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With increasing concerns about climate change, calls for the adoption of net-zero carbon emissions targets are rising. Achieving this target necessitates a radical decarbonisation of the electricity system, including the shut-down of currently operating high-carbon energy infrastructure. In the light of this background, we develop a novel system dynamics energy-economy model to explore the long-term macroeconomic effects, and changes in the power system costs of different low-carbon electricity transition scenarios. Using the UK as a case study, our simulations demonstrate that there is no win-win policy solution. We argue that while the early retirement of a certain amount of brown energy infrastructure is required for the UK to achieve its emissions target, the amount should be determined with care in order to manage the electricity system costs and prices. By using an implicit carbon price, we find that certain trajectories lead to lower energy system costs while achieving the net-zero target.
Sarah Hafner; Aled Jones; Annela Anger-Kraavi. Economic impacts of achieving a net-zero emissions target in the power sector. Journal of Cleaner Production 2021, 312, 127610 .
AMA StyleSarah Hafner, Aled Jones, Annela Anger-Kraavi. Economic impacts of achieving a net-zero emissions target in the power sector. Journal of Cleaner Production. 2021; 312 ():127610.
Chicago/Turabian StyleSarah Hafner; Aled Jones; Annela Anger-Kraavi. 2021. "Economic impacts of achieving a net-zero emissions target in the power sector." Journal of Cleaner Production 312, no. : 127610.
Chris Foulds; Aled Jones; Zareen Pervez Bharucha. UK aid and research double accounting hits SDG projects. Nature 2021, 592, 188 -188.
AMA StyleChris Foulds, Aled Jones, Zareen Pervez Bharucha. UK aid and research double accounting hits SDG projects. Nature. 2021; 592 (7853):188-188.
Chicago/Turabian StyleChris Foulds; Aled Jones; Zareen Pervez Bharucha. 2021. "UK aid and research double accounting hits SDG projects." Nature 592, no. 7853: 188-188.
In the present study, we compare energy transition scenarios from a new set of integrated assessment models, the suite of MEDEAS models, based on a systems dynamic modeling approach, with scenarios from two already well know structurally and conceptually different integrated assessment models, the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-Range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP). The investigation was carried out to cross-compare and benchmark the response of MEDEAS models with TIMES and LEAP in depicting the energy transition in two different countries, Austria and Bulgaria. The preliminary results show a good agreement across all the models in representing scenarios projecting historical trends, while a major discrepancy is detectable when the rate of implementation of renewable energy is forced to increase to achieve energy system decarbonization. The discrepancy is mainly traceable to the differences in the models’ conception and structures rather than in a real mismatch in representing the same scenarios. The present study is put forward as a guideline for validating new modeling approaches that link energy policy decision tools to the global biophysical and socioeconomic constraints.
Ilaria Perissi; Gianluca Martelloni; Ugo Bardi; Davide Natalini; Aled Jones; Angel Nikolaev; Lukas Eggler; Martin Baumann; Roger Samsó; Jordi Solé. Cross-Validation of the MEDEAS Energy-Economy- Environment Model with the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-Range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP). Sustainability 2021, 13, 1967 .
AMA StyleIlaria Perissi, Gianluca Martelloni, Ugo Bardi, Davide Natalini, Aled Jones, Angel Nikolaev, Lukas Eggler, Martin Baumann, Roger Samsó, Jordi Solé. Cross-Validation of the MEDEAS Energy-Economy- Environment Model with the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-Range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP). Sustainability. 2021; 13 (4):1967.
Chicago/Turabian StyleIlaria Perissi; Gianluca Martelloni; Ugo Bardi; Davide Natalini; Aled Jones; Angel Nikolaev; Lukas Eggler; Martin Baumann; Roger Samsó; Jordi Solé. 2021. "Cross-Validation of the MEDEAS Energy-Economy- Environment Model with the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-Range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP)." Sustainability 13, no. 4: 1967.
This paper assesses causes for, and challenges related to, the funding gap in infrastructure required for a large scale increase of renewable energy in the European energy mix, specifically crossborder interconnectors to transport renewable electricity from areas with high renewable energy potential and production to centres of energy consumption. We identify eight barriers that need to be addressed in order to make investment in interconnectors more attractive. We delineate both technological and governance/legislative barriers to investments in this area. Our analysis is based on a scoping literature review and a workshop that was held in London involving finance and legal experts.
