Estimating the electricity load is a crucial task in the planning of power generation systems and the efficient operation and sustainable growth of modern electricity supply networks. Especially with the advent of smart grids, the need for fairly precise and highly reliable estimation of electricity load is greater than ever. It is a challenging task to estimate the electricity load with high precision. Many energy demand management methods are used to estimate future energy demands correctly. Machine learning methods are well adapted to the nature of the electrical load, as they can model complicated nonlinear connections through a learning process containing historical data patterns. Many scientists have used machine learning (ML) to anticipate failure before it occurs as well as predict the outcome. ML is an artificial intelligence (AI) subdomain that involves studying and developing mathematical algorithms to understand data or obtain data directly without relying on a prearranged model algorithm. ML is applied in all industries. In this paper, machine learning strategies including artificial neural network (ANN), multiple linear regression (MLR), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), and support vector machine (SVM) were used to estimate electricity demand and propose criteria for power generation in Cyprus. The simulations were adapted to real historical data explaining the electricity usage in 2016 and 2107 with long-term and short-term analysis. It was observed that electricity load is a result of temperature, humidity, solar irradiation, population, gross national income (GNI) per capita, and the electricity price per kilowatt-hour, which provide input parameters for the ML algorithms. Using electricity load data from Cyprus, the performance of the ML algorithms was thoroughly evaluated. The results of long-term and short-term studies show that SVM and ANN are comparatively superior to other ML methods, providing more reliable and precise outcomes in terms of fewer estimation errors for Cyprus’s time series forecasting criteria for power generation.
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1 March 2016 in Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews
Lithium ion batteries (LiBs) are considered one of the most suitable power options for electric vehicle (EV) drivetrains, known for having low self-discharging properties which hence provide a long life-cycle operation. To obtain maximum power output from LiBs, it is necessary to critically monitor operating conditions which affect their performance and life span. This paper investigates the thermal performance of a battery thermal management system (BTMS) for a battery pack housing 100 NCR18650 lithium ion cells. Maximum cell temperature (Tmax) and maximum temperature difference (ΔTmax) between cells were the performance criteria for the battery pack. The battery pack is investigated for three levels of air flow rate combined with two current rate using a full factorial Design of Experiment (DoE) method. A worst case scenario of cell Tmax averaged at 36.1 °C was recorded during a 0.75 C charge experiment and 37.5 °C during a 0.75 C discharge under a 1.4 m/s flow rate. While a 54.28% reduction in ΔTmax between the cells was achieved by increasing the air flow rate in the 0.75 C charge experiment from 1.4 m/s to 3.4 m/s. Conclusively, increasing BTMS performance with increasing air flow rate was a common trend observed in the experimental data after analyzing various experiment results.