Seunghyung Lee, Yunhwan Noh, and Younshik Chung. CSAM 2017;24:227-40. https://doi.org/10.5351/CSAM.2017.24.3.227

We consider the hierarchical Bayesian models of change-point problem in a sequence of random variables having either normal population or skew-normal population. Further, we consider the problem of detecting an influential point concerning change point using Bayes factors. Our proposed models are illustrated with the real data example, the annual flow volume data of Nile River at Aswan from 1871 to 1970. The result using our proposed models indicated the largest influential observation in the year 1888 among outliers. We have shown that it is useful to measure the influence of observations on Bayes factors. Here, we consider omitting single observation as well.

We investigate a Bayesian inference in the three-parameter bathtub-shaped lifetime distribution which is obtained by adding a power parameter to the two-parameter bathtub-shaped lifetime distribution suggested by Chen (2000). The Bayes estimators under the balanced squared error loss function are derived for three parameters. Then, we have used Lindley's and Tierney–Kadane approximations (see Lindley 1980; Tierney and Kadane 1986) for computing these Bayes estimators. In particular, we propose the explicit form of Lindley's approximation for the model with three parameters. We also give applications with a simulated data set and two real data sets to show the use of discussed computing methods. Finally, concluding remarks are mentioned.

Meta-analysis refers to a quantitative method for combining results from independent studies in order to draw overall conclusions. We consider hierarchical models including selection models under a skewed heavy tailed error distribution proposed originally by Chen, Dey, and Shao [M. H. Chen, D. K. Dey, Q. M. Shao, A new skewed link model for dichotomous quantal response data, J. Amer. Statist. Assoc. 94 (1983), pp. 1172–1186.] and Branco and Dey [D. Branco and D.K. Dey, A general class of multivariate skew-elliptical distributions, J. Multivariate Anal. 79, pp. 99–113.]. These rich classes of models combine the information of independent studies, allowing investigation of variability both between and within studies and incorporating weight functions. We constructed a detailed computational scheme under skewed normal and skewed Student's t distribution using the MCMC method. Bayesian model selection was conducted by Bayes factor under a different skewed error. Finally, we illustrated our methodology using a real data example taken from Johnson [M.F. Johnson, Comparative efficacy of Naf and SMFP dentifrices in caries prevention: a meta-analysis overview, J Eur. Organ. Caries Res. 27 (1993), pp. 328–336.].