Kat Buchmann; Aled Jones; Yiyun Zhang; Johanna Schönecker. Key challenges in crossborder interconnector finance. Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment 2021, 1 -23.
AMA StyleKat Buchmann, Aled Jones, Yiyun Zhang, Johanna Schönecker. Key challenges in crossborder interconnector finance. Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment. 2021; ():1-23.
Chicago/Turabian StyleKat Buchmann; Aled Jones; Yiyun Zhang; Johanna Schönecker. 2021. "Key challenges in crossborder interconnector finance." Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment , no. : 1-23.
In the present study, we compare energy transition scenarios from a new set of Integrated Assessment Models, the suite of MEDEAS models, based on a systems dynamic modelling approach, with scenarios from two already well know structurally and conceptually different Integrated Assessment Models, the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP). The investigation was carried out to cross-compare and benchmark the response of MEDEAS models with TIMES and LEAP in depicting the energy transition in two different countries, Austria and Bulgaria. The preliminary results show a good agreement across all the models in representing scenarios projecting historical trends, while a major discrepancy is detectable when the rate of implementation of renewable energy is forced to increase to achieve energy system decarbonization. The discrepancy is mainly traceable to the differences in the models’ conception and structures rather than in a real mismatch in representing the same scenarios. The present study is put forward as a guideline for validating new modelling approaches that link energy policy decision tools to the global biophysical and socioeconomic constraints.
Ilaria Perissi; Gianluca Martelloni; Ugo Bardi; Davide Natalini; Aled Jones; Angel Nikolaev; Lukas Eggler; Martin Baumann; Roger Samsó; Jordi Solé. Cross-Validation of the MEDEAS Energy-Economy-Environment Model with the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP). 2021, 1 .
AMA StyleIlaria Perissi, Gianluca Martelloni, Ugo Bardi, Davide Natalini, Aled Jones, Angel Nikolaev, Lukas Eggler, Martin Baumann, Roger Samsó, Jordi Solé. Cross-Validation of the MEDEAS Energy-Economy-Environment Model with the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP). . 2021; ():1.
Chicago/Turabian StyleIlaria Perissi; Gianluca Martelloni; Ugo Bardi; Davide Natalini; Aled Jones; Angel Nikolaev; Lukas Eggler; Martin Baumann; Roger Samsó; Jordi Solé. 2021. "Cross-Validation of the MEDEAS Energy-Economy-Environment Model with the Integrated MARKAL-EFOM System (TIMES) and the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning system (LEAP)." , no. : 1.
Nuclear fission is a primary energy source that may be important to future efforts to reduce greenhouse gas emissions. The energy return on investment (EROI) of any energy source is important because aggregate global EROI must be maintained at a minimum level to support complex global systems. Previous studies considering nuclear EROI have emphasised energy investments linked to ‘enabling’ factors (upstream activities that enable the operation of nuclear technology such as fuel enrichment), have attracted controversy, and challenges also persist regarding system boundary definition. This study advocates that improved consideration of ‘amelioration’ factors (downstream activities that remediate nuclear externalities such as decommissioning), is an important task for calculating a realistic nuclear EROI. Components of the ‘nuclear system’ were analysed and energy investment for five representative ‘amelioration’ factors calculated. These ‘first approximation’ calculations made numerous assumptions, exclusions, and simplifications, but accounted for a greater level of detail than had previously been attempted. The amelioration energy costs were found to be approximately 1.5–2 orders of magnitude lower than representative ‘enabling’ costs. Future refinement of the ‘amelioration’ factors may indicate that they are of greater significance, and may also have characteristics making them systemically significant, notably in terms of timing in relation to future global EROI declines.
Nick King; Aled Jones. An Assessment of Civil Nuclear ‘Enabling’ and ‘Amelioration’ Factors for EROI Analysis. Sustainability 2020, 12, 8414 .
AMA StyleNick King, Aled Jones. An Assessment of Civil Nuclear ‘Enabling’ and ‘Amelioration’ Factors for EROI Analysis. Sustainability. 2020; 12 (20):8414.
