Based on mosaics of composite radar reflectivity patterns during the 2-yr period of 2008–09, a total of 96 squall lines were identified in east China with a maximum frequency of occurrence in north China near the boundaries between Shandong, Henan, Anhui, and Jiangsu Provinces. The squall lines form from March to October with a peak in July. Their diurnal variation shows a major peak in the early evening and two minor peaks in the early morning and early afternoon. The time between squall-line formation and the first echo is about 4.8 h. The squall lines have a dominant southwest–northeast orientation, an eastward motion at a speed of 14.4 m s−1, a maximum length of 243 km, a maximum intensity of 58–63 dBZ, and a duration of 4.7 h on average. The squall lines commonly form in a broken-line mode, display a trailing-stratiform pattern, and dissipate in a reversed broken-line mode. Composite rawinsonde analyses show that squall lines in midlatitude east China tend to form in a moister environment with comparable background instability, and weaker vertical shear relative to their U.S. counterparts. The rawinsondes were also composited with respect to different formation and organizational modes. The environmental flows of the squall lines in the area with high frequency of formation were classified into six synoptic weather patterns: pre–short trough, pre–long trough, cold vortex, subtropical high, tropical cyclone (TC), and posttrough. About one-third of the squall lines form in the dominant pre-short-trough pattern. Favorable conditions of various patterns were examined in terms of moisture supply, instability, vertical wind shear, low-level jet, etc.
Warm-sector heavy rainfall in southern China refers to the heavy rainfall that occurs within the warm sector hundreds of kilometers south of a front or without a front during April–June, characterized by poor predictability and a close relationship with low-level jets (LLJs). Based on 45 warm-sector heavy rainfall episodes in 2013 and 2014 in southern China, this study examines their general characteristics and evaluates the performance of convection-permitting WRF Model simulations from an LLJ perspective. The results show that 64% of the warm-sector heavy rainfall episodes are associated with an LLJ (LLJ type) and 36% are not (no-LLJ type). The LLJ type is distinct from the no-LLJ type, with large rainfall accumulation along the coastal area. It is more common for LLJs to occur at both 800 and 925 hPa in the LLJ type, where there is a wide 800-hPa LLJ west of Guangdong Province and two 925-hPa LLJs over Beibu Gulf and the South China Sea (SCS). The coastal convergence associated with the terminus of the LLJ on 925 hPa is conducive to the coastal rainfall. WRF generally presents lower QPF skill in the LLJ type than in the no-LLJ type, due to the severe underestimation of coastal rainfall. The QPF skill of the LLJ type is significantly correlated with the forecast accuracy of LLJs, especially at 925 hPa. The north bias of the simulated LLJ on 925 hPa over the SCS and the associated overestimation of wind speed below ~900 hPa over the inland region weaken the coastal convergence and eventually lead to the underestimation in coastal precipitation.
8 November 2017 in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
This study examines the diurnal variation in precipitation over Hainan Island in the South China Sea using gauge observations from 1951 to 2012 and Climate Prediction Center MORPHing technique (CMORPH) satellite estimates from 2006 to 2015, as well as numerical simulations. The simulations are the first to use climatological mean initial and lateral boundary conditions to study the dynamic and thermodynamic processes (and the impacts of land–sea breeze circulations) that control the rainfall distribution and climatology. Precipitation is most significant from April to October and exhibits a strong diurnal cycle resulting from land–sea breeze circulations. More than 60 % of the total annual precipitation over the island is attributable to the diurnal cycle with a significant monthly variability. The CMORPH and gauge datasets agree well, except that the CMORPH data underestimate precipitation and have a 1 h peak delay. The diurnal cycle of the rainfall and the related land–sea breeze circulations during May and June were well captured by convection-permitting numerical simulations with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, which were initiated from a 10-year average ERA-Interim reanalysis. The simulations have a slight overestimation of rainfall amounts and a 1 h delay in peak rainfall time. The diurnal cycle of precipitation is driven by the occurrence of moist convection around noontime owing to low-level convergence associated with the sea-breeze circulations. The precipitation intensifies rapidly thereafter and peaks in the afternoon with the collisions of sea-breeze fronts from different sides of the island. Cold pools of the convective storms contribute to the inland propagation of the sea breeze. Generally, precipitation dissipates quickly in the evening due to the cooling and stabilization of the lower troposphere and decrease of boundary layer moisture. Interestingly, the rather high island orography is not a dominant factor in the diurnal variation in precipitation over the island.
