As a large, prospective, multicenter study-based prognostic score for hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF), the Chinese group on the study of severe hepatitis B-acute-on-chronic liver failure score (COSSH-ACLFs), has been approved by some foreign scholars; however, its predictive value needs to be verified. This study investigated the predictive value of COSSH-ACLFs for short-term prognosis in Chinese patients with HBV-ACLF. This retrospective cohort study included 751 patients with HBV-ACLF admitted to the Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital between January 2011 and December 2014. Spearman method was used to assess the correlation of COSSH-ACLFs with classical scores. Different COX multivariate regression models were used to confirm the relationship between COSSH-ACLFs and short-term prognosis in patients with HBV-ACLF, and stratified analysis was used to further verify the stability of this relationship. We compared the predictive powers of COSSH-ACLFs and other classical scores using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and Z-test. A total of 975 patients with HBV-ACLF were screened, and 751 were analyzed (623 male and 128 female). COSSH-ACLFs was the highest in patients with end-stage ACLF, followed by those with middle- and early-stage ACLF (H = 211.8, P < 0.001). In the fully adjusted model, COX multivariate regression analysis revealed that COSSH-ACLFs (as a continuous variable) was independently and positively correlated with mortality risk in patients with HBV-ACLF at 28 days (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.37 [1.22, 1.53], P < 0.001) and 90 days (HR: 1.43 [1.29, 1.58], P < 0.001). The same trend could be observed in the crude model and minimally adjusted model. The AUROCs of COSSH-ACLFs for 28-day and 90-day prognoses in patients with HBV-ACLF were 0.807 and 0.792, respectively, indicating a stronger predictive accuracy than those of classic models. COSSH-ACLFs, with a superior predictive accuracy compared with other classical scores, can strongly predict short-term prognosis in Chinese patients with HBV-ACLF. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-Non Commercial-No Derivatives License 4.0 (CCBY-NC-ND), where it is permissible to download and share the work provided it is properly cited. The work cannot be changed in any way or used commercially without permission from the journal. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0
Background: Infection is common in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), which may worsen the clinical condition and prognosis. However, the characteristics of infection and its influence on prognosis in hepatitis B virus related ACLF (HBV-ACLF) as defined by the European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) have not been clarified. We aimed to investigate the characteristics of infection and its influence on mortality in patients with HBV-ACLF defined by EASL in China. Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study in patients with HBV-ACLF defined by EASL in a single center from January 2015 to December 2017. These patients were divided into two groups with and without infection. The incidence, sites of infection, isolated strains, and risk factors associated with mortality were evaluated. Results: A total of 289 patients were included, among them 185 (64.0%) were diagnosed with an infection. The most common type of infection was pneumonia (55.7%), followed by spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (47.6%) and others. The gram-negative bacteria were the most frequent (58.3%). Patients with one, two, and three or more infection sites had a gradually increasing incidence of sepsis (P < 0.01), septic shock (P < 0.001), and ACLF-3 (P < 0.05). Also, patients with infection isolated one, two, and three or more strains showed a growing incidence of sepsis (P < 0.01) and septic shock (P < 0.001). Patients with infection showed a significantly higher 28-day mortality than those without (P < 0.01), especially in patients with ACLF-3. Infection was identified as an independent risk factor for 28-day mortality in all HBV-ACLF patients. Pneumonia and sepsis were identified as independent predictors of 28-day mortality for patients with infection. Conclusions: Infection is associated with severe clinical course and high mortality in HBV-ACLF defined by EASL. The increased number of infection sites or isolated strains was associated with the occurrence of sepsis and septic shock. Pneumonia and sepsis were independent predictors for mortality in HBV-ACLF patients with infection.
Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), which includes hepatic and multiple extra-hepatic organ failure, is a severe emergency condition that has high mortality. ACLF can rapidly progress and requires an urgent assessment of condition and referral for liver transplantation. Bacterial infections (BIs) trigger ACLF and play pivotal roles in the deterioration of clinical course. To investigate the clinical characteristics and 28-d outcomes of first BIs either at admission or during hospitalization in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-ACLF as defined by the Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B (COSSH). A total of 159 patients with HBV-ACLF and 40 patients with acute decompensation of HBV-related chronic liver disease combined with first BIs were selected for a retrospective analysis between October 2014 and March 2016. The characteristics of BIs, the 28-d transplant-free survival rates, and the independent predictors of the 28-d outcomes were evaluated. A total of 194 episodes of BIs occurred in 159 patients with HBV-ACLF. Among the episodes, 13.4% were community-acquired, 46.4% were healthcare-associated, and 40.2% belonged to nosocomial BIs. Pneumonia (40.7%), spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (SBP) (34.5%), and bloodstream infection (BSI) (13.4%) were the most prevalent. As the ACLF grade increased, the incidence of SBP showed a downward trend (P = 0.021). Sixty-one strains of bacteria, including 83.6% Gram-negative bacteria and 29.5% multidrug-resistant organisms, were cultivated from 50 patients with ACLF. Escherichia coli (44.3%) and Klebsiella pneumoniae (23.0%) were the most common bacteria. As the ACLF grade increased, the 28-d transplant-free survival rates showed a downward trend (ACLF-1, 55.7%; ACLF-2, 29.3%; ACLF-3, 5.4%; P < 0.001). The independent predictors of the 28-d outcomes of patients with HBV-ACLF were COSSH-ACLF score (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.371), acute kidney injury (HR = 2.187), BSI (HR = 2.339), prothrombin activity (HR = 0.967), and invasive catheterization (HR = 2.173). For patients with HBV-ACLF combined with first BIs, pneumonia is the most common form, and the incidence of SBP decreases with increasing ACLF grade. COSSH-ACLF score, acute kidney injury, BSI, prothrombin activity, and invasive catheterization are the independent predictors of 28-d outcomes.