Chicago/Turabian StyleNick King; Aled Jones. 2020. "An Assessment of Civil Nuclear ‘Enabling’ and ‘Amelioration’ Factors for EROI Analysis." Sustainability 12, no. 20: 8414.
Well-known academic and non-academic institutions call for a new approach in economics able to capture features of modern economies including, but not limited to, complexity, non-equilibrium and uncertainty. In this paper, we provide a systematic review of ecological macroeconomic models that are suitable for the investigation of low-carbon energy transitions and assess them based on the features considered desirable for a new approach in economics. We draw two main conclusions: firstly, the knowledge base and structure of these existing ecological macroeconomic models are relevant, alongside other types of models, for the creation of a new approach in economics. Secondly, the reviewed models are policy relevant, especially in the context of the complexity and urgency of rapid energy transitions, where increasingly policymakers require economic models able to capture real-world characteristics. However, further improvements are needed to these models and future research should focus on i) assuring comparability of models' results and their policy insights, ii) incorporation of the relationships between macroeconomics, finance and sustainability and iii) the institutionalization of a new approach in economics.
Sarah Hafner; Annela Anger-Kraavi; Irene Monasterolo; Aled Jones. Emergence of New Economics Energy Transition Models: A Review. Ecological Economics 2020, 177, 106779 .
AMA StyleSarah Hafner, Annela Anger-Kraavi, Irene Monasterolo, Aled Jones. Emergence of New Economics Energy Transition Models: A Review. Ecological Economics. 2020; 177 ():106779.
Chicago/Turabian StyleSarah Hafner; Annela Anger-Kraavi; Irene Monasterolo; Aled Jones. 2020. "Emergence of New Economics Energy Transition Models: A Review." Ecological Economics 177, no. : 106779.
Global society currently faces many challenges including climate change and rising inequality. This paper presents the results of a thematic coding analysis of a workshop comprised of senior accountants and actuaries who were asked to consider how a future of sustainable prosperity can be enabled by the finance sector. We found that mindset, skills, external drivers and decision boundaries were key themes that create barriers to change. Importantly, a reframing of the professions is required to underpin the changes required. The accountants and actuaries who took part believe that this represents a revolution from the way they currently operate with regard to regulation, exams, decision‐making and their engagement with clients. They need to be more open to qualitative approaches to advice and focus on value creation, as well as re‐constructing what is understood through value, rather than profit extraction.
Aled Jones; Nick Taylor; Sarah Hafner; Joanna Kitchen. Finance for a future of sustainable prosperity. Area 2020, 53, 21 -29.
AMA StyleAled Jones, Nick Taylor, Sarah Hafner, Joanna Kitchen. Finance for a future of sustainable prosperity. Area. 2020; 53 (1):21-29.
Chicago/Turabian StyleAled Jones; Nick Taylor; Sarah Hafner; Joanna Kitchen. 2020. "Finance for a future of sustainable prosperity." Area 53, no. 1: 21-29.
Meeting its climate policy objectives requires the UK to rapidly decarbonise its energy sector. This demands high levels of investments into low carbon energy infrastructure, which are currently not undertaken at required scale, leading to a green finance gap. We explore (1) key investment barriers, (2) a theoretical framework for investigation and (3) possible solutions, drawing on a review of academic literature and policy reports, and interviews conducted with financial investors and experts. Our study confirms that policy uncertainty and short-termism in the financial system are the two main investment barriers. Our results show that identified barriers form a complex system characterised by path-dependency, lock-in and non-linearity. We recommend the adoption of systems theory as an analytical framework to inform the related policy debate and propose the expansion or development of sustainable investment vehicles as a useful near-term solution while preparing a long-term policy intervention based on a systems perspective.
Sarah Hafner; Aled Jones; Annela Anger-Kraavi; Jan Pohl. Closing the green finance gap – A systems perspective. Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions 2019, 34, 26 -60.
AMA StyleSarah Hafner, Aled Jones, Annela Anger-Kraavi, Jan Pohl. Closing the green finance gap – A systems perspective. Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions. 2019; 34 ():26-60.
