In this manuscript, the mathematical analysis of corona virus model with time delay effect is studied. Mathematical modelling of infectious diseases has substantial role in the different disciplines such as biological, engineering, physical, social, behavioural problems and many more. Most of infectious diseases are dreadful such as HIV/AIDS, Hepatitis and 2019-nCov. Unfortunately, due to the non-availability of vaccine for 2019- nCov around the world, the delay factors like, social distancing, quarantine, travel restrictions, holidays extension, hospitalization and isolation are used as key tools to control the pandemic of 2019-nCov. We have analysed the reproduction number RnCov of delayed model. Two key strategies from the reproduction number of 2019-nCov model, may be followed, according to the nature of the disease as if it is diminished or present in the community. The more delaying tactics eventually, led to the control of pandemic. Local and global stability of 2019-nCov model is presented for the strategies. We have also investigated the effect of delay factor on reproduction number RnCov. Finally, some very useful numerical results are presented to support the theoretical analysis of the model.
The present study is conducted to analyse the computational dynamical analysis of the stochastic susceptible-infected-recovered pandemic model of the novel coronavirus. We adopted two ways for stochastic modelling like as transition probabilities and parametric perturbation techniques. We applied different and well-known computational methods like Euler Maruyama, stochastic Euler, and stochastic Runge Kutta to study the dynamics of the model mentioned above. Unfortunately, these computational methods do not restore the dynamical properties of the model like positivity, boundedness, consistency, and stability in the sense of biological reasoning, as desired. Then, for the given stochastic model, we developed a stochastic non-standard finite difference method. Following that, several theorems are presented to support the proposed method, which is shown to satisfy all of the model's dynamical properties. To that end, several simulations are presented to compare the proposed method's efficiency to that of existing stochastic methods.
In the present study, a nonlinear delayed coronavirus pandemic model is investigated in the human population. For study, we find the equilibria of susceptible-exposed-infected-quarantine-recovered model with delay term. The stability of the model is investigated using well-posedness, Routh Hurwitz criterion, Volterra Lyapunov function, and Lasalle invariance principle. The effect of the reproduction number on dynamics of disease is analyzed. If the reproduction number is less than one then the disease has been controlled. On the other hand, if the reproduction number is greater than one then the disease has become endemic in the population. The effect of the quarantine component on the reproduction number is also investigated. In the delayed analysis of the model, we investigated that transmission dynamics of the disease is dependent on delay terms which is also reflected in basic reproduction number. At the end, to depict the strength of the theoretical analysis of the model, computer simulations are presented.