Ashwin Shashidharan

Dr. Ashwin Shashidharan


Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

8Years (2019-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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24 September 2019 in Land
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
DBDerek Van Berkel
Derek Van Berkel
ASAshwin Shashidharan
Ashwin Shashidharan
RMRua S. Mordecai
Rua S. Mordecai
RVRaju Vatsavai
Raju Vatsavai
APAnna Petrasova
Anna Petrasova
RMRoss Meentemeyer
Ross Meentemeyer
Increasing population and rural to urban migration are accelerating urbanization globally, permanently transforming natural systems over large extents. Modelling landscape change over large regions, however, presents particular challenges due to local-scale variations in social and environmental factors that drive land change. We simulated urban development across the South Atlantic States (SAS), a region experiencing rapid population growth and urbanization, using FUTURES—an open source land change model that uses demand for development, local development suitability factors, and a stochastic patch growing algorithm for projecting alternative futures of urban form and landscape change. New advances to the FUTURES modelling framework allow for high resolution projections over large spatial extents by leveraging parallel computing. We simulated the adoption of different urban growth strategies that encourage settlement densification in the SAS as alternatives to the region’s increasing sprawl. Evaluation of projected patterns indicate a 15% increase in urban lands by 2050 given a status quo development scenario compared to a 14.8% increase for the Infill strategy. Status quo development resulted in a 3.72% loss of total forests, 2.97% loss of highly suitable agricultural land, and 3.69% loss of ecologically significant lands. An alternative Infill scenario resulted in similar losses of total forest (3.62%) and ecologically significant lands (3.63%) yet consumed less agricultural lands (1.23% loss). Moreover, infill development patterns differed qualitatively from the status quo and resulted in less fragmentation of the landscape.

14 September 2016
Verified
Book Chapter
Closed access
PDF file
ASAshwin Shashidharan
Ashwin Shashidharan
DBDerek B. van Berkel
Derek B. van Berkel
RVRanga Raju Vatsavai
Ranga Raju Vatsavai
RMRoss Meentemeyer
Ross Meentemeyer