Chicago/Turabian StyleSarah Hafner; Aled Jones; Annela Anger-Kraavi; Jan Pohl. 2019. "Closing the green finance gap – A systems perspective." Environmental Innovation and Societal Transitions 34, no. : 26-60.
In 1972, The Limits to Growth, using the World3 System Dynamics model, modeled for the first time the long-term risk of food security, which would emerge from the complex relation between capital and population growth within the limits of the planet. In this paper, we present a novel system dynamics model to explore the short-term dynamics of the food and energy system within the wider global economic framework. By merging structures of the World3, Money, and Macroeconomy Dynamics (MMD) and the Energy Transition and the Economy (ETE) models, we present a closed system global economy model, where growth is driven by population growth and government debt. The agricultural sector is a general disequilibrium productive sector grounded on World3, where capital investment and land development decisions are made to meet population food need, thus generating cascade demands for the energy and capital sector. Energy and Capital Sectors employ a more standard economic approach in line with MMD and ETE. By taking into account the role of financial, real, and natural capital, the model can be used to explore alternative scenarios driven by uncertainty and risk, such as climate extreme events and their impacts on food production. The paper presents scenario analysis of the impact of an exogenous price, production, and subsidies shock in the food and/or energy dimensions on the economic system, understanding the sources of potential cascade effects, thus providing a systemic risk assessment tool to inform global food security policies.
Roberto Pasqualino; Irene Monasterolo; Aled Jones. An Integrated Global Food and Energy Security System Dynamics Model for Addressing Systemic Risk. Sustainability 2019, 11, 3995 .
AMA StyleRoberto Pasqualino, Irene Monasterolo, Aled Jones. An Integrated Global Food and Energy Security System Dynamics Model for Addressing Systemic Risk. Sustainability. 2019; 11 (14):3995.
Chicago/Turabian StyleRoberto Pasqualino; Irene Monasterolo; Aled Jones. 2019. "An Integrated Global Food and Energy Security System Dynamics Model for Addressing Systemic Risk." Sustainability 11, no. 14: 3995.
The finance sector has engaged with policy development processes associated with climate solutions for well over a decade, with the aim of overcoming barriers to investment. In this paper we analyse 31 practice-based policy reports which highlight key barriers to such investing. We use those practice-based policy reports to identify themes associated with barriers to investment to conduct a scoping literature review of academic research. We identify 91 relevant papers and use content analysis to summarise the barriers identified in a structured way to help inform the research landscape in a timely manner. Given the urgency of this issue, we call on the academic community to focus more effort in this new and emerging discipline and, in particular, on the need for an independent view on the validity of some of the claims made in these practice-based policy reports.
Sarah Hafner; Olivia James; Aled Jones. A Scoping Review of Barriers to Investment in Climate Change Solutions. Sustainability 2019, 11, 3201 .
AMA StyleSarah Hafner, Olivia James, Aled Jones. A Scoping Review of Barriers to Investment in Climate Change Solutions. Sustainability. 2019; 11 (11):3201.
Chicago/Turabian StyleSarah Hafner; Olivia James; Aled Jones. 2019. "A Scoping Review of Barriers to Investment in Climate Change Solutions." Sustainability 11, no. 11: 3201.
This paper explores the level of awareness people have about the environmental impact of menstrual products. Currently the most popular types of product are also the most detrimental to the natural environment, particularly due to the amount of hidden plastic in disposable items. This research seeks to find out whether people realize that this is the case and whether those that are more aware of the damage are likely to make choices that are less harmful to the environment. A mixed method approach was taken, using online surveys and focus groups. The results of the study show that most participants were not aware at the amount of plastic in disposable menstrual products, and that there are other issues linked to their environmental impact that people are generally not aware of. Some participants were more aware of the issues than others and the research suggests that those with a higher awareness are more likely to choose products that are less harmful to the environment. Based on these findings, future actions and areas of further research are suggested.
Elizabeth Peberdy; Aled Jones; Dannielle Green. A Study into Public Awareness of the Environmental Impact of Menstrual Products and Product Choice. Sustainability 2019, 11, 473 .
