This paper introduces BiLSTM-MLAM, a novel multi-scale time series prediction model. Initially, the approach utilizes bidirectional long short-term memory to capture information from both forward and backward directions in time series data. Subsequently, a multi-scale patch segmentation module generates various long sequences composed of equal-length segments, enabling the model to capture data patterns across multiple time scales by adjusting segment lengths. Finally, the local attention mechanism enhances feature extraction by accurately identifying and weighting important time segments, thereby strengthening the model’s understanding of the local features of the time series, followed by feature fusion. The model demonstrates outstanding performance in time series prediction tasks by effectively capturing sequence information across various time scales. Experimental validation illustrates the superior performance of BiLSTM-MLAM compared to six baseline methods across multiple datasets. When predicting the remaining life of aircraft engines, BiLSTM-MLAM outperforms the best baseline model by 6.66% in RMSE and 11.50% in MAE. In the LTE dataset, it achieves RMSE improvements of 12.77% and MAE enhancements of 3.06%, while in the load dataset, it demonstrates RMSE enhancements of 17.96% and MAE improvements of 30.39%. Additionally, ablation experiments confirm the positive impact of each module on prediction accuracy. Through segment length parameter tuning experiments, combining different segment lengths has resulted in lower prediction errors, affirming the effectiveness of the multi-scale fusion strategy in enhancing prediction accuracy by integrating information from multiple time scales.
The Remaining useful life (RUL) prediction is of great concern for the reliability and safety of lithium-ion batteries in electric vehicles (EVs), but the prediction precision is still unsatisfactory due to the unreliable measurement and fluctuation of data. Aiming to solve these issues, an adaptive sliding window-based gated recurrent unit neural network (GRU NN) is constructed in this paper to achieve the precise RUL prediction of LIBs with the soft sensing method. To evaluate the battery degradation performance, an indirect health indicator (HI), i.e., the constant current duration (CCD), is firstly extracted from charge voltage data, providing a reliable soft measurement of battery capacity. Then, a GRU NN with an adaptive sliding window is designed to learn the long-term dependencies and simultaneously fit the local regenerations and fluctuations. Employing the inherent memory units and gate mechanism of a GRU, the designed model can learn the long-term dependencies of HIs to the utmost with low computation cost. Furthermore, since the length of the sliding window updates timely according to the variation of HIs, the model can also capture the local tendency of HIs and address the influence of local regeneration. The effectiveness and advantages of the integrated prediction methodology are validated via experiments and comparison, and a more precise RUL prediction result is provided as well.
This article investigates the leaderless output consensus control problem for a class of nonlinear multiagent systems with heterogenous system orders and unmatched unknown parameters via output-feedback control. The interaction topology among the agents is undirected and jointly connected. Due to the heterogenous system orders and switching topology among the agents, the classical distributed adaptive backstepping-based control technique cannot be applied to solve the problem considered in this article. To solve this issue, a novel distributed reference system is first proposed for each agent, by using only relative outputs of the neighboring agents. Subsequently, a fully distributed reference system-based adaptive leaderless output consensus control scheme is designed via output-feedback control. A remarkable merit of the proposed control scheme lies in that precisely known nonlinear dynamics, system states, distributed parameter estimates, and the states of virtual reference system are no longer needed to be shared with neighbors. This implies that the communication burden can be effectively alleviated, and even the communication network can be replaced by some perception sensors. Finally, two illustrative examples are provided to verify the effectiveness of the proposed control scheme.
Redundant systems, which usually consist of a number of same/similar components (or modules), have been used in various critical infrastructures to ensure the system's normal function. Usually, system reliability can be improved with the adoption of additional components or redundancies. Typically, two types are mainly included, i.e., majority voters and standby redundancies (referred to as SPARE gates for simplicity). Nevertheless, with the increment of redundancies, the consumed cost or space requirement also grows. This study considers a tradeoff between cost and reliability in order to pursue the cost-effective optimal design. The relationships between the total cost and corresponding parameters are discussed thoroughly. Besides, in order to determine the cost-effective design at the expense of a unit of cost, a revised evaluation standard is proposed (referred to as ${\rm{R}\_\rm{per}\_\rm{Cost}}$). In this paper, we perform a cost-effective analysis of majority voters with different implementations; and we also perform the analyses of SPARE gates (here, a warm spare gate and a cold spare gate are mainly focused). For deriving corresponding total cost, algorithms are presented to predict the necessary failure time of components. In this line, cost-effective analyses of several case studies are performed.