Lake Trasimeno is the largest lake of the Italian Peninsula. Because of the small extent of its watershed, meteorological conditions have caused dramatic floods and droughts over the centuries. Although numerous attempts have been made to regulate the lake level since Etruscan or Roman times, the problems related to water level changes remain unsolved, and the recently adaptive management strategies seem to be ineffective in the current climatic conditions. This study evaluates past and future management scenarios with the aim of identifying effective strategies to limit the lake level fluctuations. A lumped hydrological model, which incorporates climate forcing and water regulation policies adopted currently and in the past, is calibrated and validated using a fifty-year data series. Future scenarios (present–2090) of water level change are simulated on the basis of IPCC (Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change) regional projections for precipitation and temperature. Possible mitigation measures, such as those involving the enlargement of the catchment basin, the water diversion from nearby dams and the adoption of more restrictive rules on abstractions are also considered. The model indicates that critical prospects emerge if the intermediate or the maximum rates of change estimated by global climate models are assumed. Under these circumstances, currently feasible mitigation measures seem effective in preventing severe water shortage in the next decades, but ineffective in preventing the drainage of the lake in the second half of the century. We recommend that plans for water resource management should be put in place as a matter of urgency to ensure the conservation of the hydrologically vulnerable Lake Trasimeno.

An advanced characterization of the trophic niche of non-indigenous species (NIS) may provide useful information on their ecological impact on invaded communities. Here, we used carbon and nitrogen stable isotopes to estimate pairwise niche overlaps between non-indigenous and native consumers in the winter food web of Lake Trasimeno (central Italy). Overall, a relatively low pairwise overlap of isotopic niches was observed between NIS and native species. The only exception was the Louisiana crayfish Procambarus clarkii, which showed a relatively high and diffuse overlap with other native invertebrates. Our findings highlighted a high niche divergence between non-indigenous and native species in Lake Trasimeno, suggesting a potentially low degree of interspecific competition that may facilitate coexistence and, in turn, limit the strength of impacts. The divergent results obtained for the Louisiana crayfish indicate that additional control measures for this invasive species are needed to mitigate its impact on the Lake Trasimeno system.

In this study, the anthropogenic contamination in Trasimeno lake (Central Italy) was investigated using three sediment cores spanning over the last 150 years (Anthropocene) to identify the primary sources of pollution and quantify the level of contaminant enrichment in the basin. First, based on the relative cumulative frequency and linear regression methods, we obtained a geochemical baseline for the lake using the deeper parts of the sediment cores. The geochemical baseline allowed us to determine the values of trace elements enrichment factors. On this knowledge, as a second result, we were able to reconstruct the natural sources and the anthropogenic impact on the lake with a biennial resolution. This goal has been obtained by combining different inorganic and organic chemical proxies such as trace elements, polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons, and lead isotope ratios and exploiting both principal component and factor analysis to associate chemical proxies to human-driven contamination processes. Five different groups of elements have been identified, one of which is of natural origin and four of anthropogenic origin. In particular, it was possible to identify the times and impacts of the industrial activities during the Second World War, which dispersed heavy metals in sediments. Moreover, we found evidence of the recent human activities that have characterized the surroundings of the basin, such as Pb inputs related to the use of gasoline and the enrichment of certain elements generally used in agricultural activities (such as P, Cu, and Mn) due to the development of this sector in the last 40 years.

Procambarus clarkii (red swamp crayfish) exhibits physiological plasticity that enables adaptation to variable freshwater conditions, such as those in Lake Trasimeno. This study examined whether fluctuations in hydrometric level and associated physicochemical parameters affect oxidative stress responses in the hepatopancreas and abdominal muscle of male and female individuals. Superoxide dismutase, catalase, glutathione peroxidase, and metallothionein reveal tissue, sex, and season-specific differences that indicate adaptive physiological adjustments. Temporal trends were evaluated, and multivariate analyses summarised environmental and metal gradients. Generalised Additive Models (GAMs) were used to explore relationships between oxidative responses and these gradients, with sex as a categorical factor. Associations were identified with hydrometric level, temperature, conductivity, transparency, pH, dissolved oxygen, and metals of biological relevance. These results highlight the remarkable physiological plasticity of P. clarkii, which underpins its success as an invasive species in fluctuating freshwater ecosystems.