We analyzed 27 established and new simple and therefore perhaps portable satellite phycocyanin pigment reflectance algorithms for estimating cyanobacterial values in a temperate 8.9 km² reservoir in southwest Ohio using coincident hyperspectral aircraft imagery and dense coincident water surface observations collected from 44 sites within 1 h of image acquisition. The algorithms were adapted to real Compact Airborne Spectrographic Imager (CASI), synthetic WorldView-2, Sentinel-2, Landsat-8, MODIS and Sentinel-3/MERIS/OLCI imagery resulting in 184 variants and corresponding image products. Image products were compared to the cyanobacterial coincident surface observation measurements to identify groups of promising algorithms for operational algal bloom monitoring. Several of the algorithms were found useful for estimating phycocyanin values with each sensor type except MODIS in this small lake. In situ phycocyanin measurements correlated strongly (r² = 0.757) with cyanobacterial sum of total biovolume (CSTB) allowing us to estimate both phycocyanin values and CSTB for all of the satellites considered except MODIS in this situation.

Various empirical algorithms have been developed to retrieve chlorophyll-a (Chl-a) from multispectral and hyperspectral images as a proxy variable for algal blooms in inland waters. In most previous studies, a single empirical model (global model) was calibrated for the entire water body under study. Our analysis shows that the performance of a global model is limited for optically complex inland waters. We discovered that the global model tends to overestimate in some regions and underestimate in other regions, and that the model residuals (errors) display an apparent spatial autocorrelation pattern. To address the inadequacy of the global empirical model, this paper presents regionally or locally adaptive models to better estimate Chl-a concentrations for the first time. We collected two dense sets of Chl-a measurements over Harsha Lake in Ohio during a Sentinel-2A satellite overpass and a dedicated airborne hyperspectral flight. Based on the atmospherically corrected multispectral and hyperspectral images and concurrent in situ measurements, we implemented and evaluated the performance of regionally and locally adaptive models in comparison with the single global model. Among a number of candidate empirical algorithms, the two-band algorithm produces the best global model for Chl-a retrievals for both the multispectral and hyperspectral image sources. By subdividing the water body under investigation into several regions or a set of local areas, we demonstrate that regionally and locally adaptive models can improve Chl-a estimate accuracy by 13%-28% for the multispectral image and by 33%-47% for the hyperspectral image, in comparison with the best global Chl-a model.

Accurate crime prediction can help allocate police resources for crime reduction and prevention. There are two popular approaches to predict criminal activities: one is based on historical crime, and the other is based on environmental variables correlated with criminal patterns. Previous research on geo-statistical modeling mainly considered one type of data in space-time domain, and few sought to blend multi-source data. In this research, we proposed a spatio-temporal Cokriging algorithm to integrate historical crime data and urban transitional zones for more accurate crime prediction. Time-series historical crime data were used as the primary variable, while urban transitional zones identified from the VIIRS nightlight imagery were used as the secondary co-variable. The algorithm has been applied to predict weekly-based street crime and hotspots in Cincinnati, Ohio. Statistical tests and Predictive Accuracy Index (PAI) and Predictive Efficiency Index (PEI) tests were used to validate predictions in comparison with those of the control group without using the co-variable. The validation results demonstrate that the proposed algorithm with historical crime data and urban transitional zones increased the correlation coefficient by 5.4% for weekdays and by 12.3% for weekends in statistical tests, and gained higher hit rates measured by PAI/PEI in the hotspots test.

Ocean warming endangers coastal ecosystems through increased risk of infectious disease, yet detection, surveillance, and forecasting of marine diseases remain limited. Eelgrass (Zostera marina) meadows provide essential coastal habitat and are vulnerable to a temperature‐sensitive wasting disease caused by the protist Labyrinthula zosterae. We assessed wasting disease sensitivity to warming temperatures across a 3500 km study range by combining long‐term satellite remote sensing of ocean temperature with field surveys from 32 meadows along the Pacific coast of North America in 2019. Between 11% and 99% of plants were infected in individual meadows, with up to 35% of plant tissue damaged. Disease prevalence was 3× higher in locations with warm temperature anomalies in summer, indicating that the risk of wasting disease will increase with climate warming throughout the geographic range for eelgrass. Large‐scale surveys were made possible for the first time by the Eelgrass Lesion Image Segmentation Application, an artificial intelligence (AI) system that quantifies eelgrass wasting disease 5000× faster and with comparable accuracy to a human expert. This study highlights the value of AI in marine biological observing specifically for detecting widespread climate‐driven disease outbreaks.