This observational study attempts to determine factors responsible for the distribution of precipitation over large areas of southern China induced by Bilis, a western North Pacific Ocean severe tropical storm that made landfall on the southeastern coast of mainland China on 14 July 2006 with a remnant circulation that persisted over land until after 17 July 2006. The heavy rainfalls associated with Bilis during and after its landfall can be divided into three stages. The first stage of the rainfall, which occurred in Fujian and Zhejiang Provinces, could be directly induced by the inner-core storm circulation during its landfall. The third stage of rainfall, which occurred along the coastal areas of Guangdong and Fujian Provinces, likely resulted from the interaction between Bilis and the South China Sea monsoon enhanced by topographical lifting along the coast. The second stage of the rainfall, which appeared inland around the border regions between Jiangxi, Hunan, and Guangdong Provinces, caused the most catastrophic flooding and is the primary focus of the current study. It is found that during the second stage of the rainfall all three ingredients of deep moist convection (moisture, instability, and lifting) are in place. Several mechanisms, including vertical wind shear, warm-air advection, frontogenesis, and topography, may have contributed simultaneously to the lifting necessary for the generation of the heavy rainfall at this stage.
30 March 2012 in Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences
Through convection-permitting simulations, this study examines a large bowing structure within a squall line that occurred during the rainy season in South China. The bowing structure is closely associated with a local enhancement of (and balance between) the cold pool and the line-normal environmental low-level vertical shear. Rear inflow plays an essential role in the formation and evolution of this large bowing structure. It is found that the low-level rear inflow is largely a natural consequence of the baroclinically generated horizontal vorticity near the surface, while the midtropospheric rear inflow is forced by several pairs of bookend vortices. Vorticity budget and vortex-line analyses show that the bookend vortices form mainly through the tilting of horizontal vorticity. Consolidation of these pairs of bookend vortices forms a broad zone of contiguous rear inflow. The environmental flow and horizontal pressure gradient force associated with the midlevel pressure deficit induced by the rearward-tilting buoyant updrafts, on the other hand, are not primarily responsible for the formation of the rear inflow.
13 December 2021 in Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
This study documents the detailed features and processes of convection initiation (CI) at a coastal rainfall hotspot in South China, with emphasis on the typical meteorological conditions and effects of small‐scale orography. The CI occurrences are identified using high‐quality radar mosaics during 7‐year warm seasons. They tend to maximize in low‐lying areas adjacent to coastal small‐scale mountains rather than on the windward slopes of major mountains as previously expected. The genesis of the coastal convection exhibits a remarkable diurnal peak in the early afternoon and mostly occurs on the days of low‐level southwesterlies with a jet‐nose structure in offshore region. These onshore flows enhance the low‐level moistening and convergence on coasts. The characteristic synoptic patterns become common after the onset of summer monsoon, suggesting the key role of monsoonal flows in triggering coastal convection. Driven by the atmospheric conditions of the dominant synoptic pattern, quasi‐idealized numerical simulations demonstrate that the coastal small‐scale mountains disturb the low‐level onshore flow and produce multiple enhanced convergent zones downstream of the mountains. The induced local variations in upward motion and moisture pooling explain the CI occurrences that are located close to these small‐scale mountains. When these mountains are artificially removed in the simulation, convection preferentially initiates on the windward slopes of major mountains as expected. The findings suggest that the small‐scale orography can strongly regulate the local patterns of CI hotspot through disturbing low‐level onshore flow. An explicit resolving of the small‐scale coastal orography is warranted to improve the modeling of local severe weather.