This paper develops a decentralized approach to gas distribution mapping (GDM) and information-driven path planning for large-scale distributed sensing systems. Gas mapping is performed using a probabilistic representation known as a Hilbert map, which formulates the mapping problem as a multi-class classification task and uses kernel logistic regression to train a discriminative classifier online. A novel Hilbert map information fusion method is presented for rapidly merging the information from individual robot maps using limited data communication. A communication strategy that implements data fusion among many robots is also presented for the decentralized computation of GDMs. New entropy-based information-driven path-planning methods are developed and compared to existing approaches, such as particle swarm optimization (PSO) and random walks (RW). Numerical experiments conducted in simulated indoor and outdoor environments show that the information-driven approaches proposed in this paper far outperform other approaches, and avoid mutual collisions in real time.
11 November 2022 in The Journal of the Astronautical Sciences
To maintain a robust catalog of resident space objects (RSOs), space situational awareness (SSA) mission operators depend on ground- and space-based sensors to repeatedly detect, characterize, and track objects in orbit. Although some space sensors are capable of monitoring large swaths of the sky with wide fields of view (FOVs), others—such as maneuverable optical telescopes, narrow-band imaging radars, or satellite laser-ranging systems—are restricted to relatively narrow FOVs and must slew at a finite rate from object to object during observation. Since there are many objects that a narrow FOV sensor could choose to observe within its field of regard (FOR), it must schedule its pointing direction and duration using some algorithm. This combinatorial optimization problem is known as the sensor-tasking problem. In this paper, we developed a deep reinforcement learning agent to task a space-based narrow-FOV sensor in low Earth orbit (LEO) using the proximal policy optimization algorithm. The sensor’s performance—both as a singular sensor acting alone, but also as a complement to a network of taskable, narrow-FOV ground-based sensors—is compared to the greedy scheduler across several figures of merit, including the cumulative number of RSOs observed and the mean trace of the covariance matrix of all of the observable objects in the scenario. The results of several simulations are presented and discussed. Additionally, the results from an LEO SSA sensor in different orbits are evaluated and discussed, as well as various combinations of space-based sensors.
Space situational awareness (SSA) is becoming increasingly challenging with the proliferation of resident space objects (RSOs), ranging from CubeSats to mega-constellations. Sensors within the United States Space Surveillance Network are tasked to repeatedly detect, characterize, and track these RSOs to retain custody and estimate their attitude. The majority of these sensors consist of ground-based sensors with a narrow field of view and must be slew at a finite rate from one RSO to another during observations. This results in a complex combinatorial problem that poses a major obstacle to the SSA sensor tasking problem. In this work, we successfully applied deep reinforcement learning (DRL) to overcome the curse of dimensionality and optimally task a ground-based sensor. We trained several DRL agents using proximal policy optimization and population-based training in a simulated SSA environment. The DRL agents outperformed myopic policies in both objective metrics of RSOs’ state uncertainties and the number of unique RSOs observed over a 90-min observation window. The agents’ robustness to changes in RSO orbital regimes, observation window length, observer’s location, and sensor properties are also examined. The robustness of the DRL agents allows them to be applied to any arbitrary locations and scenarios.
A significant increase in the number of anthropogenic objects in Earth orbit has necessitated the development of satellite conjunction assessment and collision avoidance capabilities for new spacecraft. Neutral mass density variability in the thermosphere, driven by enhanced geomagnetic activity and solar EUV absorption, is a major source of satellite propagation error. This work investigates the impacts of space weather driver forecasting uncertainty on satellite drag and collision avoidance maneuver decision‐making. Since most operational space weather driver forecasts do not offer an uncertainty assessment, the satellite operator community is left to make dangerous assumptions about the trustworthiness of the forecast models they use to perform satellite state propagation. Climatological persistence‐based forecast models are developed for F10.7 and Kp. These models accurately capture the heteroscedastic and, at times, highly non‐Gaussian uncertainty distribution on forecasts of the drivers of interest. A set of realistic satellite conjunction scenarios is simulated to demonstrate the contributions of space weather driver forecast uncertainty on the probability of collision and maneuver decisions. Improved driver forecasts, especially forecasts of F10.7, are demonstrated to be very useful for enabling durable maneuver decisions with additional lead time (up to 24 hr for the period examined), though the improvement depends on the specific conjunction scenario of interest.
Anthropogenic contributions of greenhouse gases in Earth’s atmosphere have been observed to cause cooling and contraction in the thermosphere, which is projected to continue for many decades. This contraction results in a secular reduction in atmospheric mass density where most satellites operate in low Earth orbit. Decreasing density reduces drag on debris objects and extends their lifetime in orbit, posing a persistent collision hazard to other satellites and risking the cascading generation of more debris. This work uses projected CO2 emissions from the shared socio-economic pathways to investigate the impact of greenhouse gas emissions on the satellite carrying capacity of low Earth orbit. The instantaneous Kessler capacity is introduced to compute the maximum number and optimal distribution of characteristic satellites that keep debris populations in stable equilibrium. Modelled CO2 emissions scenarios from years 2000–2100 indicate a potential 50–66% reduction in satellite carrying capacity between the altitudes of 200 and 1,000 km. Considering the recent, rapid expansion in the number of satellites in low Earth orbit, understanding environmental variability and its impact on sustainable operations is necessary to prevent over-exploitation of the region.