AMA StyleElizabeth Peberdy, Aled Jones, Dannielle Green. A Study into Public Awareness of the Environmental Impact of Menstrual Products and Product Choice. Sustainability. 2019; 11 (2):473.
Chicago/Turabian StyleElizabeth Peberdy; Aled Jones; Dannielle Green. 2019. "A Study into Public Awareness of the Environmental Impact of Menstrual Products and Product Choice." Sustainability 11, no. 2: 473.
The Global Carbon Budget is the cumulative carbon emissions that human activities can generate while limiting the global temperature increase to less than 2°C. On this basis, most countries ratified the Paris Agreement 2015, pledging to reduce national emissions and the impacts of climate change. The European Union has planned to reduce emissions by 80% of their 1990 value by 2050 but such a target needs to be coupled with a further constraint on the cumulative greenhouse gases released along the path to 2050. The aim and the novelty of this study are to propose, for the first time, a carbon budget for the European Union, which represents the most significant physical characteristic to assess the feasibility of current EU-28 greenhouse gas reduction objectives under the goals of the 2015 Paris treaty
Ilaria Perissi; Falsini Sara; Ugo Bardi; Davide Natalini; Michael Green; Aled Jones; Jordi Solé. Potential European Emissions Trajectories within the Global Carbon Budget. 2018, 1 .
AMA StyleIlaria Perissi, Falsini Sara, Ugo Bardi, Davide Natalini, Michael Green, Aled Jones, Jordi Solé. Potential European Emissions Trajectories within the Global Carbon Budget. . 2018; ():1.
Chicago/Turabian StyleIlaria Perissi; Falsini Sara; Ugo Bardi; Davide Natalini; Michael Green; Aled Jones; Jordi Solé. 2018. "Potential European Emissions Trajectories within the Global Carbon Budget." , no. : 1.
The Paris Agreement, ratified in 2015, pledged to reduce greenhouse gas emissions within a Global Carbon Budget that limits the global temperature increase to less than 2 °C. With the Roadmap 2050 mitigation measures, the European Union has a target to reduce emissions by 80% of their 1990 value by 2050 but without giving an estimation or a maximum ceiling for the total amount of cumulative greenhouse gases emissions over that period. Thus, the impact of the EU regulations on global warming remains unestimated. The aim and the novelty of this study are to develop a set of potential European emissions trajectories, within the Global Carbon Budget and at the same time satisfying the Roadmap 2050 goals. The result of the study highlights the urgency to reinforce mitigation measures for Europe as soon as possible because any delay in policy implementation risks the Roadmap 2050 mitigation package being insufficient to achieve the objectives of the Paris treaty.
Ilaria Perissi; Sara Falsini; Ugo Bardi; Davide Natalini; Michael Green; Aled Jones; Jordi Solé. Potential European Emissions Trajectories within the Global Carbon Budget. Sustainability 2018, 10, 4225 .
AMA StyleIlaria Perissi, Sara Falsini, Ugo Bardi, Davide Natalini, Michael Green, Aled Jones, Jordi Solé. Potential European Emissions Trajectories within the Global Carbon Budget. Sustainability. 2018; 10 (11):4225.
Chicago/Turabian StyleIlaria Perissi; Sara Falsini; Ugo Bardi; Davide Natalini; Michael Green; Aled Jones; Jordi Solé. 2018. "Potential European Emissions Trajectories within the Global Carbon Budget." Sustainability 10, no. 11: 4225.
The monetary valuation of ecosystem services is gaining traction in policy and business communities. Several tools and decision‐making processes have been proposed, including criteria to assess the appropriateness of using monetary valuation for biodiversity conservation outcomes. These criteria include measures such as scale, uniqueness, and threat. We used case studies of monetization projects for which the outcomes were measured to explore the limitations and application of these criteria. There was limited evidence of the effectiveness of such schemes. The majority of the schemes were established in areas where the criteria specifically excluded their use in isolation. Thus, although some aspects of monetization may be beneficial for biodiversity conservation, these schemes were not being used appropriately and require some quantitative minimum (or maximum) measurements to be applied through additional policy or governance measures to ensure biodiversity conservation outcomes.
