20% clonal fraction, and/or TP53 mutation; (2) an IgH translocation including t(4;14), t(14;16), or t(14;20) along with 1q+ and/or del(1p32); (3) monoallelic del(1p32) along with 1q+ or biallelic del(1p32); or (4) β2 microglobulin ≥5.5 mg/L with normal creatinine (<1.2 mg/dL).

PURPOSE: Outcomes for patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma (NDMM) are heterogenous, with overall survival (OS) ranging from months to over 10 years. METHODS: To decipher and predict the molecular and clinical heterogeneity of NDMM, we assembled a series of 1,933 patients with available clinical, genomic, and therapeutic data. RESULTS: Leveraging a comprehensive catalog of genomic drivers, we identified 12 groups, expanding on previous gene expression–based molecular classifications. To build a model predicting individualized risk in NDMM (IRMMa), we integrated clinical, genomic, and treatment variables. To correct for time-dependent variables, including high-dose melphalan followed by autologous stem-cell transplantation (HDM-ASCT), and maintenance therapy, a multi-state model was designed. The IRMMa model accuracy was significantly higher than all comparator prognostic models, with a c-index for OS of 0.726, compared with International Staging System (ISS; 0.61), revised-ISS (0.572), and R2-ISS (0.625). Integral to model accuracy was 20 genomic features, including 1q21 gain/amp, del 1p, TP53 loss, NSD2 translocations, APOBEC mutational signatures, and copy-number signatures (reflecting the complex structural variant chromothripsis). IRMMa accuracy and superiority compared with other prognostic models were validated on 256 patients enrolled in the GMMG-HD6 (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02495922 ) clinical trial. Individualized patient risks were significantly affected across the 12 genomic groups by different treatment strategies (ie, treatment variance), which was used to identify patients for whom HDM-ASCT is particularly effective versus patients for whom the impact is limited. CONCLUSION: Integrating clinical, demographic, genomic, and therapeutic data, to our knowledge, we have developed the first individualized risk-prediction model enabling personally tailored therapeutic decisions for patients with NDMM.

Previously, addition of isatuximab (Isa) to standard-of-care lenalidomide-bortezomib-dexamethasone (RVd) in transplant-eligible patients with newly diagnosed multiple myeloma in the GMMG-HD7 trial (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT03617731 ) resulted in a significant increase of minimal residual disease negativity (MRD–) rates after induction therapy. A total of 662 patients were randomly assigned to receive induction therapy with Isa-RVd (n = 331) or RVd (n = 329), followed by single or tandem autologous stem-cell transplant and second random assignment to maintenance with lenalidomide alone or Isa-lenalidomide. We report updated results for part 1 from first random assignment to post-transplant. As of January 31, 2024, MRD– rates continued to deepen after transplant (66% Isa-RVd v 48% RVd). Isa-RVd induction therapy significantly prolonged progression-free survival (PFS) compared with RVd regardless of maintenance therapy (hazard ratio, 0.70 [95% CI, 0.52 to 0.95]; P = .0184). Weighted risk set estimator analysis accounting for second random assignment followed by maintenance with only lenalidomide confirmed a statistically significant benefit for Isa-RVd followed by lenalidomide maintenance versus RVd followed by lenalidomide maintenance (stratified weighted log-rank test P = .016). In conclusion, after 18-week induction therapy followed by transplant without consolidation therapy, adding Isa to RVd resulted in a significant PFS benefit, regardless of maintenance strategy.

Myeloma is characterized by extensive inter-patient genomic heterogeneity due to multiple different initiating events. A recent multi-region sequencing study demonstrated spatial differences, with progression events, such as TP53 mutations, frequently being restricted to focal lesions. In this review article, we describe the clinical impact of these two types of tumor heterogeneity. Target mutations are often dominant at one site but absent at other sites, which poses a significant challenge to personalized therapy in myeloma. The same holds true for high-risk subclones, which can be locally restricted, and as such not detectable at the iliac crest, which is the usual sampling site. Imaging can improve current risk classifiers and monitoring of residual disease, but does not allow for deciphering the molecular characteristics of tumor clones. In the era of novel immunotherapies, the clinical impact of heterogeneity certainly needs to be re-defined. Yet, preliminary observations indicate an ongoing impact of spatial heterogeneity on the efficacy of monoclonal antibodies. In conclusion, we recommend combining molecular tests with imaging to improve risk prediction and monitoring of residual disease. Overcoming intra-tumor heterogeneity is the prerequisite for curing myeloma. Novel immunotherapies are promising but research addressing their impact on the spatial clonal architecture is highly warranted.

Mass spectrometry (MS) is a promising tool for monitoring monoclonal protein in plasma cell dyscrasias. We included 480 transplant-eligible newly-diagnosed multiple myeloma (MM) patients from the GMMG-MM5 trial (EudraCT No. 2010-019173-16) and performed a retrospective MS analysis at baseline (480 patients) and at the pre-defined, consecutive time points after induction (444 patients), prior to maintenance (305 patients) and after one year of maintenance (227 patients). We found that MS negativity was significantly associated with improved progression-free survival (PFS) even in patients with complete response (CR) at all investigated follow-up time points. The prognostic impact was independent of established risk factors, such as the revised International Staging System. Combining MS and baseline cytogenetics improved the prediction of outcome: MS-positive patients with high-risk cytogenetics had a dismal PFS of 1.9 years (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.6–2.3 years) from the start of maintenance. Testing the value of sequential MS prior to and after one year of maintenance, patients converting from MS positivity to negativity had an excellent PFS (median not reached) while patients converting from MS negativity to positivity progressed early (median 0.6 years, 95% CI: 0.3-not reached). Among patients with sustained MS positivity, the baseline high-risk cytogenetic status had a significant impact and defined a group with poor PFS. Combining minimal residual disease (MRD) in the bone marrow and MS allowed the identification of double negative patients with a favorable PFS (median 3.33 years, 95% CI: 3.08-not reached) and no overall survival events. Our study provides strong evidence that MS is superior to conventional response monitoring, highlighting the potential of MS to become a new standard. Our data indicate that MS should be performed sequentially and combined with baseline disease features and MRD to improve its clinical value.Clinical Trials Register: EudraCT No. 2010-019173-16

Deciphering Multiple Myeloma evolution in the whole bone marrow is key to inform curative strategies. Here, we perform spatial-longitudinal whole-exome sequencing, including 140 samples collected from 24 Multiple Myeloma patients during up to 14 years. Applying imaging-guided sampling we observe three evolutionary patterns, including relapse driven by a single-cell expansion, competing/co-existing sub-clones, and unique sub-clones at distinct locations. While we do not find the unique relapse sub-clone in the baseline focal lesion(s), we show a close phylogenetic relationship between baseline focal lesions and relapse disease, highlighting focal lesions as hotspots of tumor evolution. In patients with ≥3 focal lesions on positron-emission-tomography at diagnosis, relapse is driven by multiple distinct sub-clones, whereas in other patients, a single-cell expansion is typically seen (p < 0.01). Notably, we observe resistant sub-clones that can be hidden over years, suggesting that a prerequisite for curative therapies would be to overcome not only tumor heterogeneity but also dormancy.