Malcolm McMillan

Dr. Malcolm McMillan

Lancaster Environment Centre, Lancaster University, Lancaster LA1 4YQ, United Kingdom

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

32Years (1995-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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30 November 2012 in Science
Verified
Journal Article
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ASAndrew Shepherd
Andrew Shepherd
EIErik Ivins
Erik Ivins
GAGeruo Aa
Geruo Aa
VBValentina Barletta
Valentina Barletta
MBMike J. Bentley
Mike J. Bentley
HZH. Jay Zwally
H. Jay Zwally
Warming and Melting: Mass loss from the ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica account for a large fraction of global sea-level rise. Part of this loss is because of the effects of warmer air temperatures, and another because of the rising ocean temperatures to which they are being exposed. Joughin et al. (p. 1172 ) review how ocean-ice interactions are impacting ice sheets and discuss the possible ways that exposure of floating ice shelves and grounded ice margins are subject to the influences of warming ocean currents. Estimates of the mass balance of the ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica have differed greatly—in some cases, not even agreeing about whether there is a net loss or a net gain—making it more difficult to project accurately future sea-level change. Shepherd et al. (p. 1183 ) combined data sets produced by satellite altimetry, interferometry, and gravimetry to construct a more robust ice-sheet mass balance for the period between 1992 and 2011. All major regions of the two ice sheets appear to be losing mass, except for East Antarctica. All told, mass loss from the polar ice sheets is contributing about 0.6 millimeters per year (roughly 20% of the total) to the current rate of global sea-level rise.

20 April 2023 in Earth System Science Data
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Journal Article
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IOInès N. Otosaka
Inès N. Otosaka
ASAndrew Shepherd
Andrew Shepherd
EIErik R. Ivins
Erik R. Ivins
NSNicole-Jeanne Schlegel
Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel
CACharles Amory
Charles Amory
BWBert Wouters
Bert Wouters
Ice losses from the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets have accelerated since the 1990s, accounting for a significant increase in the global mean sea level. Here, we present a new 29-year record of ice sheet mass balance from 1992 to 2020 from the Ice Sheet Mass Balance Inter-comparison Exercise (IMBIE). We compare and combine 50 independent estimates of ice sheet mass balance derived from satellite observations of temporal changes in ice sheet flow, in ice sheet volume, and in Earth's gravity field. Between 1992 and 2020, the ice sheets contributed 21.0±1.9 mm to global mean sea level, with the rate of mass loss rising from 105 Gt yr −1 between 1992 and 1996 to 372 Gt yr −1 between 2016 and 2020. In Greenland, the rate of mass loss is 169±9 Gt yr −1 between 1992 and 2020, but there are large inter-annual variations in mass balance, with mass loss ranging from 86 Gt yr −1 in 2017 to 444 Gt yr −1 in 2019 due to large variability in surface mass balance. In Antarctica, ice losses continue to be dominated by mass loss from West Antarctica (82±9 Gt yr −1 ) and, to a lesser extent, from the Antarctic Peninsula (13±5 Gt yr −1 ). East Antarctica remains close to a state of balance, with a small gain of 3±15 Gt yr −1 , but is the most uncertain component of Antarctica's mass balance. The dataset is publicly available at https://doi.org/10.5285/77B64C55-7166-4A06-9DEF-2E400398E452 (IMBIE Team, 2021).

24 July 2019 in Geophysical Research Letters
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Journal Article
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ASAndrew Shepherd
Andrew Shepherd
LGLin Gilbert
Lin Gilbert
AMAlan S. Muir
Alan S. Muir
HKHannes Konrad
Hannes Konrad
Malcolm McMillanMalcolm McMillan
Malcolm McMillan
MEMarcus E. Engdahl
Marcus E. Engdahl
Fluctuations in Antarctic Ice Sheet elevation and mass occur over a variety of time scales, owing to changes in snowfall and ice flow. Here we disentangle these signals by combining 25 years of satellite radar altimeter observations and a regional climate model. From these measurements, patterns of change that are strongly associated with glaciological events emerge. While the majority of the ice sheet has remained stable, 24% of West Antarctica is now in a state of dynamical imbalance. Thinning of the Pine Island and Thwaites glacier basins reaches 122 m in places, and their rates of ice loss are now five times greater than at the start of our survey. By partitioning elevation changes into areas of snow and ice variability, we estimate that East and West Antarctica have contributed −1.1 ± 0.4 and +5.7 ± 0.8 mm to global sea level between 1992 and 2017.

16 May 2014 in Geophysical Research Letters
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Journal Article
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Malcolm McMillanMalcolm McMillan
Malcolm McMillan
ASAndrew Shepherd
Andrew Shepherd
ASAud Sundal
Aud Sundal
KBKate Briggs
Kate Briggs
AMAlan Muir
Alan Muir
DWDuncan Wingham
Duncan Wingham
We use 3 years of Cryosat-2 radar altimeter data to develop the first comprehensive assessment of Antarctic ice sheet elevation change. This new data set provides near-continuous (96%) coverage of the entire continent, extending to within 215 km of the South Pole and leading to a fivefold increase in the sampling of coastal regions where the vast majority of all ice losses occur. Between 2010 and 2013, West Antarctica, East Antarctica, and the Antarctic Peninsula changed in mass by −134 ± 27, −3 ± 36, and −23 ± 18 Gt yr−1, respectively. In West Antarctica, signals of imbalance are present in areas that were poorly surveyed by past missions, contributing additional losses that bring altimeter observations closer to estimates based on other geodetic techniques. However, the average rate of ice thinning in West Antarctica has also continued to rise, and mass losses from this sector are now 31% greater than over the period 2005–2010.

4 January 2022 in Nature Reviews Earth & Environment
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Stephen LivingstoneStephen Livingstone
Stephen Livingstone
YLYan Li
Yan Li
ARAnja Rutishauser
Anja Rutishauser
RSRebecca J. Sanderson
Rebecca J. Sanderson
KWKate Winter
Kate Winter
Andrew SoleAndrew Sole
Andrew Sole

2 April 2018 in Nature Geoscience
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Journal Article
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HKHannes Konrad
Hannes Konrad
ASAndrew Shepherd
Andrew Shepherd
LGLin Gilbert
Lin Gilbert
AHAnna E. Hogg
Anna E. Hogg
Malcolm McMillanMalcolm McMillan
Malcolm McMillan
TSThomas Slater
Thomas Slater