Informed driving is increasingly becoming a key feature for increasing the sustainability of taxi companies. The sensors that are installed in each vehicle are providing new opportunities for automatically discovering knowledge, which, in return, delivers information for real-time decision making. Intelligent transportation systems for taxi dispatching and for finding time-saving routes are already exploring these sensing data. This paper introduces a novel methodology for predicting the spatial distribution of taxi-passengers for a short-term time horizon using streaming data. First, the information was aggregated into a histogram time series. Then, three time-series forecasting techniques were combined to originate a prediction. Experimental tests were conducted using the online data that are transmitted by 441 vehicles of a fleet running in the city of Porto, Portugal. The results demonstrated that the proposed framework can provide effective insight into the spatiotemporal distribution of taxi-passenger demand for a 30-min horizon.
The goal of ensemble regression is to combine several models in order to improve the prediction accuracy in learning problems with a numerical target variable. The process of ensemble learning can be divided into three phases: the generation phase, the pruning phase, and the integration phase. We discuss different approaches to each of these phases that are able to deal with the regression problem, categorizing them in terms of their relevant characteristics and linking them to contributions from different fields. Furthermore, this work makes it possible to identify interesting areas for future research.
21 January 2015 in IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems
Intelligent transportation systems based on automated data collection frameworks are widely used by the major transit companies around the globe. This paper describes the current state of the art on improving both planning and control on public road transportation companies using automatic vehicle location (AVL) data. By surveying this topic, the expectation is to help develop a better understanding of the nature, approaches, challenges, and opportunities with regard to these problems. This paper starts by presenting a brief review on improving the network definition based on historical location-based data. Second, it presents a comprehensive review on AVL-based evaluation techniques of the schedule plan (SP) reliability, discussing the existing metrics. Then, the different dimensions on improving the SP reliability are presented in detail, as well as the works addressing such problem. Finally, the automatic control strategies are also revised, along with the research employed over the location-based data. A comprehensive discussion on the techniques employed is provided to encourage those who are starting research on this topic. It is important to highlight that there are still gaps in AVL-based literature, such as the following: 1) long-term travel time prediction; 2) finding optimal slack time; or 3) choosing the best control strategy to apply in each situation in the event of schedule instability. Hence, this paper includes introductory model formulations, reference surveys, formal definitions, and an overview of a promising area, which is of interest to any researcher, regardless of the level of expertise.
1 February 2016 in Expert Systems with Applications
Spatio-temporal prediction tasks play a crucial role in facilitating informed decision-making through anticipatory insights. By accurately predicting future outcomes, the ability to strategize, preemptively address risks, and minimize their potential impact is enhanced. The precision in forecasting spatial and temporal patterns holds significant potential for optimizing resource allocation, land utilization, and infrastructure development. While existing review and survey papers predominantly focus on specific forecasting domains such as intelligent transportation, urban planning, pandemics, disease prediction, climate and weather forecasting, environmental data prediction, and agricultural yield projection, limited attention has been devoted to comprehensive surveys encompassing multiple objects concurrently. This article addresses this gap by comprehensively analyzing techniques employed in traffic, pandemics, disease forecasting, climate and weather prediction, agricultural yield estimation, and environmental data prediction. Furthermore, it elucidates challenges inherent in spatio-temporal forecasting and outlines potential avenues for future research exploration.