Coronary artery bypass surgery grafting (CABG) is a commonly efficient treatment for coronary artery disease patients. Even if we know the underlying disease, and advancing age is related to survival, there is no research using the one year before surgery and operation-associated factors as predicting elements. This research used different machine-learning methods to select the features and predict older adults’ survival (more than 65 years old). This nationwide population-based cohort study used the National Health Insurance Research Database (NHIRD), the largest and most complete dataset in Taiwan. We extracted the data of older patients who had received their first CABG surgery criteria between January 2008 and December 2009 (n = 3728), and we used five different machine-learning methods to select the features and predict survival rates. The results show that, without variable selection, XGBoost had the best predictive ability. Upon selecting XGBoost and adding the CHA2DS score, acute pancreatitis, and acute kidney failure for further predictive analysis, MARS had the best prediction performance, and it only needed 10 variables. This study’s advantages are that it is innovative and useful for clinical decision making, and machine learning could achieve better prediction with fewer variables. If we could predict patients’ survival risk before a CABG operation, early prevention and disease management would be possible.
A growing literature indicates that electronic cigarette use increases the risk of subsequent initiation of conventional smoking among cigarette-naïve adolescents in several Western countries. This research assesses the same relationship in an Asian country, Taiwan. The Taiwan Adolescent to Adult Longitudinal Study is a school-based survey that was carried out in two waves in 2014 (baseline) and in 2016 (follow-up). It employs probability sampling to create nationally representative samples of students in junior high school (mean age 13, 7th grade at baseline) and in senior high school (mean age 16, 10th grade at baseline). Data from this survey were analyzed via logistic regression to estimate the association between ever use of e-cigarettes at baseline and smoking initiation at follow-up, accounting for susceptibility to smoking, socio-demographic profile, depression status, and peer support. Among the 12,954 cigarette-naïve students surveyed, those with e-cigarette experience at baseline exhibited higher odds of smoking initiation at follow-up (Odds Ratio = 2.14, 95% CI (1.66, 2.75), p < 0.001). For the first time, we confirmed, through a longitudinal survey, a prospective association between ever use of e-cigarettes and smoking initiation in an Asian adolescent population. The restrictive policy on e-cigarettes currently in force in Taiwan is justified to prevent both e-cigarette and cigarette use among adolescents.
Objective: Early diagnosis and treatment of nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) are vital for a better prognosis. Still, because of obscure anatomical sites and insidious symptoms, nearly 80% of patients with NPC are diagnosed at a late stage. This study aimed to validate a machine learning (ML) model utilizing symptom‐related diagnoses and procedures in medical records to predict nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) occurrence and reduce the prediagnostic period.Materials and Methods: Data from a population‐based health insurance database (2001–2008) were analyzed, comparing adults with and without newly diagnosed NPC. Medical records from 90 to 360 days before diagnosis were examined. Five ML algorithms (Light Gradient Boosting Machine [LGB], eXtreme Gradient Boosting [XGB], Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines [MARS], Random Forest [RF], and Logistics Regression [LG]) were evaluated for optimal early NPC detection. We further use a real‐world data of 1 million individuals randomly selected for testing the final model. Model performance was assessed using AUROC. Shapley values identified significant contributing variables.Results: LGB showed maximum predictive power using 14 features and 90 days before diagnosis. The LGB models achieved AUROC, specificity, and sensitivity were 0.83, 0.81, and 0.64 for the test dataset, respectively. The LGB‐driven NPC predictive tool effectively differentiated patients into high‐risk and low‐risk groups (hazard ratio: 5.85; 95% CI: 4.75–7.21). The model‐layering effect is valid.Conclusions: ML approaches using electronic medical records accurately predicted NPC occurrence. The risk prediction model serves as a low‐cost digital screening tool, offering rapid medical decision support to shorten prediagnostic periods. Timely referral is crucial for high‐risk patients identified by the model.
2 November 2024 in Breast Cancer Research and Treatment
Over the past decade, Taiwan has seen rising rates of overweight and obesity across all age groups. In a large cross-sectional analysis involving 27,473 adults from the MJ Health Research Foundation, we examined how sleep duration and dietary patterns, stratified by age, relate to obesity and excess adiposity. Participants completed the MJ Health Questionnaire, blood tests, and anthropometric assessments. Four dietary patterns emerged via factor analysis: vegetables and fruits, processed/ultra-processed foods, protein-based, and dairy–complex carbohydrates. Chi-square and t-tests evaluated baseline differences, and multivariable logistic regression modeled the relationships among sleep, diet, and obesity. Short sleep duration was linked to 21% greater odds of obesity than adequate sleep (OR 1.21; 95% CI, 1.15–1.29). The processed/ultra-processed (OR 1.24; 95% CI, 1.16–1.33) and protein-based patterns (OR 1.52; 95% CI, 1.42–1.64) were associated with higher odds of obesity and excess body fat, while the dairy–complex carbohydrate pattern was protective (OR 0.81; 95% CI, 0.76–0.87). Notably, younger adults with insufficient sleep exhibited increased odds of obesity than older adults. These findings underscore inadequate sleep amplifies odds of obesity across dietary patterns and age modifies these interrelationships, highlighting the need for age‑tailored, integrative lifestyle interventions.
29 May 2026 in Journal of the European Academy of Dermatology and Venereology