Whether the National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) can effectively discriminate the severe/critical state of patients with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) at the prehospital stage remains unknown. We aimed to assess the performance of NEWS2 in rapidly discriminating severe/critical COVID-19 and its relationship with prehospital medical services. Six illness severity scores of 414 patients were calculated at the prehospital stage. Receiver operating characteristic curves were generated to explore the ability of these scores to discriminate severe/critical patients from mild/moderate patients. A logistic regression analysis was conducted to evaluate independent predictors associated with severe/critical state. The age, numbers of comorbidities, prehospital care workload, consumption of medical human resources, and illness severity scores of severe/critical patients were higher than those of mild/moderate patients (p < 0.05). When NEWS2 scores >2, the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value were 93.5%, 90.7%, 74.1%, and 98.0%, respectively. The C-statistic of NEWS2 (0.963) was higher than that of quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (0.680, p < 0.001), CRB-65 (0.879, p < 0.001), Rapid Acute Physiology Score (0.692, p < 0.001), and Rapid Emergency Medicine Score (0.879, p < 0.001). NEWS2 was positively correlated with the numbers of prehospital treatment measures (r = 0.732, p < 0.001), numbers of medical staff (r = 0.615, p < 0.001), and total transport time (r = 0.595, p < 0.001). Age ≥65 years (OR = 5.43, p = 0.016), hypertension (OR = 5.39, p < 0.001), active malignancy (OR = 5.94, p = 0.005), and NEWS2 scores >2 (OR = 124.88, p < 0.001) were independent predictors to discriminate severe/critical patients. Oxygen saturation (SpO2) (OR =1.87, p < 0.001) was the unique independent predictor to discriminate false positive patients from true positive patients. Prehospital NEWS2 can accurately and rapidly discriminate severe/critical COVID-19 during the Omicron variant wave. High levels of NEWS2 indicate an increase in prehospital care workload and consumption of medical human resources.
7 August 2023 in Scandinavian Journal of Gastroenterology
BackgroundGraves' hyperthyroidism (GH) is often accompanied by mild to moderate liver injury, but severe hepatic dysfunction (SHD) is relatively rare. Whether patients with GH-related SHD can be treated with methimazole (MMI) remains controversial. This study aimed to determine the clinical characteristics and to evaluate the role of low-dose MMI for such patients.Methods33 patients with GH-related SHD were selected for this retrospective study in the Fifth Medical Center of Chinese PLA General Hospital from January 2017 to July 2022. The clinical manifestations, therapeutic responses, and effectiveness of MMI were evaluated.ResultsSystemic jaundice (100.0%), yellow urine (100.0%), fatigue (87.9%), and goiter (66.7%) were the main symptoms. Total bilirubin (TBIL) had no linear correlation with free triiodothyronine (FT3) (r = -0.023, p = .899), free thyroxine (FT4) (r = 0.111, p = .540), T-3 (r = -0.144, p = .425), and T-4 (r = 0.037, p = .837). On the 14th day after admission, FT3, FT4, T-3, T-4, TBIL, direct bilirubin (DBIL), alanine transaminase (ALT), aspartate transaminase (AST), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), & gamma;-glutamyltransferase (GGT), and international normalized ratio (INR) decreased compared with the baseline (p < .05). The decrease rates of FT3, FT4, T-3, T-4, TBIL, and DBIL in the MMI group were higher than those in the non-MMI group (p < .05). The improvement rate of the MMI group (77.8%) was higher than that of the non-MMI group (9.5%, p = .001). MMI treatment is an independent predictor affecting the early improvement of patients (OR = 0.022, p = .010).ConclusionsThe main clinical manifestations of patients with GH-related SHD were symptoms related to liver disease. Low-dose MMI was safe and effective for them.
Background. Activation of chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is an important cause of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). However, the effect of HBV-ACLF episode on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurrence remains largely unknown. Methods. A total of 769 HBV-ACLF patients and 2114 HBV-related chronic liver disease (HBV-CLD) patients diagnosed between August 1998 and December 2011 were enrolled in this prospective cohort study. Of the HBV-CLD patients, 380 received lifetime antiviral treatment with nucleos(t)ide analogues. Propensity score matching was applied to reduce baseline differences between HBV-ACLF and HBV-CLD cohorts. Results. The survival rate of HBV-ACLF patients was 53.6%, 50.3%, 47.8%, and 46.2% at 90-day, 1-year, 5-year, and 10-year, respectively. The cumulative incidence of HCC was lower in HBV-ACLF cohort with 369 eligible patients survived for >90 days than in HBV-CLD cohort with the 380 patients (5.77/1,000 vs. 9.78/1,000 person-years, ). HBV-ACLF episode decreased HCC risk regardless of liver cirrhosis, and in patients without family history of HCC. Multivariate Cox analyses indicated that male, increasing age, liver cirrhosis, and platelet count (≤100 × 109/L) increased, whereas HBV-ACLF episode decreased, HCC risk independently. In the propensity score-matched cohorts, HBV-ACLF episode reduced HCC incidence (10.20/1,000 vs. 4.66/1,000 person-years, ). The area under curve of nomogram was 0.812 for 3-year HCC probability. Conclusions. HBV-ACLF episode decreases HCC occurrence in chronic HBV patients. Older age and liver cirrhosis independently increased HCC occurrence. A nomogram-enrolled episode of ACLF reliably predicts the occurrence of HCC.