Purpose: The primary aim of the study is to identify the existence of post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) in an individual and to detect the dominance level of each affected brain region in PTSD using rs-fMRI data. This will assist the psychiatrists and neurologists to distinguish impartially between PTSD individuals and healthy controls for the brain-based treatment of PTSD. Methods: Twenty-eight individuals (14 with PTSD, 14 healthy controls) were assessed to obtain rs-fMRI data of their six brain regions-of-interest. The rs-fMRI data analyzed by the Artificial Neural Network (ANN), adopting the training-validation-testing approach to classify PTSD and to identify the most affected brain region due to PTSD. The classification accuracy is justified by a variety of different methods and metrics. Results: Three ANN models were established to attain the study’s purpose using the susceptible regions in the right, left, and both hemispheres and the classification accuracy of ANN models achieved 79%, 93.5%, and 94.5%, respectively. The prediction accuracy even increased in the independent holdout sample using trained models. The developed models are reliable, intellectually attractive, and generalize. Additionally, the most dominant region in the PTSD individuals was the left hippocampus and the least was the right hippocampus. Conclusion: The present investigation achieved high classification accuracy and identified the brain regions that highly contributed to differentiating PTSD individuals from healthy controls. The results indicated that the left hippocampus is the most affected brain region in PTSD individuals. Therefore, our findings are helpful for practitioners for diagnostic, medication, and therapy of the affected brain regions by knowing the strength of infected regions.
One of the most prominent statistical distributions is the Weibull distribution. The recent modifications in this distribution have enhanced its application but only in specific fields. To introduce a more generalized Weibull distribution, in this work beta exponentiated modified Weibull distribution is established. This distribution consolidate the exponential, skewed and symmetric shapes into one density. The proposed distribution also contains nineteen lifetime distributions as a special case, which shows the flexibility of the distribution. The statistical properties of the proposed model are derived and discussed, including reliability analysis and order statistics. The hazard function of the proposed distribution can have a unimodal, decreasing, bathtub, upside-down bathtub, and increasing shape that make it effective in reliability analysis. The parameters of the proposed model are evaluated by maximum likelihood and least squares estimation methods. The significance of the beta exponentiated modified Weibull distribution for modeling is illustrated by the study of real data. The numerical study indicates that the new proposed distribution gives better results than other comparable distributions.
3 July 2016 in Journal of Statistics and Management Systems
Double-bounded data appears in many applications related to engineering, economics, hydrology, social and behavioral sciences. To model the double-bounded data the Power function distribution is an obvious choice. To enhance its applicability, we proposed transmuted Power function distribution in this study. The new distribution relatively more flexible and performs better in reliability and meteorological data analysis than the parent distribution. Its various mathematical properties are derived such as mean, mode, median, variance, quantile function, reliability function and hazard function. The order statistics and generalized TL-moments with its special cases L-, TL-, LL- and LH-moments are also explored. Parameters estimation is approached through method of maximum likelihood estimation and to evaluate their performance a simulation study has been carried out. Finally, the transmuted and parent distributions is illustrated and compared through two real data sets.
Many countries developed and increased greenery in their country sights to attract international tourists. This planning is now significantly contributing to their economy. The next task is to facilitate the tourists by sufficient arrangements and providing a green and clean environment; it is only possible if an upcoming number of tourists’ arrivals are accurately predicted. But accurate prediction is not easy as empirical evidence shows that the tourists’ arrival data often contains linear, nonlinear, and seasonal patterns. The traditional model, like the seasonal autoregressive fractional integrated moving average (SARFIMA), handles seasonal trends with seasonality. In contrast, the artificial neural network (ANN) model deals better with nonlinear time series. To get a better forecasting result, this study combines the merits of the SARFIMA and the ANN models and the purpose of the hybrid SARFIMA-ANN model. Then, we have used the proposed model to predict the tourists’ arrival in New Zealand, Australia, and London. Empirical results showed that the proposed hybrid model outperforms in predicting tourists’ arrival compared to the traditional SARFIMA and ANN models. Moreover, these results can be generalized to predict tourists’ arrival in any country or region with a complicated data pattern.
The present study is aimed at identifying the most prominent determinants of OCD along with their strength to classify the OCD patients from healthy controls. The data for this cross-sectional study were collected from 200 diagnosed OCD patients and 400 healthy controls. The respondents were selected through purposive sampling and interviewed by using the Y-BOCS scale with the addition of a factor, worth of an individual in his family. The validity and reliability of data were assessed through Cronbach’s alpha and confirmatory factor analysis. Artificial Neural Network (ANN) modeling was adopted to determine threatening determinants along with their strength to predict OCD in an individual. The results of ANN modeling depicted 98% accurate classification of OCD patients from healthy controls. The most contributing factors in determining the OCD patients according to normalized importance were the contamination and cleaning (100%); symmetric and perfection (72.5%); worth of an individual in the family (71.1%); aggressive, religious, and sexual obsession (50.5%); high-risk assessment (46.0%); and somatic obsessions and checking (24.0%).