Satellite measurements (retrievals) of surface soil moisture are subject to errors and cannot provide complete space‐time coverage. Data assimilation systems merge available retrievals with information from land surface models and antecedent meteorological data, information that is spatio‐temporally complete but likewise uncertain. For the design of new satellite missions it is critical to understand just how uncertain retrievals can be and still be useful. Here, we present a synthetic data assimilation experiment that determines the contribution of retrievals to the skill of land assimilation products (soil moisture and evapotranspiration) as a function of retrieval and land model skill. As expected, the skill of the assimilation products increases with the skill of the model and that of the retrievals. The skill of the soil moisture assimilation products always exceeds that of the model acting alone; even retrievals of low quality contribute information to the assimilation product, particularly if model skill is modest.

Riyadh, the capital of the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, has experienced unusual levels of urbanization in the past few decades, making it one of the fastest growing cities in the world. This paper examines flood hazards in the rapidly urbanizing catchment of Al-Aysen in Riyadh. Remote sensing and geographic information system techniques were employed to obtain and prepare input data for hydrologic and hydraulic models, with the former based on the very popular curve number approach. Due to the limited nature of the rainfall data, observations from two rain gauges in the vicinity of the catchment were used to estimate design storms. The hydrologic model was run in a semi-distributed mode by dividing the catchment into many sub-catchments. The impact of urbanization on run-off volume and peak discharge resulting from different storms was investigated, with various urbanization scenarios simulated. Flood hazard zones and affected streets were also identified through hydrologic/hydraulic model simulation. The mismatch between administrative and catchment boundaries can create problems in flood risk management for similar cities since hydrologic processes and flood hazards are based on the hydrologic connectivity. Since flooding events impact the road network and create driving hazards, governmental decision-makers must take the necessary precautions to protect drivers in these situations