There are many factors leading to construction safety accident. The rule presented under the influence of these factors should be a statistical random rule. To reveal those random rules and study the probability prediction method of construction safety accident, according to stochastic process theory, general stochastic process, Markov process and normal process are respectively used to simulate the risk-accident process in this paper. First, in the general-random-process-based analysis the probability of accidents in a period of time is calculated. Then, the Markov property of the construction safety risk evolution process is illustrated, and the analytical expression of probability density function of first-passage time of Markov-based risk-accident process is derived to calculate the construction safety probability. In the normal-process-based analysis, the construction safety probability formulas in cases of stationary normal risk process and non-stationary normal risk process with zero mean value are derived respectively. Finally, the number of accidents that may occur on construction site in a period is studied macroscopically based on Poisson process, and the probability distribution of time interval between adjacent accidents and the time of the nth accident are calculated respectively. The results provide useful reference for the prediction and management of construction accidents.

The development of the Chinese economy is associated with many changes in vehicle loads, particularly the increasing numbers of heavy trucks and other types of vehicles. However, currently, no standard vehicle has been identified for studying the fatigue design of highway bridges in China. Using the weigh-in-motion system, the authors obtained vehicle loads of 23 Chinese provinces. Miner’s rule for cumulative fatigue damage was then used to categorize each vehicle as one of eight representative types according to load. From these types, five equivalent vehicle models were found. Subsequently, simplified fatigue load spectra for highway bridges were obtained for each province. The six-axle vehicle can be used as the standard fatigue vehicle for most provinces, except in Zhejiang and Guizhou, in which three- and four-axle vehicles are most representative. Also, a standard fatigue vehicle for China is proposed.