Policies aiming to preserve vegetated coastal ecosystems (VCE; tidal marshes, mangroves and seagrasses) to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions require national assessments of blue carbon resources. Here, we present organic carbon (C) storage in VCE across Australian climate regions and estimate potential annual CO₂ emission benefits of VCE conservation and restoration. Australia contributes 5–11% of the C stored in VCE globally (70–185 Tg C in aboveground biomass, and 1,055–1,540 Tg C in the upper 1 m of soils). Potential CO₂ emissions from current VCE losses are estimated at 2.1–3.1 Tg CO₂-e yr^-1, increasing annual CO₂ emissions from land use change in Australia by 12–21%. This assessment, the most comprehensive for any nation to-date, demonstrates the potential of conservation and restoration of VCE to underpin national policy development for reducing greenhouse gas emissions.

eReefs is a comprehensive interoperable information platform that has been developed for the Great Barrier Reef (GBR) region to provide users with access to improved environmental intelligence allowing them to assess past, present, and future conditions, as well as management options to mitigate the risks associated with multiple and sometimes competing uses of the GBR. eReefs is built upon an integrated system of data, catchment and marine models, visualisation, reporting and decision support tools that span the entire GBR area. This communication briefly describes eReefs architecture and components and provides examples of applications that have been used to inform policy and management decisions, and finally discusses challenges and key learnings and considers future developments and applications.

In times of rapid change and rising human pressures on marine systems, information about the future state of the ocean can provide decision-makers with time to avoid adverse impacts and maximise opportunities. An ecological forecast predicts changes in ecosystems and its components due to environmental forcing such as climate variability and change, extreme weather conditions, pollution, or habitat change. Here, we summarise examples from several sectors and a range of locations. We describe the need, approach, forecast performance, delivery system, and end user uptake. This examination shows that near-term ecological forecasts are needed by end users, decisions are being made based on forecasts, and there is an urgent need to develop operational information systems to support sustainable ocean management. An operational information system is critical for connecting to decision makers and providing an enduring approach to forecasting and proactive decision making. These operational systems require significant investment and ongoing maintenance but are key to delivering ecological forecasts for societal benefits. Iterative forecasting practices could provide continuous improvement by incorporating evaluation and feedback to overcome the limitations of the imperfect model and incomplete observations to achieve better forecast outcomes and accuracy.

In January 2013, tropical cyclone Oswald caused widespread flooding in the North-East coast of Australia, and large and highly episodic inputs into Princess Charlotte Bay (PCB, northern Great Barrier Reef). Freshwater outflows from the Normanby and Kennedy rivers, the two main rivers draining the adjacent catchments, resulted in drastic changes in physical, biogeochemical and optical properties within PCB. On 31 January, 2 days after the peak riverine discharge from the Normanby river, nutrients and dissolved organic matter contents peaked under the influence of large outflows from the Kennedy river into the western section of the bay (5.8 μM for dissolved inorganic nitrogen, 6.9 g m⁻³ for dissolved organic carbon and 6.1 m⁻¹ for the colored dissolved organic matter absorption coefficient at 412 nm). In the eastern section of the bay, the situation appeared more ‘mixed’, with a suspended solids concentration reaching 23.1 g m⁻³ close to the Normanby river mouth. The main phytoplankton bloom occurred in the transition zone between the Kennedy and Normanby flood plumes, and was dominated by diatoms with a chlorophyll a concentration reaching 14.6 mg m⁻³. This study highlights the need to better describe the critical spatial and temporal scales of variability of key biogeochemical and optical properties after a major flood event. The data collected is key to improve the accuracy of ocean color remote sensing algorithms and regional biogeochemical budgets following highly episodic inputs.