This paper investigates the impact of financial development on economic growth in Pakistan using the Markov Switching Model over the period 1980–2017. The results based on two-state Markov switching model confirm the Schumpeter’s view that finance spurs growth. The result reveals that financial development augments economic growth in both high and low economic growth regimes in Pakistan. However, the impact of financial development on economic growth is found to be relatively higher in the high-growth regime. This implies that economic growth responds differently to financial development in low-growth and high-growth regimes. Among the control variables, trade openness and government expenditures impact economic growth positively, while labour force exerts a negative impact on economic growth.
31 August 2020 in The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
This study investigates the financial development–economic growth relationship in Pakistan over the period 1975–2017 using the Markov Switching methodology. The financial development index has been constructed using the principal component analysis. Unexpectedly, the empirical result shows that financial development contributing negatively to economic growth in the high and the low economic growth regimes in Pakistan. Moreover, the results indicate that labor force retards economic growth with a higher magnitude. A significant positive effect of gross fixed capital formation on economic growth is also observed. The results reveal that policymakers may revisit the financial development policies so that the financial sector may contribute positively to economic growth process in Pakistan. In this respect, more steps are needed to further liberalize the financial sector to enhance economic growth in Pakistan.