Satellite-based PM_2.5 concentration estimation is growing as a popular solution to map the PM_2.5 spatial distribution due to the insufficiency of ground-based monitoring stations. However, those applications usually suffer from the simple hypothesis that the influencing factors are linearly correlated with PM_2.5 concentrations, though non-linear mechanisms indeed exist in their interactions. Taking the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region in China as a case, this study developed a generalized additive modeling (GAM) method for satellite-based PM_2.5 concentration mapping. In this process, the linear and non-linear relationships between PM_2.5 variation and associated contributing factors, such as the aerosol optical depth (AOD), industrial sources, land use type, road network, and meteorological variables, were comprehensively considered. The reliability of the GAM models was validated by comparison with typical linear land use regression (LUR) models. Results show that GAM modeling outperforms LUR modeling at both the annual and seasonal scale, with obvious higher model fitting-based adjusted R² and lower RMSEs. This is confirmed by the cross-validation-based adjusted R² with values of GAM-based spring, summer, autumn, winter, and annual models, which are 0.92, 0.78, 0.87, 0.85, and 0.90, respectively, while those of LUR models are 0.87, 0.71, 0.84, 0.84, and 0.85, respectively. Different to the LUR-based hypothesis of the “straight line” relations, the “smoothed curves” from GAM-based apportionment analysis reveals that factors contributing to PM_2.5 variation are unstable with the alternate linear and non-linear relations. The GAM model-based PM_2.5 concentration surfaces clearly demonstrate their superiority in disclosing the heterogeneous PM_2.5 concentrations to the discrete observations. It can be concluded that satellite-based PM_2.5 concentration mapping could be greatly improved by GAM modeling given its simultaneous considerations of the linear and non-linear influencing mechanisms of PM_2.5.

Forest fires have a significant impact on terrestrial ecosystems, leading to harm to biodiversity and environment. To mitigate the ecological damage caused by forest fires, it was necessary to develop prediction models of fire risk. In this study, by evolving the optimal architecture and parameters using the particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm, a convolutional neural network (CNN) deep learning model was proposed to predict forest fire risk on a national scale. Utilizing fire data and fire risk factors from 2001 to 2020 in China, the PSO-CNN-based deep learning model (PSO-CNN) was utilized and tested. Compared to logistic regression, random forest, support vector machine, k-nearest neighbors, and CNN models, the PSO-CNN model exhibited superior performance with an accuracy of 82.2% and an AUC value of 0.92. These results clearly highlighted the effectiveness of the PSO-CNN model in enhancing the accuracy of forest fire prediction. Furthermore, the forest fire risk prediction level estimated by the proposed model on a national scale for the entire country was mostly consistent with actual fire data distribution, indicating its potential to be used as an important direction for deep learning in forest fire prediction research.

Mapping burn severity of forest fires can contribute significantly to understanding, quantifying and monitoring of forest fire severity and its impacts on ecosystems. In recent years, several remote sensing-based methods for mapping burn severity have been reported in the literature, of which the implementations are mainly dependent on several field plots. Therefore, it is a challenge to develop alternative method of mapping burn severity using limited number of field plots. In this study, we proposed a support vector regression based method using multi-temporal satellite data to map the burn severity, evaluated its performance by calculating correlations between the predicted and the observed Composite Burn Index, and compared the performance with that of the regression analysis method (based on dNBR). The results show that the performance of support vector regression based mapping method is more accurate (RMSE = 0.46–0.57) than that of regression analysis method (RMSE = 0.53–0.68). Even with fewer training sets, it can map the detailed distribution of burn severity of forest fires and can achieve relatively better generalization, compared to regression analysis burn severity mapping methods. It could be concluded that the proposed support vector regression based mapping method is an alternative to the regression analysis method in small sample size scenarios. This method with excellent generalization performance should be recommended for future studies on burn severity of forest fires.

In recent years, global forest fires have occurred more frequently, seriously destroying the structural functions of forest ecosystem. Mapping the burn severity after forest fires is of great significance for quantifying fire’s effects on landscapes and establishing restoration measures. Generally, intensive field surveys across burned areas are required for the effective application of traditional methods. Unfortunately, this requirement could not be satisfied in most cases, since the field work demands a lot of personnel and funding. For mapping severity levels across burned areas without field survey data, a semi-supervised transfer component analysis-based support vector regression model (SSTCA-SVR) was proposed in this study to transfer knowledge trained from other burned areas with field survey data. Its performance was further evaluated in various eco-type regions of southwestern United States. Results show that SSTCA-SVR which was trained on source domain areas could effectively be transferred to a target domain area. Meanwhile, the SSTCA-SVR could maintain as much spectral information as possible to map burn severity. Its mapped results are more accurate (RMSE values were between 0.4833 and 0.6659) and finer, compared to those mapped by ∆NDVI-, ∆LST-, ∆NBR- (RMSE values ranged from 0.7362 to 1.1187) and SVR-based models (RMSE values varied from 1.7658 to 2.0055). This study has introduced a potentially efficient mechanism to map burn severity, which will speed up the response of post-fire management.

Modeling fire susceptibility in fire-prone areas of forest ecosystems was essential for providing guidance to implement prevention and control measures of forest fires. Traditional models were developed on the basis of random selection of absence data (i.e., nonfire data from unburned areas), which could bring uncertainties to modeling results. Here, a new model with the genetic algorithm for Rule-set Production (GARP) algorithm and 10 environmental layers was proposed to process presence-only data in the susceptibility modeling of forest fires in Chongqing city. To do this, 70% of 684 fire occurrence data (479) during the period of 2000–2018 were applied to train the proposed model. And, 30% of these fire occurrence data (205) and the same amount of no-fire data (205) were emerged as validation dataset. The results showed that, for some environmental layers (i.e., distance to the nearest road, land cover, precipitation, distance to the nearest settlement, aspect, relative humidity, elevation, wind speed, and temperature), their values were less than 0.05, indicating that these 9 environmental layers have significant influence on the spatial distribution of fire susceptibility in Chongqing city. On the contrary, with a higher value (i.e., 0.126), the slope layer has an insignificant effect on fire susceptibility in the study area. Furthermore, the results of receiver operating characteristic analysis (ROC) showed that the proposed model has a good performance with an AUC value of 0.869, an accuracy value of 0.732, a sensitivity value of 0.59, a specificity value of 0.873, a positive predictive value of 0.823, and a negative predictive value of 0.681. This study revealed the validity of the proposed model in modeling the susceptibility of forest fires.