Julia Temel; Aled Jones; Nikoleta Jones; Lenke Balint. Limits of monetization in protecting ecosystem services. Conservation Biology 2018, 32, 1048 -1062.
AMA StyleJulia Temel, Aled Jones, Nikoleta Jones, Lenke Balint. Limits of monetization in protecting ecosystem services. Conservation Biology. 2018; 32 (5):1048-1062.
Chicago/Turabian StyleJulia Temel; Aled Jones; Nikoleta Jones; Lenke Balint. 2018. "Limits of monetization in protecting ecosystem services." Conservation Biology 32, no. 5: 1048-1062.
This paper examines the efficacy of sustainability-related performance conditions in executive pay schemes at listed companies in the U.K. as perceived by the individuals involved in setting those conditions. It will be demonstrated that it is common practice in the U.K. for senior executives to receive part of their pay in the form of bonuses and share awards, the value of which awards will be determined by some degree of performance. The performance targets are generally related to financial performance but there is some evidence that performance conditions are increasingly being related to sustainability in some way. This paper considers a number of issues, including a key systemic issue of whether using incentive pay will have a material impact on the behaviour of U.K. listed companies regarding sustainability issues.
Paul Emerton; Aled Jones. Perceptions of the efficacy of sustainability-related performance conditions in executive pay schemes. Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment 2018, 9, 1 -16.
AMA StylePaul Emerton, Aled Jones. Perceptions of the efficacy of sustainability-related performance conditions in executive pay schemes. Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment. 2018; 9 (1):1-16.
Chicago/Turabian StylePaul Emerton; Aled Jones. 2018. "Perceptions of the efficacy of sustainability-related performance conditions in executive pay schemes." Journal of Sustainable Finance & Investment 9, no. 1: 1-16.
This paper examines how a national risk register supports the implementation of disaster risk management practices at a local level. We present a case study of the UK’s National Risk Register of Civil Emergencies and explore stakeholder understanding, views, perceptions, opinions, and application within the East of England. A semi-structured interview methodology was adopted for this paper with 14 key stakeholders from across the East of England interviewed. Thematic coding analysis was used to structure the results against a set of research questions. Interviewees were found to be largely unaware of the National Risk Register, and as such its usefulness as a risk management tool is limited. In particular, restricted local resources, limited understanding of risk, and a lack of actionable strategies were highlighted as barriers to action. Opportunities for capacity building at the local level, sharing best practice, and improved risk communication were all identified. The National Risk Register could be used to improve risk management at local levels but more engagement with it at a local level is required.
Katie Hiscock; Aled Jones. Assessing the Extent to Which the UK’s National Risk Register Supports Local Risk Management. Sustainability 2017, 9, 1991 .
AMA StyleKatie Hiscock, Aled Jones. Assessing the Extent to Which the UK’s National Risk Register Supports Local Risk Management. Sustainability. 2017; 9 (11):1991.
Chicago/Turabian StyleKatie Hiscock; Aled Jones. 2017. "Assessing the Extent to Which the UK’s National Risk Register Supports Local Risk Management." Sustainability 9, no. 11: 1991.
Food production shocks can lead to food crises where access to appropriate quantities and quality of food become inadequate, unaffordable, or unreliable on a major scale. While the physical causes of food production shocks are well researched, the dynamics of responses to them are less well understood. This paper reviews those dynamics and includes evidence gathered via interviews of 44 expert practitioners sourced globally from academia, government, industry, think-tanks, and development/relief organizations. The paper confirms that policy interventions are often prioritised for national interests and poorly coordinated at regional and global scales. The paper acknowledges future compounding trends such as climate change and demographic shifts and suggests that while there are signs of incremental progress in better managing the impacts of shock events, coordinated responses at scale will require a paradigm shift involving major policy, market, and technological advancements, and a wide range of public and private sector stakeholders.
Aled Jones; Bradley Hiller. Exploring the Dynamics of Responses to Food Production Shocks. Sustainability 2017, 9, 960 .
AMA StyleAled Jones, Bradley Hiller. Exploring the Dynamics of Responses to Food Production Shocks. Sustainability. 2017; 9 (6):960.
Chicago/Turabian StyleAled Jones; Bradley Hiller. 2017. "Exploring the Dynamics of Responses to Food Production Shocks." Sustainability 9, no. 6: 960.
From 2010 to 2015, the UK coalition government sought to reduce the influence of central government and follow a strategy of localism. Devolution, bringing people closer to democratic process and strengthening communities, became a key point of emphasis. The belief was that localism and devolution would empower socially, help instigate economic innovation and lead to the establishment of greener, more environmentally conscious behaviour. The findings of this paper challenge this rationale. Through an analysis of community energy policy, this paper highlights how the strategy of localism that emerged during the coalition government’s tenure, did not allow pro-environmental schemes, such as community energy, to flourish. The significant scaling back of state funding and structure, which became a feature of the coalition government’s approach to localism, restricts the ability and desire for communities to positively affect their surroundings. It is the recommendation of this paper that future governments should look to emerging ‘eco-localism’ literature, and establish a model of localism that moves away from existing neoliberal perspectives of governance.
Robin Eagle; Aled Jones; Alison Greig. Localism and the environment: A critical review of UK Government localism strategy 2010–2015. Local Economy: The Journal of the Local Economy Policy Unit 2017, 32, 55 -72.
AMA StyleRobin Eagle, Aled Jones, Alison Greig. Localism and the environment: A critical review of UK Government localism strategy 2010–2015. Local Economy: The Journal of the Local Economy Policy Unit. 2017; 32 (1):55-72.
Chicago/Turabian StyleRobin Eagle; Aled Jones; Alison Greig. 2017. "Localism and the environment: A critical review of UK Government localism strategy 2010–2015." Local Economy: The Journal of the Local Economy Policy Unit 32, no. 1: 55-72.
The multidimensionality and complexity of assuring food security in a sustainable and inclusive way requires us to think in systems. Yet, sector specific models or agricultural productivity models are not able by construction to represent the non-linearity and time-dependent nature of the relations underpinning the agri-food system. Two alternative modelling approaches, i.e., System Dynamics (SD) and Agent Based Models (ABM), gained increasing attention in particular after the food commodities prices spikes in 2007 thanks to the conceptual and structural advantages that they provide to the study of food system complexity. In this paper, we develop a first, rigorous bibliometric analysis based on pattern recognition analysis reviewing the peer review journal publications focused on agri-food systems. Using the ISIWeb of Science dataset provided by Thomson Reuters, we apply citation/co-citation semantic metrics to analyse publications from 1970 to 2016 in the field of agricultural models divided in two categories that we define as: (i) agricultural complex systems modelling (ACSM) that includes SD and ABM modelling exercised; and (ii) agricultural modelling (AM) that includes traditional approaches to agri-food systems modelling rooted on the neoclassical approach (e.g., Computable General Equilibrium Models and Partial Equilibrium Models). The publications are identified by applying a filter of specific keywords to the search. We then compare how both approaches appear in the literature looking at the number of publications and citations by scientific journals, identifying key authors and journals, their frequency, the impact factor and citations, and looking at their trend through time. Results show the prevalence of AM approaches for the analysis of the agri-food sector on one side, and the smaller but growing contribution of the ACSM community and literature on the other. We conclude by remarking the need for more systematic analyses on the contribution of the two approaches to the analysis of the complex dynamics and behaviour of agri-food systems to inform evidence-based policies for sustainable and inclusive agriculture.
Irene Monasterolo; Roberto Pasqualino; Anthony C. Janetos; Aled Jones. Sustainable and Inclusive Food Systems through the Lenses of a Complex System Thinking Approach—A Bibliometric Review. Agriculture 2016, 6, 44 .
AMA StyleIrene Monasterolo, Roberto Pasqualino, Anthony C. Janetos, Aled Jones. Sustainable and Inclusive Food Systems through the Lenses of a Complex System Thinking Approach—A Bibliometric Review. Agriculture. 2016; 6 (3):44.
Chicago/Turabian StyleIrene Monasterolo; Roberto Pasqualino; Anthony C. Janetos; Aled Jones. 2016. "Sustainable and Inclusive Food Systems through the Lenses of a Complex System Thinking Approach—A Bibliometric Review." Agriculture 6, no. 3: 44.