Maria Eduarda Silva

Dr. Maria Eduarda Silva

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

23Years (2004-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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27 September 2009 in Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
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SFS. Fatichi
S. Fatichi
SBS. M. Barbosa
S. M. Barbosa
ECEnrica Caporali
Enrica Caporali
MSMaria Eduarda Silva
Maria Eduarda Silva
The detection of a trend in a time series and the evaluation of its magnitude and statistical significance is an important task in geophysical research. This importance is amplified in climate change contexts, since trends are often used to characterize long‐term climate variability and to quantify the magnitude and the statistical significance of changes in climate time series, both at global and local scales. Recent studies have demonstrated that the stochastic behavior of a time series can change the statistical significance of a trend, especially if the time series exhibits long‐range dependence. The present study examines the trends in time series of daily average temperature recorded in 26 stations in the Tuscany region (Italy). In this study a new framework for trend detection is proposed. First two parametric statistical tests, the Phillips‐Perron test and the Kwiatkowski‐Phillips‐Schmidt‐Shin test, are applied in order to test for trend stationary and difference stationary behavior in the temperature time series. Then long‐range dependence is assessed using different approaches, including wavelet analysis, heuristic methods and by fitting fractionally integrated autoregressive moving average models. The trend detection results are further compared with the results obtained using nonparametric trend detection methods: Mann‐Kendall, Cox‐Stuart and Spearman'sρtests. This study confirms an increase in uncertainty when pronounced stochastic behaviors are present in the data. Nevertheless, for approximately one third of the analyzed records, the stochastic behavior itself cannot explain the long‐term features of the time series, and a deterministic positive trend is the most likely explanation.

14 May 2004 in Journal of Time Series Analysis
Verified
Journal Article
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MSMaria Eduarda Silva
Maria Eduarda Silva
VOVera Lúcia Oliveira
Vera Lúcia Oliveira

1 March 2014 in Journal of Multivariate Analysis
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
MSManuel Scotto
Manuel Scotto
CWChristian H. Weiß
Christian H. Weiß
MSMaria Eduarda Silva
Maria Eduarda Silva
Isabel PereiraIsabel Pereira
Isabel Pereira

1 March 2021 in WIREs Data Mining and Knowledge Discovery
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Journal Article
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VSVanessa Freitas Silva
Vanessa Freitas Silva
MSMaria Eduarda Silva
Maria Eduarda Silva
PRPedro Ribeiro
Pedro Ribeiro
FSFernando Silva
Fernando Silva

17 December 2015 in AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
TMTa Moeller
Ta Moeller
MSMaria Eduarda Silva
Maria Eduarda Silva
CWCh Weiss
Ch Weiss
MSMg Scotto
Mg Scotto
Isabel PereiraIsabel Pereira
Isabel Pereira

1 September 2006 in Statistics & Probability Letters
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
ISIsabel Silva
Isabel Silva
MSMaria Eduarda Silva
Maria Eduarda Silva