BackgroundThe role of inflammation in patients with coronary artery disease is emerging. We sought to assess the profile and outcomes of patients with a clinica
18 September 2018 in Journal of the American Heart Association
Background: Acute heart failure ( AHF ) is a heterogeneous condition, and its characteristics and management patterns differ by region. Furthermore, limited evidence is available on AHF outside of Western countries. A project by the National Consortium of Acute Heart Failure Registries was designed to evaluate the trends over time in patient backgrounds, in‐hospital management patterns, and long‐term outcomes of patients with AHF over 9 years in Japan. Methods and Results: Between 2007 and 2015, registry data for patients with AHF were collected from 3 large‐scale quality AHF registries ( ATTEND / WET ‐ HF / REALITY ‐ AHF ). Predefined end points were trends over time in age, sex, and clinical outcomes, including short‐ and long‐term mortality and readmission for heart failure. The final data set consisted of 9075 patients with AHF . No significant differences in patient backgrounds and laboratory findings (eg, anemia or renal function) were observed, with the exception of patient age; mean age became substantially higher over 9 years (71.6–77.0 years; P for trend, <0.001). On the contrary, length of hospital stay became shorter (mean, 26–16 days). These changes were not associated with in‐hospital mortality (4.7–7.5%) or 30‐day heart failure readmission rate (4.8–5.4%), as well as 1‐year mortality and heart failure readmission rate (20.1–23.3% and 23.6–26.2%, respectively). Conclusions: Length of hospital stay in patients with AHF shortened over the 9‐year period despite the increasing age of the patients. However, short‐ and long‐term outcomes do not seem to be affected; continuous efforts to monitor clinical outcomes in patients with AHF are needed.
Aims Predictive models for heart failure patients are widely used in the clinical practice to stratify patients' mortality and enable clinicians to tailor and intensify their approach. However, such models have not been validated internationally. In addition, biomarkers are now frequently measured to obtain prognostic information, and the implications of this practice are not known. In this study, we aimed to validate the model performance of the Meta‐analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure (MAGGIC) score in a Japanese acute heart failure registry and further explore the incremental prognostic value of discharge B‐type natriuretic peptide (BNP) level. Methods and Results In this study, we evaluated the registered data of 2215 consecutive acute HF patients (with 694 119 person‐years follow‐up) from a prospective multicentre registry (the West Tokyo Heart Failure) conducted in Japan from April 2006 to August 2016. The mean age was 73.0 ± 13.0, and 61.2% were male. The MAGGIC score demonstrated modest discrimination (c‐index = 0.71, 95% confidence interval 0.67–0.74) and good calibration (R2 value = 0.97); there was constant overestimation for 1 year mortality. However, when the BNP level was added to the original MAGGIC variables, the model demonstrated good discrimination (c‐index = 0.74, 95% confidence interval 0.70–0.78) with adequate calibration (R2 value = 0.91). The modified MAGGIC BNP score was externally validated in a separate Japanese registry (NaDEF) and demonstrated moderate discrimination (c‐index = 0.69, 95% confidence interval 0.65–0.73) and calibration (R2 value = 0.85). Conclusion The original MAGGIC score performed modestly in Japanese patients, but the addition of discharge BNP level enhanced model performance. The addition of objective biomarkers may result in effective modification of preexisting internationally recognized risk models and aid in multinational comparisons of heart failure patients' outcomes.