Monica Borunda

Dr. Monica Borunda

conacyt - ineel

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

9Years (2018-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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13 April 2020 in Energies
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
PDF file
Monica BorundaMonica Borunda
Monica Borunda
KRKatya Rodríguez-Vázquez
Katya Rodríguez-Vázquez
RGRaul Garduno
Raul Garduno
JSJavier de la Cruz Soto
Javier de la Cruz Soto
JAJavier Antunez-Estrada
Javier Antunez-Estrada
Oscar Alfredo Jaramillo-SalgadoOscar Alfredo Jaramillo-Salgado
Oscar Alfredo Jaramillo-Salgado
Given the imminent threats of climate change, it is urgent to boost the use of clean energy, being wind energy a potential candidate. Nowadays, deployment of wind turbines has become extremely important and long-term estimation of the produced power entails a challenge to achieve good prediction accuracy for site assessment, economic feasibility analysis, farm dispatch, and system operation. We present a method for long-term wind power forecasting using wind turbine properties, statistics, and genetic programming. First, due to the high degree of intermittency of wind speed, we characterize it with Weibull probability distributions and consider wind speed data of time intervals corresponding to prediction horizons of 30, 25, 20, 15 and 10 days ahead. Second, we perform the prediction of a wind speed distribution with genetic programming using the parameters of the Weibull distribution and other relevant meteorological variables. Third, the estimation of wind power is obtained by integrating the forecasted wind velocity distribution into the wind turbine power curve. To demonstrate the feasibility of the proposed method, we present a case study for a location in Mexico with low wind speeds. Estimation results are promising when compared against real data, as shown by MAE and MAPE forecasting metrics.

21 October 2021
Verified
Book Chapter
Closed access
PDF file
Monica BorundaMonica Borunda
Monica Borunda
ARAdrián Ramírez
Adrián Ramírez
NLNayeli Liprandi
Nayeli Liprandi
MRMiriam Rodríguez
Miriam Rodríguez
ASAlejandro Sánchez
Alejandro Sánchez