Anthropogenic biodiversity decline threatens the functioning of ecosystems and the many benefits they provide to humanity¹. As well as causing species losses in directly affected locations, human influence might also reduce biodiversity in relatively unmodified vegetation if far-reaching anthropogenic effects trigger local extinctions and hinder recolonization. Here we show that local plant diversity is globally negatively related to the level of anthropogenic activity in the surrounding region. Impoverishment of natural vegetation was evident only when we considered community completeness: the proportion of all suitable species in the region that are present at a site. To estimate community completeness, we compared the number of recorded species with the dark diversity-ecologically suitable species that are absent from a site but present in the surrounding region². In the sampled regions with a minimal human footprint index, an average of 35% of suitable plant species were present locally, compared with less than 20% in highly affected regions. Besides having the potential to uncover overlooked threats to biodiversity, dark diversity also provides guidance for nature conservation. Species in the dark diversity remain regionally present, and their local populations might be restored through measures that improve connectivity between natural vegetation fragments and reduce threats to population persistence.

To improve the effectiveness of biodiversity conservation and risk assessments under global changes, it is necessary to understand the drivers of terrestrial biodiversity on a global scale. Environmental heterogeneity is an important umbrella term for different environmental factors that contribute to species diversity. Previous studies have shown that there are significant relationships between geodiversity and biodiversity on a global scale, and that heterogeneity in geodiversity features and environmental variables, that is indicators of environmental heterogeneity (EH), drive biodiversity at local and regional scales. However, we do not yet know how terrestrial biodiversity is maintained, how well represented are the different taxa, and where would they be more at risks considering their abundances and diversities. In this study, we quantified EH of climate, topography, and land cover. We used four theoretical indexes (i.e., Fisher’s alpha, Shannon’s H, Hurlbert’s PIE, and Good’s u) to quantify terrestrial biodiversity based on abundance and diversity. We used regression models to explore the relationships between environmental heterogeneity and terrestrial biodiversity across different organismic groups (ants, bats, birds, butterflies, frogs, ground beetles, mosquitoes, odonates, orthopterans, rodents, scarab beetles, and trees) globally. We found significant relationships between environmental heterogeneity and terrestrial biodiversity, particularly for trees across the three EH components (climate, topography, and land cover), however, the effects of environmental heterogeneity on terrestrial biodiversity may vary among different groups of organisms. Land cover EH could affect the terrestrial biodiversity for ants, bats, birds, butterflies, frogs, mosquitoes, odonates, orthopterans, rodents, and scarab beetles. Furthermore, there were significant relationships between topographic EH and the terrestrial biodiversity for bats, butterflies, ground beetles, odonates, and trees. Climatic EH had significant effects on the terrestrial biodiversity for all organism groups. Our study provides new insights into biodiversity conservation by considering the terrestrial biodiversity based on EH, an indicator of geodiversity.

Climate change is increasing the risk of invasive plant expansion worldwide. However, few studies have specified the relationship between invasive plant expansion and ecoregions at the global scale under climate change. To address this gap, we provide risk maps highlighting the response of invasive plant species (IPS), with a focus on terrestrial and freshwater ecoregions to climate change, and further explore the climatic features of ecosystems with a high potential for invasive plant expansion under climate change. We use species distribution modelling to predict the suitable habitats of IPS with records at the global scale. Hotspots with a potential risk of IPS (such as aquatic plants, trees, and herbs) expanding in global ecoregions were distributed in Northern Europe, the UK, South America, North America, southwest China, and New Zealand. Temperature changes were related to the potential of IPS expansion in global ecoregions under climate change. Coastal and high latitude ecoregions, such as temperate forests, alpine vegetation, and coastal rivers, were severely infiltrated by IPS under climate change. Monitoring strategies should be defined for climate change for IPS, particularly for aquatic plants, trees, and herbs in the biomes of regions with coastal or high latitudes. The role of climate change on the potential for IPS expansion should be taken into consideration for biological conservation and risk evaluation of IPS at ecoregional scales.

Aim Protected areas (PAs) play an important role in biodiversity conservation, but remain increasingly threatened by invasive alien plant species (IAPS) in conjunction with global climate change. The latter is modifying the distribution of the former, and the magnitude and direction of distributional changes are predicted to vary depending on species dispersal mode. Here, we address the question of whether clonality is expected to affect the future invasion pattern in PAs. Location Worldwide. Time period 1950–2100. Major taxa studied 36 invasive alien plant species. Methods We used ensembles of three species distribution models (GLM, GAM and Maxent) based on >70,000 occurrence records to project the distribution of 36 of the world's most invasive clonal and non-clonal plants in >20,000 PAs. Projections were based on three greenhouse gas concentration scenarios (low, medium and high) for 2080. Results Climate change showed little impact on the global invasion pattern in PAs, and clonality showed little effect when all biomes were processed in concert. However, we discerned that the future invasion risk of clonal IAPS markedly increased in biomes located at high elevation and high latitude compared with non-clonal IAPS, while the risk decreased in lower-elevation tropical and subtropical biomes where asexual reproduction may be a less successful trait. We also showed that invasion hot spots overlapped with biodiversity hot spots and two realms (i.e. Nearctic and Palearctic), which calls for bridging the gap between invasion and conservation sciences and for more concerted management strategies. Main conclusions We suggest that effective management of IAPS in PAs should consider in which biomes PAs are located as well as the reproductive traits of IAPS that are present or may become so.

Climate change is causing unprecedented alterations in the spatial pattern of global biodiversity, imposing severe challenges for biodiversity conservation. In particular, alpine biomes are sensitive to a variety of environmental changes. Therefore, understanding the distribution and conservation of alpine plant biodiversity is vital. In this study, we used species distribution modeling and 20,650 high-resolution occurrence coordinates of 1224 plant species to evaluate the potential distribution of plants in the northeastern Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (Qinghai Province, China) under different future climate scenarios, through an integrative analysis of species distribution probabilities, species richness, and priority conservation areas. Under current and future climate scenarios, the plant species are predicted to be mainly distributed in eastern and southern Qinghai Province, with the suitable conditions for plant species gradually extending from the southeast to the northwest of Qinghai Province under the effects of climate change. The priority conservation areas in Qinghai national nature reserves are predicted to expand, with this expansion being greater for herbaceous plants than woody plants, under future climate scenarios. However, the priority conservation areas outside nature reserves in Qinghai Province remain approximately three times larger than those inside nature reserves. Thus, there were great differences between the existing nature reserve area and the priority conservation areas, with nature reserves insufficiently covering priority conservation areas in Qinghai Province. Therefore, the original nature reserve areas should be expanded, according to the predicted plant habitat hotspots in Qinghai Province. Our research provides valuable information for biodiversity protection in the northeastern Qinghai–Tibet Plateau, reasonable strategies for addressing the future protection challenges associated with climate pressure, and new insights for improving nature reserves in the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau.