The World Health Organization is yet to realise the global aim of achieving future-free and eliminating the transmission of respiratory diseases such as H1N1, SARS and Ebola since the recent reemergence of Ebola in the Democratic Republic of Congo. In this paper, a Caputo fractional-order derivative is applied to a system of non-integer order differential equation to model the transmission dynamics of respiratory diseases. The nonnegative solutions of the system are obtained by using the Generalized Mean Value Theorem. The next generation matrix approach is used to obtain the basic reproduction number \( \mathcal {R}_{0} \). We discuss the stability of the disease-free equilibrium when \(\mathcal {R}_{0} < 1\), and the necessary conditions for the stability of the endemic equilibrium when \(\mathcal {R}_{0} > 1 \). A sensitivity analysis shows that \(\mathcal {R}_{0} \) is most sensitive to the probability of the disease transmission rate. The results from the numerical simulations of optimal control strategies disclose that the utmost way of controlling or probably eradicating the transmission of respiratory diseases should be quarantining the exposed individuals, monitoring and treating infected people for a substantial period.
The first‐ and second‐order wave equations of Benjamin–Ono control the propagation of nonlinear Rossby waves in a rotating fluid and define a broad class of internal waves in a stratified fluid of enormous depth. New solitary wave solutions and the modulation instability of the solutions for the first‐ and second‐order Benjamin–Ono partial differential equations are studied in this paper. Using the extended simple equation approach, we obtained new exact, periodic, kink soliton, dark soliton, and bright soliton solutions. The moments of the obtained solutions are shown graphically to illustrate the models’ physical properties. These solutions have important uses in nanofluids and fluid dynamics. Using modulation instability analysis, the sensitivities of the septic nonlinearities in the models are examined. All of the resulting solutions are analytical and stable under the specified conditions, according to the modulation instability analysis.
14 July 2020 in International Journal of Applied and Computational Mathematics
We model a common teller–customer interaction occurring in the Ghanaian banking sector via a Double-X queuing network consisting of three single servers with infinite-capacity buffers. The servers are assumed to face independent general renewal of customers and independent identically distributed general service times, the inter-arrival and service time distributions being different for each server. Servers, when free, help serve customers waiting in the queues of other servers. By using the fluid limit approach, we find a sufficient stability condition for the system, which involves the arrival and service rates in the form of a set of inequalities. Finally, the model is validated using an illustrative example from a Ghanaian bank.
31 August 2021 in Nonlinear Analysis Modelling and Control
Journal provides a multidisciplinary forum for scientists, researchers and engineers involved in research and design of nonlinear processes and phenomena, including the nonlinear modelling of phenomena of the nature.
In this study, a novel modified SIR model is presented with two control measures to predict the endpoint of COVID-19, in top three sub-Saharan African countries (South Africa, Ethiopia, and Kenya) including Ghana and top four European countries (France, Germany, UK, and Italy). The reproduction numbers sensitivity indices with regard to the model parameters were explicitly derived and then numerically evaluated. Numerical simulations of the suggested optimal control schemes in general showed a continuous result of decline at different anticipated extinction timelines. Another interesting observation was that in the simulation of sub-Saharan African dynamics, it was observed that the use of personal protective equipment was more effective than the use of vaccination, whereas in Europe, the use of vaccination was more effective than personal protective equipment. From the simulations, the conclusion is that COVID-19 will end before the 3rd year in Ghana, before the 6th year in Kenya, and before the 9th year in both Ethiopia and South Africa.