Santhosh Aryal

Dr. Santhosh Aryal

orcid

Research Focus & Metrics

Academic Career Length

25Years (2002-Present)

(Calculated once Scilit publication data is synced: current year − year of first publication + 1)

Representative Publications

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1 February 2009 in Journal of Hydrometeorology
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
SASanthosh Aryal
Santhosh Aryal
BBBryson C. Bates
Bryson C. Bates
ECEdward P. Campbell
Edward P. Campbell
YLYun Li
Yun Li
MPMark J. Palmer
Mark J. Palmer
NVNeil Viney
Neil Viney
A hierarchical spatial model for daily rainfall extremes that characterizes their temporal variation due to interannual climatic forcing as well as their spatial pattern is proposed. The model treats the parameters of at-site probability distributions for rainfall extremes as “data” that are likely to be spatially correlated and driven by atmospheric forcing. The method is applied to daily rainfall extremes for summer and winter half years over the Swan–Avon River basin in Western Australia. Two techniques for the characterization of at-site extremes—peaks-over-threshold (POT) analysis and the generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution—and three climatic drivers—the El Niño–Southern Oscillation as measured by the Southern Oscillation index (SOI), the Southern Hemisphere annular mode as measured by an Antarctic Oscillation index (AOI), and solar irradiance (SI)—were considered. The POT analysis of at-site extremes revealed that at-site thresholds lacked spatial coherence, making it difficult to determine a smooth spatial surface for the threshold parameter. In contrast, the GEV-based analysis indicated smooth spatial patterns in daily rainfall extremes that are consistent with the predominant orientation of storm tracks over the study area and the presence of a coastal escarpment near the western edge of the basin. It also indicated a linkage between temporal trends in daily rainfall extremes and those of the SOI and AOI. By applying the spatial models to winter and summer extreme rainfalls separately, an apparent increasing trend in return levels of summer rainfall to the northwest and decreasing trends in return levels of winter rainfall to the southwest of the region are found.

23 September 2016 in Water Resources Management
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
SASanthosh Aryal
Santhosh Aryal
SAS. Ashbolt
S. Ashbolt
BMB. S. McIntosh
B. S. McIntosh
KPK. P. Petrone
K. P. Petrone
SMS. Maheepala
S. Maheepala
RGR. Gardiner
R. Gardiner

21 November 2002 in Hydrological Processes
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
PDF file
SASanthosh Aryal
Santhosh Aryal
RMRussell G. Mein
Russell G. Mein
EOEmmett M. O'LOughlin
Emmett M. O'LOughlin

18 October 2022 in Journal of Hydrology
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
MFMuhammad Abrar Faiz
Muhammad Abrar Faiz
Yongqiang ZhangYongqiang Zhang
Yongqiang Zhang
XTXiaoqiang Tian
Xiaoqiang Tian
JTJing Tian
Jing Tian
XZXuanze Zhang
Xuanze Zhang
SASanthosh Aryal
Santhosh Aryal

17 April 2024 in Earth's Future
Verified
Journal Article
Open access
SASanthosh Aryal
Santhosh Aryal
HZHongxing Zheng
Hongxing Zheng
Yongqiang ZhangYongqiang Zhang
Yongqiang Zhang
MFMuhammad Abrar Faiz
Muhammad Abrar Faiz
A reliable understanding of linkages between meteorological, hydrological and agricultural droughts (MD, HD, and AD respectively) is crucial to building resilience and planning for future climate changes. Despite Australia being prone to severe droughts, lagtimes of propagation (and recovery), from meteorological to hydrological and agricultural droughts across its large hydroclimatic regions, are poorly understood. Therefore, we investigate the characteristics of drought propagation and recovery time lags for droughts of four timescales and a combination of drought onset and cessation criteria in 407 unregulated catchments within six major precipitation zones across the country. We find that the propagation and recovery lags depend on climatic conditions, drought criteria and timescales. The median of catchment average propagation times from MD to HD across Australia varied from 0.8 to 1.7 months for 1‐month timescales, increasing to 2.2–5.0 months for 12‐month timescales. The corresponding recovery lagtimes were 1.3–3.7 and 1.7–7.0 months respectively. Similarly, the median of catchment average propagation times from MD to AD ranged from 0.8 to 1.9 months for 1‐month timescales, increasing to 0.6–5.0 months for 12‐month. The corresponding recovery lagtimes were 0.7–2.8 and 0.3–8.7 months respectively. For droughts of smaller timescales, propagation and recovery lags are linearly correlated with recovery lagtimes consistently greater than propagation times. However, as the timescale increases, these relationships weaken suggesting effects of other catchment attributes (e.g., groundwater contributions) on lag relationships.

1 May 2020 in Journal of Hydrology
Verified
Journal Article
Closed access
SASanthosh Aryal
Santhosh Aryal
Yongqiang ZhangYongqiang Zhang
Yongqiang Zhang
Francis ChiewFrancis Chiew
Francis Chiew