This retrospective cohort study investigated the progression risk of sequential complication in Asian type 2 diabetes (T2D) patients using the Taiwan Pay-for-Performance Diabetes Registry and claim data from November 2003 to February 2009. 226,310 adult T2D patients without complication were followed from diagnosis to complications, including myocardial infarction (MI), other ischemic heart disease (IHD), congestive heart failure (CHF), stroke, chronic kidney disease (CKD), retinopathy, amputation, death or to the end of study. Cumulative incidences (CIs) of first and second complications were analyzed in 30 and 4 years using the cumulative incidence competing risk method. IHD (29.8%), CKD (24.5%) and stroke (16.0%) are the most common first complications. The further development of T2D complications depends on a patient’s existing complication profiles. Patients who initially developed cardiovascular complications had a higher risk (9.2% to 24.4%) of developing IHD or CKD, respectively. All-cause mortality was the most likely consequence for patients with a prior MI (12.0%), so as stroke in patients with a prior MI (10.8%) or IHD (8.9%). Patients with CKD had higher risk of developing IHD (16.3%), stroke (8.9%) and all-cause mortality (8.7%) than end-stage renal disease (4.0%). Following an amputation, patients had a considerable risk of all-cause mortality (42.1%).

Objectives: This study aims to assess the mortality of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients and examine whether there are variations by subgroup. Methods: SLE patients from 2005 to 2021 were identified from the national administrative datasets. The underlying causes of death were examined. Standardized mortality ratio (SMR) was estimated to compare the relative rate of observed deaths in SLE patients with expected deaths in the general population. The hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of all-cause mortality and SLE specific mortality by ethnicity were estimated after adjustment for age using a Cox proportional hazards model. Results: Of the 2802 patients included for analysis, 699 (24.9%) died with 209 (29.9%) SLE deaths. The age-standardized mortality rate of SLE was 0.29 per 100 000 for women and 0.05 for men. The mean age at death was 65.3 (17.1) years. Younger patients were more likely to have SLE as the underlying cause of death, from 78.9% for those under 20 years old to 18.7% for those aged 70–79 years. Compared with the general population, SLE patients were four times more likely to die (SMR: 4.0; 95% CI: 3.7, 4.3). Young patients had higher SMRs than older patients. Māori had worse all-cause mortality (HR: 1.72; 95% CI: 1.10, 2.67) and SLE specific mortality (HR: 2.60; 95% CI: 1.29, 5.24) than others. Conclusions: The outcomes of SLE in New Zealand were still very poor compared with the general population. Māori with SLE had worse survival than others. Further research is needed to identify the reasons for this disparity.

This study aims to examine the prevalence and outcomes of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) among systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients. SLE patients identified from the national administrative datasets were linked to the Australia and New Zealand Dialysis and Transplant Registry (ANZDATA) to identify the ESKD cases. Period prevalence of ESKD among SLE patients was calculated. The risk of developing ESKD by ethnicity was explored with Cox Proportional Hazards model. The adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of all-cause mortality for Māori, Pacific, Asian compared to European/others was estimated. Of the 2837 SLE patients, 210 (7.4%) developed ESKD. The average period prevalence of ESKD among SLE patients was 5.7%. Men had twice the prevalence rate of ESKD than women (10.0% vs 5.2%). Māori and Pacific had higher prevalence rate than Asian and European/others (9.4%, 9.8% vs 4.4% and 3.8%). The adjusted HR of developing ESKD for men compared to women was 3.37 (95% CI 1.62–7.02). The adjusted HR of developing ESKD for Māori and Pacific compared to European/others was 4.63 (95% CI 1.61–13.29) and 4.66 (95% CI 1.67–13.00), respectively. Compared to European/others, Māori had an HR of 2.17 (95% CI 1.18–4.00) for all-cause mortality. SLE patients had a high prevalence rate of ESKD. Men, Māori, and Pacific patients with SLE were more likely to develop ESKD. Māori patients with ESKD had poorer survival than other patients. Interventions are needed to reduce the risk of ESKD and to improve the survival of ESKD patients for the disadvantaged groups.

Radical prostatectomy is the most common treatment for localised prostate cancer in New Zealand. Active surveillance was introduced to prevent overtreatment and reduce costs while preserving the option of radical prostatectomy. This study aims to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of active surveillance compared to watchful waiting and radical prostatectomy. Markov models were constructed to estimate the life-time cost-effectiveness of active surveillance compared to watchful waiting and radical prostatectomy for low risk localised prostate cancer patients aged 45–70 years, using national datasets in New Zealand and published studies including the SPCG-4 study. This study was from the perspective of the Ministry of Health in New Zealand. Radical prostatectomy is less costly than active surveillance in men aged 45–55 years with low risk localised prostate cancer, but more costly for men aged 60–70 years. Scenario analyses demonstrated significant uncertainty as to the most cost-effective option in all age groups because of the unavailability of good quality of life data for men under active surveillance. Uncertainties around the likelihood of having radical prostatectomy when managed with active surveillance also affect the cost-effectiveness of active surveillance against radical prostatectomy. Active surveillance is less likely to be cost-effective compared to radical prostatectomy for younger men diagnosed with low risk localised prostate cancer. The cost-effectiveness of active surveillance compared to radical prostatectomy is critically dependent on the ‘trigger’ for radical prostatectomy and the quality of life in men on active surveillance. Research on the latter would be beneficial.