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Dr. Cesar Daniel Aguilar-Becerra
Universidad Autónoma de Guerrero

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Research Keywords & Expertise

0 Rural tourism
0 Indicadores turísticos
0 Tourism and Development
0 Resilience and Sustainability
0 risk management

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Journal article
Published: 27 November 2020 in Sustainability
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The presence of extreme hydrometeorological threats has co-occurred with the COVID-19 pandemic, increasing the potential risk of a disaster scenario occurring. The hurricane “Cristobal”, which impacted Mexico’s tropical regions, presented a high risk of contagion and death caused by the combined effects of violent winds, floods, and evacuations. This work aims to determine whether the presence of concurrent events during the pandemic caused an increase in confirmed positive COVID-19 cases in the Yucatan Peninsula’s western sector. To achieve this, a numerical analysis and identification of the tropical storm’s extreme characteristics were conducted. Next, a combined analysis of the territorial system subject to flooding and the rainfall level reported during the emergency period was conducted at the municipal level. The third phase consisted of analyzing the confirmed positive cases of COVID-19 at the municipal level on four strategic dates (before, during, observation, and end of the emergency period). Finally, a content analysis of the emergency bulletins, action guides, and disaster declarations was carried out to identify the measures and adaptations implemented during the pandemic. It is recognized that emergency management measures were implemented for municipalities with more than 30 confirmed positive cases of COVID-19 and where the shelter capacity was reduced. Protocols for caring for people were followed, these being one of the leading adaptive methods. From the analyzed data, it can be pointed out that there is no direct evidence for an increase in positive COVID-19 cases in 10 of the municipalities. However, in the case of the municipality of Escarcega, there was a sudden increase in cases from June 8, which continues to grow. Therefore, it is necessary to deepen the study of multiple events to recognize the actions that can prevent catastrophes in these times of crisis.

ACS Style

Oscar Frausto-Martínez; Cesar Aguilar-Becerra; Orlando Colín-Olivares; Gabriel Sánchez-Rivera; Adel Hafsi; Alex Contreras-Tax; Wilberth Uhu-Yam. COVID-19, Storms, and Floods: Impacts of Tropical Storm Cristobal in the Western Sector of the Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico. Sustainability 2020, 12, 9925 .

AMA Style

Oscar Frausto-Martínez, Cesar Aguilar-Becerra, Orlando Colín-Olivares, Gabriel Sánchez-Rivera, Adel Hafsi, Alex Contreras-Tax, Wilberth Uhu-Yam. COVID-19, Storms, and Floods: Impacts of Tropical Storm Cristobal in the Western Sector of the Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico. Sustainability. 2020; 12 (23):9925.

Chicago/Turabian Style

Oscar Frausto-Martínez; Cesar Aguilar-Becerra; Orlando Colín-Olivares; Gabriel Sánchez-Rivera; Adel Hafsi; Alex Contreras-Tax; Wilberth Uhu-Yam. 2020. "COVID-19, Storms, and Floods: Impacts of Tropical Storm Cristobal in the Western Sector of the Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico." Sustainability 12, no. 23: 9925.

Journal article
Published: 05 September 2019 in Sustainability
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The studies on the evolution of tourist destinations are not a new issue, however, most of them have been focused on consolidated destinations, whereas only a minimum has been done on tourism transformation in rural areas. The objective of this work is to diagnose the evolutionary process of tourism in Coastal Rural Communities (CRCs). To do this, we propose a model which combines two research approaches, Path Dependence and Social Network Analysis. The methodological approach is divided into three parts: design, application and validation, and it is based on collecting in situ and identifying key informants. In the first part, the stages of a Path Dependence for a CRC are conceptualized and bipartite graphs are constructed to show the relationships between: (1) the identified establishments built in a period of time and (2) positive and negative lock-ins with a greater degree of influence on the evolutionary process. On this basis, the resulting graphs are associated with the stages of the Path Dependence. In the second part, the model theoretically raised is applied as an empirical case at the CRC of Playa Ventura, Guerrero, in the Southern Pacific of Mexico. Finally, we validated the model based on the results obtained, which indicate that the model is suitable for the generation of knowledge about the evolutionary process of tourism in CRC’s, and therefore, it opens the possibility of being replicated in other communities with the same characteristics.

ACS Style

César Daniel Aguilar-Becerra; Oscar Frausto-Martínez; Hernando Avilés-Pineda; Jair J. Pineda-Pineda; Jennifer Caroline Soares; Maximino Reyes Umaña. Path Dependence and Social Network Analysis on Evolutionary Dynamics of Tourism in Coastal Rural Communities. Sustainability 2019, 11, 4854 .

AMA Style

César Daniel Aguilar-Becerra, Oscar Frausto-Martínez, Hernando Avilés-Pineda, Jair J. Pineda-Pineda, Jennifer Caroline Soares, Maximino Reyes Umaña. Path Dependence and Social Network Analysis on Evolutionary Dynamics of Tourism in Coastal Rural Communities. Sustainability. 2019; 11 (18):4854.

Chicago/Turabian Style

César Daniel Aguilar-Becerra; Oscar Frausto-Martínez; Hernando Avilés-Pineda; Jair J. Pineda-Pineda; Jennifer Caroline Soares; Maximino Reyes Umaña. 2019. "Path Dependence and Social Network Analysis on Evolutionary Dynamics of Tourism in Coastal Rural Communities." Sustainability 11, no. 18: 4854.

Review
Published: 27 June 2017 in Sustainable Development and Planning IX
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ACS Style

César Daniel Aguilar-Becerra; Oscar Frausto-Martínez; Hernando Avilez Pineda; José Luis Rosas Acevedo; C. A. Brebbia. USE OF SUSTAINABLE TOURISM INDICATORS FOR RURAL COASTAL COMMUNITIES: A REVIEW. Sustainable Development and Planning IX 2017, 1, 803 -814.

AMA Style

César Daniel Aguilar-Becerra, Oscar Frausto-Martínez, Hernando Avilez Pineda, José Luis Rosas Acevedo, C. A. Brebbia. USE OF SUSTAINABLE TOURISM INDICATORS FOR RURAL COASTAL COMMUNITIES: A REVIEW. Sustainable Development and Planning IX. 2017; 1 ():803-814.

Chicago/Turabian Style

César Daniel Aguilar-Becerra; Oscar Frausto-Martínez; Hernando Avilez Pineda; José Luis Rosas Acevedo; C. A. Brebbia. 2017. "USE OF SUSTAINABLE TOURISM INDICATORS FOR RURAL COASTAL COMMUNITIES: A REVIEW." Sustainable Development and Planning IX 1, no. : 803-814.