Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
Dr. ZHANFENG ZHAO
Key Laboratory of Water Cycle and Related Land Surface Processes, Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
The spatio-temporal distribution of geological hazards, including collapses, landslides, and debris flows, in Shaanxi province, China was studied based on data from 1951 to 2018. The potential impact factors, including the geomorphologic types, rivers, roads, rainfall, and earthquakes, were analyzed using Random Forests. The results indicated that most hazards occurred in summer (i.e., July–September) and were triggered by rainstorms. The freeze–thaw effect had a considerable contribution to hazards in the north. Spatially, most hazards in the north occurred in valley terraces of the Loess Plateau, while medium-relief terrane (relief ranged from 500 to 1000 m) in the southern Qinling Mountains were hazard-prone areas. The collapses and landslides were mainly affected by human factors in Northern Shaanxi, whereas in Southern Shaanxi geomorphology was the primary factor. Permeability was a dominant factor for debris flows. In addition, the 2008 Wenchuan earthquake had a remarkable influence on the spatial distribution of hazards. In contrast, for the situation in the Sichuan province, which was close to the earthquake epicenter, the Wenchuan earthquake triggered many collapse and landslide events in the southwest regions of Shaanxi province only on 12 May 2008. The thresholds for the three hazard types in the north and south regions were almost the same despite their distinctly different geologic characteristics. Through a sensitivity analysis, we found an appropriate dry period of 12 h for the area.
This study conducted evaluation and analysis on various precipitation products over the eastern Tibetan Plateau (ETP), including four sets of satellite precipitation data (i.e., IMERG_Uncal, IMERG_Cal, GSMaP_MVK, GSMaP_Gauge) and one set of model reanalysis data (i.e., ERA5‐land, hereafter ERA5‐L). We evaluated the spatial‐temporal distribution of their quality at an hourly temporal scale and 0.1° spatial scale, with a special focus on capturing different types of precipitation. The results show that: (a) GSMaP_Gauge exhibits the highest correlation with ground‐based gauges, while IMERG_Uncal and IMERG_Cal perform best in the estimation of the amount of precipitation. Satellite products generally perform better during summer while ERA5‐L sometimes outperforms satellite products in spring and autumn. (b) The evaluation results for different precipitation types reveal that all the QPE products face significant challenges in accurately describing convective precipitation. They tend to underestimate convective precipitation and fail to properly capture the intensity and location of heavy precipitation. (c) In heavy convective precipitation cases, the evaluated QPE products show various issues in accurately capturing the intensity and spatiotemporal variation of precipitation. Almost all QPE products underestimate maximum precipitation (both hourly precipitation and accumulated precipitation) and small‐scale (about 50 km or less) spatial variability of precipitation. IMERG_Uncal, IMERG_Cal, and GSMaP_MVK perform better than other products in heavy convective precipitation cases. This study provides new insights into the quality of QPE products in different types of precipitation. The analysis of the quality of these QPE products serves as a valuable indicator of their potential applications, particularly in flash flood simulations, while also underscoring the critical need for improving precipitation product quality.
Hydraulic tomography based on geostatistics has proven to be robust in characterizing subsurface heterogeneity in hydraulic conductivity (K) and specific storage (Ss) through the joint inversion of drawdown records from multiple pumping tests. However, the spatially variable estimates can be smooth or even erroneous for areas where pumping/observation data densities are not high. Previous hydraulic tomography surveys conducted at the North Campus Research Site (NCRS) on the University of Waterloo campus in Waterloo, Canada, revealed that the estimated hydraulic parameters were smooth and the known aquitard was erroneously identified as a high K zone. This was likely the consequence of the site being highly heterogeneous, while only utilizing four pumping tests and not having measurable drawdowns in the low K aquitard for inverse modeling. Here, we investigate whether improved K and Ss estimates could be obtained through the inclusion of additional pumping test data by stressing both aquifer and aquitard zones for a sufficiently long period. Specifically, six additional pumping/injection tests were conducted at the site, and a transient hydraulic tomography analysis with 14 tests was completed. Results reveal that there is a significant improvement to the K and Ss tomograms in terms of the visual correspondence with various geologic units, including its connectivity. More importantly, with the availability of additional data, we found that the inverse model now can better capture the high and low K features for nine boreholes when compared with K values obtained from permeameter tests. The estimated K and Ss tomograms are then used for the forward simulation of one additional pumping test not used for model calibration, revealing reasonable predictions. While encouraging results are obtained by including a large number of pumping tests to the transient hydraulic tomography analysis, stratigraphic boundaries are still smoothed, which is a direct consequence of utilizing a geostatistics-based inversion approach that assumes stationarity in statistical properties. To capture such sharp boundaries, incorporation of additional data types, such as geological and geophysical information, may be necessary when data densities are not sufficiently high.