Climate change has caused substantial shifts in the geographical distribution of many species. There is growing evidence that many species are migrating in response to climate change. Changes in the distribution of dominant tree species induced by climate change can have an impact not only on organisms such as epiphytes and understory vegetation, but also on the whole ecosystem. Cyclobalanopsis glauca is a dominant tree species in the mingled evergreen and deciduous broadleaf forests of China. Understanding their adaptive strategies against climate change is important for understanding the future community structure. We employed the Maxent framework to model current suitable habitats of C. glauca under current climate conditions and predicted it onto the climate scenarios for 2041–2060 and 2081–2100 using 315 occurrence data. Our results showed that annual precipitation was the most critical factor for the distribution of C. glauca. In the future, increasing precipitation would reduce the limitation of water on habitats, leading to an expansion of the distribution to a higher latitude and higher altitude. At the same time, there were habitat contractions at the junction of the Jiangxi and Fujian Provinces. This study can provide vital information for the management of C. glauca, and serve as a reminder for managers to protect C. glauca in the range contraction areas.

The Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) is sensitive to changes in surface vegetation cover. Research into how climate change impacts surface vegetation cover is essential to manage ecological systems and promote green development. The Western Henan Mountains, located in the transitional zone between the northern subtropical and warm temperate zones of China, is an ideal location to study the impacts of climate change on surface vegetation cover. Combining a digital elevation model (DEM) with temperature and precipitation data; and MODIS-NDVI imagery (2000∼2017) for the Western Henan Mountains, this study explores variations in the growing season NDVI and its response to climate change. Results show that there are significant changes with fluctuations in NDVI values from 2000 to 2017. NDVI increased at a growth rate of 0.027 per decade (p < 0.05) overall, indicating vegetation conditions have gradually improved. Although the NDVI value showed an overall increasing trend, 19.12% of the areas showed a decreasing trend, interspersing and intersecting spatially, showing significant spatial differences. NDVI increased initially, but then decreased as a function of elevation, which was shown to be proportional to slope and independent of aspect. Variables including elevation and slope gradient are shown to provide high explanation of NDVI variability, whilst temperature is shown to have a more significant impact on NDVI than precipitation. However, vegetation responses to temperature and precipitation covaried with both slope and aspect. Positive NDVI trends were strongest at low elevations (i.e., <1,100 masl), which we attribute to vegetation restoration activities. Lower NDVI values characterized gentle slopes (<5°), whilst higher values were, in contrast, associated with steeper slopes (5∼10°). This study highlights the complex mechanisms and their relations governing vegetation response to climate change and should form an instructive basis for both future modeling studies investigating the response of vegetation to future global warming.

Climate change and intensified human activity have altered the landscape pattern of nature reserves and are expected to induce persistent changes in habitat quality. Using GIS technology and landscape ecological theories, we quantitatively analyzed landscape fragmentation characteristics and the driving factors for the interior and peripheries of the Qinling–Daba Mountains nature reserves during 2010–2017. Using spatial principal component analysis, landscape pattern indices, and Geodetector, we evaluated the habitat quality status of different nature reserve types in different regions and the impacts of human disturbance on these areas. The results are as follows: (1) Most national nature reserves in the Qinling–Daba Mountains were moderately or highly fragmented during 2010–2017, and the fragmentation degree of a few reserves exhibited a decreasing trend. (2) The fragmentation degree of landscape patches from the core areas to the experimental areas of the inner nature reserves showed a trend of being low in the middle and high in the surrounding area; the level of landscape fragmentation gradually decreased from the edge of 1 km (M-1) to 5 km (M-5). (3) There was spatial differentiation in the intensity of landscape fragmentation among the nature reserves; human activity intensity, land-use degree, elevation, slope gradient, and topographic relief were the factors influencing the spatial differentiation of landscape fragmentation, and the contribution of anthropogenic factors was significantly greater than that of natural factors. Human activities, such as the construction of network infrastructures, irrational partition management, expansion of agricultural and industrial production activities, were the main reasons for the spatial differentiation of landscape fragmentation in the nature reserves. These results can provide significant scientific support for ecological restoration in the nature reserves and contribute to the coordinated development between socio-economic system and ecological environment in the exceedingly impoverished areas.